N.O.A.A. did forecast a day without precipitation today, and they had that right. It also got well above freezing. In fact what I thought might be cement to clear off the dooryard actually wound up clearing quite easily. I guess the snow dried out quite a bit making it easy to blow. We had some sun as was evidenced by the 40.1°F high temperature we experienced. I say again that we seem to have had our January Thaw early this year. I wonder what the rest of this season will bring us.
For the overnight the N.W.S. says we will start with no precipitation, move to light scattered snow showers and finish the last half of the night with real snow. The cloud cover forecast certainly confirms that (80%/100%/100%/100%). The NEXRAD composite regional radar has picked up the storm and shows it stretching from off the shore at Cape Cod to central New York State. It looks like it is taking aim right at us. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still say it will end around 21:00 hours tomorrow. The N.W.S. thinks it will start earlier and end earlier that the models say it will.
My Weather Stick is still frowning. It has not been happy for several of these reports. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Indeed the pressure has risen since this morning. Two of them forecast fair skies while the remote weather station calls for unsettled weather. We did record the high temperatures at 40.1°F, 36.5°F and 36.9°F. The way it looks outside I think we are not going to escape without some fairly significant snow overnight, and by they way, watch out for tomorrow night as well.
High Temperature (°F): 40.1
Current Temperature (°F): 26.9
Relative Humidity: 70%
Dew Point (°F): 18.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.11
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 26.9
Precipitation (Type): Melt
Amount (Inches): 0.02
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:22°F/30.2°F//29°F/33.5°F//35°F/38.3°F//34°F/31.2°F.
Relative Humidity: 96%/71%//78%/63%//42%/51%//61%/61%
The N.W.S. missed the 07:00 temperature. It just got warmer than they expected. They also missed the 07:00 and 10:00 hour relative humidity reading. This was definitely not one of their better outings. They did have more than 50% or the readings forecast correctly, but they should be able to do better. Maybe they just have too much data to work with. Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 33°F/29°F/27°F/25°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/100%/100%/100%

E-mail this entry to a friend