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Weather in Wilton, Maine
Jeff Le DouxJeffrey Le Doux is a weather enthusiast who lives in Wilton.

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March 2007
March 31, 2007
A Great Day To Be Outside Getting Things Done!

Today was a delightful day to get outside, cut and split the last of the wood that was in my driveway. I now have only around 25 logs to cut and split, and it all will be done. Now I need to get started on next winter's wood. No, it never ends, but it sure beats paying Exxon/Mobil for oil. The temperature did make it into the low fifties, just as N.O.A.A. predicted. There was very little cloud cover, the wind, while present, was not unpleasant. It kept the black flies away, if there were any out and about.
For tonight N.O.A.A. predicts temperatures in the low twenties, clear skies (4%/5%./5%/8%), no precipitation and moderate winds. A pretty good forecast if it is correct. I have checked the NEXRAD radar again and there is even less showing on it than there was this morning. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are still calling for any precipitation to start Monday morning and continue into Tuesday. We will just have to wait and see on that.
My Weather Stick Points up. 23% relative humidity, are we surprised? The electronic instruments are not quite in agreement. The Weather Station Console forecasts rising barometric pressure with fair skies. The other two instruments forecast falling barometric pressure. Their agreement ends there. The Min/Max
Thermometer forecasts partly cloudy skies and the remote weather station forecasts cloudy skies. From the shot of Mount Blue you can see the clouds to the west. I suspect they will dissipate, and we will have clear skies again overnight.
100b1091.jpg
Mount Blue From The Top Of Willard's Hill
High Temperature (°F): 52.3
Current Temperature (°F): 50.1
Relative Humidity (%): 23%
Dew Point (°F): 13.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.06
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 3.1
Wind Chill (°F): 50.1
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:27°F/25.5°F//40°F/37.9°F//46°F/46.5°F//46°F/50.7°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/45%//27%/28%//21%/21%//22%/23%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for today. They also did better with the relative humidity forecast than I have seen in a long time.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 37°F/30°F/26°F/22°F
Relative Humidity: 32%/44%/52%/74%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 06:55 PM
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The Wind Is Moderating And The Temperature Climbing

Looking at my Weather Station History file I find that the wind has moderated overnight, therefore the windchill has become more bearable. There was no precipitation, the temperature dipped below freezing and the sky was clear (at least at 23:00 hours). By this morning some cirrus clouds had taken up residence over Wilton, Maine. It does appear that, with the exception of the relative humidity, N.O.A.A. did get the forecast correct for the overnight.
For today N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, very low cloud cover (6%/12%/17%/11%), temperatures rising into the mid-forties and significantly less wind than we have been having. The cloud cover already seems to be significantly higher than the prediction, but that can change. There is some precipitation showing up on the NEXRAD radar, but it is moving south from Pennsylvania toward the Atlantic. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show any precipitation coming our way until Monday morning and that is forecast to last until sometime Tuesday.
My Weather Stick points up. I still need to take some photographs at different relative humidities to put together the calibration for this stick. The electronic instruments are much closer to agreement. There are two that predict fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies with rising barometric pressure. Based on the information I gather by looking outside I think we will have partly cloudy skies, but a bight day with light wind. It does appear that March will go out like a lamb, as it is expected to.
Low Temperature (°F): 23.9
Current Temperature (°F): 35.4
Relative Humidity (%):37%
Dew Point (°F): 11.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.16
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.6
Wind Chill ((°F): 35.4
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:39°F/44.2°F//35°F/37.7°F//31°F/32.7°F//27°F/27.1°F
Relative Humidity: 45%/37%//45%/33%//44%/35%//52%/41%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the overnight. They totally missed the relative humidity forecast.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 27°F/40°F/46°F/46°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/27%/21%/22%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:30 AM
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Red Sky This Morning/Clear Tonight

The sky today remained partly to mostly cloudy until aroun16:00 hours, when the clouds began to dissipate. By the time I left for a meeting the sky was almost clear. When I arrived home there were no clouds left in the sky. Temperatures today would have been very comfortable if the wind had not been as persistent as it was. I think the cloud cover was somewhat heavier than N.O.A.A. predicted, but I do not have a meter to measure it. I also noted that the wind shifted from the Southwest this morning to the North and Northwest this evening. Therefore, I guess it is tapping into a different air mass this evening.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecasts moderate winds in the 10 mph range, clear skies (1%/0%/01%/4%), slightly below freezing temperatures and no precipitation. There is no precipitation on the NEXRAD radar, and now the Weather Underground model forecast maps show no active storms on the horizon until sometime Monday. It looks like I missed that forecast for our area.
My Weather Stick still points up with the 34% relative humidity. The electronic instruments are totally confused. The Weather Station Console forecasts foul weather with deteriorating barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts partly cloudy skies with improving barometric pressure. Finally the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions with steady barometric pressure. Right now I see clear skies with wind and falling temperatures. That is as far as I am willing to go.
High Temperature (°F): 53.6
Current Temperature (°F): 34.8
Relative Humidity (%): 34%
Dew Point (°F): 9.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.02
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 34.8
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Sky-PM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:27°F/34.3°F//43°F/41.0°F//51°F/48.7°F//51°F/51.2°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/41%//28%/37%//21%/28%//20%/35%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for today With the exception of the 07:00 point. They totally missed the relative humidity forecast.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature:39°F/35°F/31°F/27°F
Relative Humidity: 45%/45%/44%/52%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 12:00 AM
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March 30, 2007
A Fiery Sunrise Over Wilton, Maine

N.O.A.A. predicted, and we got, no precipitation overnight. The temperature did not fall as far as they predicted, only reaching the low thirties rather than the low twenties. The cloud cover is in line with the current prediction, but higher than the overnight prediction. With the exception of the wind it was a pleasant night. The wind made it feel colder than it was, but that wind also, probably, ushered in some slightly warmer than predicted air.
For today N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, temperatures rising into the low fifties, cloud cover increasing until around noontime then falling by late afternoon (50%/57%/63%/46%) and moderate wind. This should be a pleasant day with less sunshine than we have been having, but a bit warmer. We can handle that, particularly the warmer part.
My Weather Stick points up, still showing its dependence on the relative humidity for its direction. All three of my electronic instruments indicate the deterioration in the barometric pressure. They do not agree on the type of weather that portends. The Weather Station Console forecasts partly cloudy skies. The Min/Max Thermometer predicts foul weather. The remote weather station says it is going to be cloudy. Since I have a vote and since there is a red sky this morning I would suggest that this system will deteriorate, and with the mares' tails. mackerel scales I suggest that we will have some foul weather in the next 24 hours.
100b1042.jpg
The Morning Sky Is Afire
Just so you know the NEXRAD radar and Weather Underground model forecast maps have not changed since I reported on them a couple of nights ago.
Low Temperature (°F): 31.6
Current Temperature (°F): 35.7
Relative Humidity (%): 41%
Dew Point (°F): 14.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.12
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 8.7
Wind Chill ((°F): 24.4
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 35°F/40.8°F//29°F/35.2°F//25°F/35.4°F//22°F/34.3°F
Relative Humidity: 35%/29%//46%/33%//52%/35%//59%/34%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the first period last night and missed the rest. They were close on the first period for the relative humidity and missed the rest of them too.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 27°F/43°F/51°F/51°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/28%/21%/20%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:01 AM
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March 29, 2007
Windy And Cloudless

This is the kind of afternoon when, once again, it would have been great to get out and fly a kite. It was windy, and as you can see from the data, even though the temperature was in the forties, with the windchill it felt like it was in the twenties. The sky was as clear as I have seen it, and the photo shows how clear it was with the moon against the afternoon sky.
100b0920.jpg
100b1010.jpg
The Moon Against The Clear Blue Afternoon Sky
It appears that N.O.A.A. got the bulk of the forecast correct for today. We had no rain, it was windy the sky was crystal clear and the temperature reached into the forties.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. still predicts the sky will remain clear (0%/0%/1%/17%), there will be no precipitation, we will still have some wind and the temperature will drop into the low twenties. The NEXRAD radar and Weather Underground model forecast maps still show no precipitation headed in our direction for the immediate future.
My Weather Stick seems to point up more than usual, and with 24% relative humidity, who could blame it. There seems to be a change afoot with the electronic instruments. All three instruments show a decrease in the barometric pressure. The Weather Station Console and Min/Max Thermometer forecast partly cloudy
skies, while the remote weather station forecasts clouds. These forecasts are very dependant on the changes in the barometric pressure, and that has fallen slightly. I think we will see a continuation of the clear weather for the time being (at least the next two days.).
High Temperature (°F): 48.0
Current Temperature (°F): 40.2
Relative Humidity (%): 24%
Dew Point (°F): 10.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.17
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 14.9
Wind Chill ((°F): 23.6
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Clear/Red
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 24°F/25.5°F//36°F/35.4°F//42°F/46.5°F//42°F/47.1°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/37%//32%/31%//26%/26%//29%/24%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the today; however they missed the relative humidity by more than 10% at the first specified time, but hit the rest of them. That was not a bad job.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 35°F/29°F/25°F/22°F
Relative Humidity: 35%/46%/52%/59%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:22 PM
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A Clear, Dry, Bright Overnight

Last evening I was going to try to get some star photographs because it was so clear. The moon was almost directly overhead, and it was so bright that it obliterated many of the stars I was going to attempt to photograph, so I gave up on that idea. I will try again. Perhaps at the dark of the moon I will have better luck. N.O.A.A. did predict very low cloud cover, falling temperatures (below freezing) and windy conditions overnight. With the exception of the relative humidity (detailed below), I think they got it right.
For today, the prediction by N.O.A.A. is for blustery conditions, with temperatures in the low to mid-forties, bright sunshine and no cloud cover (8%/4%/0%/0%). The NEXRAD radar is clear and the Weather Underground model forecast maps show no storms on the horizon until at least Sunday. This appears to be a very strong high-pressure system over us for the time being.
My Weather Stick points up due to the 37% relative humidity. That certainly fits in with the studies that have been done on these instruments. Two of my electronic instruments forecast fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies, but also rising barometric pressure. I think we will have fair weather for now, although there were a few clouds on the eastern horizon this morning. Those usually do not bring us any foul weather.
Low Temperature (°F): 25.1
Current Temperature (°F): 25.7
Relative Humidity (%): 37%
Dew Point (°F): 3.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.20
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 8.2
Wind Chill ((°F): 13.6
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:35°F/36.5°F//30°F/33.2°F//26°F/28.0°F//23°F/25.5°F
Relative Humidity: 43%/30%//46%/30%//50%/36%//52%/41%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the overnight; however they missed the relative humidity by more than 10% at each of the specified times.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 24°F/36°F/42°F/42°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/32%/26%/29%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:22 AM
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March 28, 2007
Wind, Wind And More Wind

As this day has moved from its period of light into its period of dark the wind has continued to get stronger. That has made it feel much colder than it really was. N.O.A.A. predicted a significant amount of wind for today, no precipitation, minimal cloud cover and moderate temperatures. I think we had all of that.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, wind, temperatures dropping below freezing again and minimal cloud cover (5%'7%/8%/10%). There are no storms showing up on the NEXRAD radar or the Weather Underground model forecast maps, and I guess that is good.
My Weather Stick points up, and at 30% relative humidity I would be surprised if it were not. There seems to be some disagreement among my electronic instruments. My Weather Station Console is forecasting partly cloudy skies with improving barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts fair skies and improving barometric pressure. Finally, the remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies with improving barometric pressure. We obviously have a high-pressure system moving into the area, and it is just a question of time before the electronics catch up with the reality.
High Temperature (°F): 49.6
Current Temperature (°F): 35.4
Relative Humidity (%): 30%
Dew Point (°F): 7.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in.Hg): 30.05
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 4.9
Wind Chill ((°F): 31.5
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:33°F/35.4°F//39°F/41.5°F//43°F/43.0°F//42°F/45.6°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/61%//42%/42%//33%/31%//31%/29%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for today, and they did equally well with the relative humidity. Excellent job.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 35°F/30°F/26°F/23°F
Relative Humidity: 43%/46%/50%/52%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:03 PM
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A Sparkling Clear Morning

The sky was red this morning, but sparkling clear, and with no clouds anywhere on the horizon, I do not believe this indicates foul weather in the near future. The horizon was tinged red all the way around. The temperature did not quite reach the freezing mark, but the wind has become a bit more of a factor. Today may not feel as warm as it actually gets. N.O.A.A.'s prediction of snow overnight apparently did not come to fruition, since there is no new snow on the ground.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, dissipating cloud cover (11%/8%/5%/3%), temperatures in the low forties and a significant amount of wind out of the northwest. I am not sure how to measure 11% cloud cover, and what the difference between 11% and 3% is. They both seem to be very clear skies.
My Weather Stick points straight out representing 61% relative humidity. My Weather Station Console still predicts foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The other two instruments forecast partly cloudy skies with rising barometric pressure. I have looked out of my windows and I cannot see a cloud in the sky, the sun is up and the wind is blowing at nearly five miles per hour. I think we will have a clear blustery day with much of the wind that March is known for. If you have the time and a kite this might be a good day to go fly it.
Low Temperature (°F): 35.2
Current Temperature (°F): 36.6
Relative Humidity (%): 61%
Dew Point (°F): 24.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in.Hg): 29.98
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.4
Wind Chill ((°F): 36.6
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Clear/Red
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:43°F/47.6°F//38°F/41.9°F//34°F/46.4°F//31°F/41.7°F
Relative Humidity: 73%/78%//79%/85%//82%/80%//78%/68%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the first two time periods overnight and missed the last two. Maybe the cold front did not come through as quickly as they thought it would. There were two points that were close to the forecast relative humidity; 19:00 hours last night and 01:00 hours this morning. This could have been better.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 33°F/39°F/43°F/42°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/42%/33%/31%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:23 AM
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March 27, 2007
Cloudy But Pleasant

It really does not matter if it is cloudy, as long as the temperature is warming up, and it has done that today. At sunset, the sky is overcast, and as you can see, there are ominous clouds to the west.
100b0880.jpg
Dark Clouds Lowering Overhead At Sunset March 27, 2007
N.O.A.A. had us suffering under rain tapering to showers today, but that just did not happen. The temperature did make it into the low fifties this afternoon. This was not a bad day; it just was not a great one.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. sees us being on the line between no precipitation and light scattered snow showers. That forecast is for the entire night. The predicted cloud cover (40%/29%/18%/24%) does not really support that forecast, and neither does the temperature forecast. There is a 10 mph wind expected out of the Northwest overnight.
My Weather Stick points down, and with a 78% relative humidity who can blame it? Two of the electronic instruments (the same as this morning) indicate falling barometric pressure and foul weather. The remote weather station still forecasts clouds with steady barometric pressure. With the northwest wind, we can probably expect things to get a bit cooler than last night, but with no precipitation. We keep springing ahead and falling back, but at least every spring ahead moves us a little closer to warm weather.
High Temperature (°F): 52.3
Current Temperature (°F): 46.7
Relative Humidity (%): 78%
Dew Point (°F): 40.2
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.88
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 1.1
Wind Chill ((°F): 46.7
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:36°F/33.9°F//46°F/41.0°F//51°F/48.3°F//51°F/52.3°F
Relative Humidity: 89%/91%//65%/88%//56%/75%//56%/70%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for today. The only relative humidity forecast data point that was correct today was at 07:00 this morning. Not good folks.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 43°F/38°F/34°F/31°F
Relative Humidity: 73%/79%/82%/78%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:51 PM
Comments (1) | Permalink

Another Foggy Start To The Day!

We did not see the sunrise this morning because of the presence of the fog and clouds. Overnight we had another 0.05 inches of rain. Right now, it is just foggy, but that should lift later this morning to be replaced with clouds and rain according to N.O.A.A.
100b0831.jpg
A Foggy Day In Wilton Town
Overnight they did predict rain, and it appears they got that right. The temperature did not go below freezing this morning as was predicted.
For today, N.O.A.A. predicts rain this morning tapering to showers this afternoon and their cloud cover forecast (90%/88%/85%/63%) supports that probability. From the forecast it appears that we may actually get into the low fifties today for our high temperature. For the next couple of months it would be good to have a spot of rain every three or four days. It does not have to be an all day soaker, but a little bit would be very good.
My Weather Stick points down, and with 91% relative humidity we should not be surprised at that. Two of the electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts falling barometric pressure as well, but only clouds as the predominant weather. I suspect that they may well be right. We have clouds with fog right now, and it does appear to be overcast, so rain is not out of the question.
Low Temperature (°F): 33.8
Current Temperature (°F): 34.7
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 32.2
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.87
Wind Direction: Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 34.7
Precipitation (type): Rain/Fog
Amount (inches): 0.05
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:43°F/37.4°F//39°F/36.1°F//37°F/35.6°F//35°F/34.3°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/85%//79%/89%//89%/90%//85%/90%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the overnight. The relative humidity forecast for the overnight did not hit the mark for the first half of the night, but was quite close for the second half. That was a fair job.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 36°F/46°F/51°F/51°F
Relative Humidity: 89%/65%/56%/56%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:36 AM
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March 26, 2007
And the Sun Shall Follow The Rain?

Yes, the sun shall, but the only question is when. It started raining around mid-afternoon, and since this morning we have had almost a tenth of an inch of rain. There was just a short period this morning where we had some sunshine, and the temperature made it into the upper forties. I went outside and checked on the crocuses. They are just barely through the ground by maybe a half an inch. Not enough to photograph. We are just going to have to wait for their color to grace these pages. N.O.A.A. predicted light rain this afternoon and no rain this morning. I think they got this one right.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts rain, and their forecast cloud cover supports that (94%/95%/96%/93%). The forecast temperature also supports rain as the precipitation type. Looking at my Weather Station Console, it is a little early to predict the temperature not falling below freezing, but we shall see.
My Weather Stick points down indicative of the 84% relative humidity. The Weather Station console has its storm alert active and falling barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts rain with a falling barometer. The remote weather station forecasts clouds with falling barometric pressure. I was outside a few minutes ago, and it was still raining lightly, but raining it was. I think we will see more as the evening wears on. .
High Temperature (°F): 49.4
Current Temperature (°F): 38.4
Relative Humidity (%): 84%
Dew Point (°F): 34.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.03
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 6.9
Wind Chill ((°F): 30.8
Precipitation (type): Rain
Amount (inches): 0.08
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 29°F/25.8°F//41°F/40.4°F//47°F/48.7°F//48°F/42.9°F
Relative Humidity: 78%/86%//52%/67%//45%/53%//49%/73%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature today. The relative humidity forecast for today did not hit the mark. Nice try folks.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 43°F/39°F/37°F/35°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/79%/89%/85%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:25 PM
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A Weather Breeding Sky?

We had an impressive sunrise this morning, but that usually does not bode well for the coming day.
100b0760.jpg
The temperature is rapidly approaching the freezing mark on its way up. We did not have any rain yesterday, but my rain gauge reported 0.08 inches of precipitation. That was due to the snow melting in the funnel, but it needs to be reported. Soon I will put out the analog rain gauge (once the threat of freezing weather is reduced). I really do not want to see it cracked because of frozen water. N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct, since we had no precipitation overnight.
For today, N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation for the first half of the day with scattered showers developing in the afternoon. The cloud cover prediction does tend to support that (58%/67%/75%/85%). The temperature is expected to rise above the freezing mark, which also supports the prediction that it will be rain, rather than frozen precipitation.
My Weather Stick still responds to high humidity by pointing down. The Weather Station Console forecasts rising barometric pressure and fair skies (I do not believe it). The other two electronic instruments predict falling barometric pressure with partly cloudy skies. The skies are already partly cloudy, and those clouds appear to be thickening and lowering. I suspect that we may have a spot of rain before the day is over.
Low Temperature (°F): 25.5
Current Temperature (°F): 26.2
Relative Humidity (%): 86%
Dew Point (°F): 22.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.29
Wind Direction: South Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 26.2
Precipitation (type): Melt
Amount (inches): 0.08
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 40°F/44.0°F//33°F/31.2°F//29°F/26.6°F//29°F/27.5°F
Relative Humidity: 68%/51%//72%/72%//85%/83%//92%/85%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature overnight. The relative humidity forecast for the overnight hit the mark in the middle, but missed at both ends.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 29°F/41°F/47°F/48°F
Relative Humidity: 78%/52%/45%/49%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:29 AM
Comments (1) | Permalink

March 25, 2007
I Have Seen Crocuses Coming Up

Before I get into tonight's' report I have a correction. The poem I was thinking of was by Carl Sandburg, and is as follows:
The fog comes
on little cat feet.

It sits looking
over harbor and city
on silent haunches
and then moves on.

Carl Sandburg
My thanks to the reader of this report that brought it to my attention.
N.O.A.A. did get the predominant weather correct. As you saw in this morning's report there was some thick fog, and id did dissipate by 10:00 hours. The sky did clear and we had a lovely, warm, spring day. The snow that fell overnight is gone along with some more of the snowpack.
For tonight N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation for the first half and fog for the second. The cloud cover above the fog is supposed to remain quite light (18%/81%/18%/29%). The temperature is forecast to reach the mid-twenties by 04:00 hours tomorrow morning.
My Weather Stick responds to the 72% relative humidity by pointing straight out. All three of my electronic instruments are in agreement calling for fair skies with rising barometric pressure. How can argue with that? With N.O.A.A.'s prediction of temperatures in the mid-twenties I am not sure how the fog will form without it freezing on everything. That should be interesting.
High Temperature (°F): 58.8
Current Temperature (°F): 32.1
Relative Humidity (%): 72%
Dew Point (°F): 23.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.33
Wind Direction: South Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 32.1
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 28°F/30.7°F//41°F/38.4°F//47°F/49.2°F//47°F/56.4°F
Relative Humidity: 78%/88%//46%/77%//38%/54%//37%/39%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature from 07:00 to 13:00 hours. They Missed the 16:00 hour data point though. The only relative humidity forecast for today that was accurate was at 16:00 hours this afternoon. The rest of them were over 5% outside the actual recorded reading. It seems the relative humidity moved out a bit faster than they expected..
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature:40°F/33°F/29°F/29°F
Relative Humidity: 68%/72%/85%/92%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:33 PM
Comments (1) | Permalink

The Fog Creeps In On Little Cat Feet

Sometimes it leaves and sometimes it doesn't. (Robert Frost, I Think) N.O.A.A. did predict some snow overnight and we did get some, but it is not enough to do anything about. The temperature is already above freezing and I would expect the snow to be gone by nightfall. With the warm air on the cold snow and the high relative humidity it is no wonder that we have a thick fog this morning.
100b0730.jpg
The Fog Returns After The Snow
After the fog burns off, which N.O.A.A. expects to occur before 10:00 hours, they expect no further precipitation, clearing skies (7%/40%/10%/10%) and warming temperatures. They predict 47°F for the high, and I would not be surprised to see it break 59°F by this afternoon.
My Weather Stick is trying to make the circle toward the ground, and with 89% relative humidity who can blame it. My Weather Station Console and remote weather station forecast rising barometric pressure and fair skies. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts partly cloudy skies with rising barometric pressure. I think that the fog will burn off, the skies clear and the temperatures warm up to delightful levels. This should be an excellent day to visit a maple sugaring operation. This is, after all, Maine Maple Sunday, a sure sign of spring.
Low Temperature (°F): 30.0
Current Temperature (°F): 32.1
Relative Humidity (%): 89%
Dew Point (°F): 29.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.30
Wind Direction: East Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 32.1
Precipitation (type): Snow/Fog
Amount (inches): 1.00
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 38°F/39.3°F//33°F/33.8°F//29°F/32.5°F//26°F/30.0°F
Relative Humidity: 44%/51%//58%/75%//72%/83%//81%/85%.

N.O.A.A. was within 5° of the target with the temperature for the overnight. The only relative humidity forecast for the overnight that was accurate was at 04:00 hours this morning. The rest of them were over 5% outside the actual recorded reading. It seems the relative humidity moved in a bit faster than they expected..
Forecast data for today.
Temperature:28°F/41°F/47°F/47°F
Relative Humidity: 78%/46%/38%/37%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:57 AM
Comments (1) | Permalink

March 24, 2007
Another Springtime Change

The clouds have moved in, thickening and lowering as they came, all day. The temperature did warm up, and reduced the snow pack even more. There is just a little more snow on the ground in places where it drifted as the wind moved it around. My driveway is completely clear of snow and ice. All that is left is the mud. We did not have any mixed precipitation late this afternoon as N.O.A.A. predicted.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts snow ending around 01:00 and then no precipitation. The cloud cover supports that (91%/91%/91%/83%) as does the temperature falling below freezing around midnight.
My Weather Stick seems to be trying to make a circle curling up in response to some very low relative humidity (40%). All three of the electronic instruments predict falling barometric pressure. The Weather Station Console and remote weather station forecast partly cloudy skies, while the Min/Max Thermometer forecasts foul weather. Someone told me that it was snowing in Jay around 19:00 hours, but I have not seeing it here yet. We may get some yet, but if we do, it will not be plowable snow. We stand a chance of some snow showers overnight, but it should melt quickly and take some more of the snow pack with it.
High Temperature (°F): 59.5
Current Temperature (°F): 43.3
Relative Humidity (%): 40%
Dew Point (°F): 20.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.18
Wind Direction: South Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 3.5
Wind Chill ((°F): 43.3
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 29°F/23.9°F//39°F/44.6°F//44°F/58.6°F//41°F/48.7°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/78%//46%/44%//37%/29%//44%/33%.

N.O.A.A. was close to the target with the temperature at 07:00 and 10:00, but they missed the range with the later forecast temperatures. The relative humidity forecasts for today hit the mark at 10:00 hours and either missed the mark or missed the range for the rest of the day.
Forecast data for he overnight.
Temperature:38°F/33°F/29°F/26°F
Relative Humidity: 44%/58%/72%/81%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:50 PM
Comments (0) | Permalink

Cirrus Clouds And A Red Sky At Dawning

The sun rose this morning making the cirrus clouds a brilliant red. Both of these indicators can be harbingers of foul weather afoot. The sky was mostly cloudy, which was a greater cloud cover than N.O.A.A. predicted last night. They seem to have gotten the predicted temperature very close to the recorded temperature for a change. The winds have been light and variable all night. In fact most of the overnight they remained calm.
For today, N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation until 16:00 hours after which we could expect scattered light mixed precipitation. (It did not happen)
My Weather Stick is responding to the 73% relative humidity by pointing straight out from my carriage house wall. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with improving barometric pressure. I checked my snow gauge and the ground is visible in a six inches circle around it. There is still some snow on the ground, but it seems to be disappearing quickly. All the snow is off the roof of my house and barn, and soon the animals are going to be demanding to be allowed outside to find some fresh grass. It may be a while before they can get to fresh grass though.
Low Temperature (°F): 24.0
Current Temperature (°F): 30.3
Relative Humidity (%): 74%
Dew Point (°F): 23.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in.Hg): 30.31
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 30.3
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 40°F/41.1°F//34°F/37.2°F//29°F/34.3°F//25°F/26.6°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/47%//58%/55%//66%/59%//74%/71%.

N.O.A.A. hit the target with both the temperature and relative humidity for the overnight. Excellent Job!
Forecast data for today.
Temperature:29-°F/39°F/44°F/41°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/46%/37%/44%

This report is a bit late because my ISP is currently (11:13) out of service. I will upload as soon as they come back on line. I do not have the current forecast data yet either.

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:22 PM
Comments (0) | Permalink

This Was Another Gorgeous Day.

We had mild temperatures, light winds and a few clouds passing overhead. It was a great day for a road trip, and a friend of mine and I did exactly that. I stuffed my outdoor wood boiler yesterday afternoon, and because of the mild weather we are having right now, I may not need to stuff it again until Monday or Tuesday. I do not mind that at all. N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct for today, although I think they might have been a little low on the estimation of the cloud cover until late this afternoon.
For tonight, N.O.A.A. forecasts light cloud cover again (29% all night until 04:00 hours when it will drop to 28%), slightly cooler temperatures but no precipitation. The NEXRAD radar shows some weather in extreme southern New England, but it seems to be moving away from us. The Weather Underground model forecast maps also show no potential storms headed in our direction.
My weather Stick points up responding to the 59% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast improving barometric pressure. Two of them are forecasting fair skies. The remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies. My best guess based on what I have seen outside is that we will have a few clouds, some light wind out of the North-Northwest to Northeast, moderating temperatures and plenty of stars. Orion was quite visible tonight. If we continue to have a few more clear nights I will try to get a few "star pictures" with my newer digital camera, or I may try some with my film camera and its macro/zoom lens. I have some experimentation to do.
High Temperature (°F): 57.5
Current Temperature (°F): 33.8
Relative Humidity (%): 59%
Dew Point (°F): 20.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.15
Wind Direction: Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 33.8
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 35°F/41.1°F//45°F/48.7°F//50°F/56.4°F//50°F/49.6°F
Relative Humidity: 89%/75%//51%/60%//36%/39%//36%/40%.

The temperature forecast and recorded data were closer that they were for the overnight, but they were still not great. The relative humidity recorded and forecast data were the closest for the last two periods. This was still not great, but it was better than the overnight. It is difficult to predict the future, particularly when the weather changes so quickly here during the spring and fall.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 40°F/34°F/29°F/25°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/58%/66%/74%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 12:13 AM
Comments (0) | Permalink

March 23, 2007
Even The Dewpoint Is Above Freezing!

Not only did the temperature remain above freezing overnight, but also the dewpoint did as well. Maybe, just maybe, we have finally turned the corner from Winter into Spring. N.O.A.A.'s prediction for rain and snow overnight in this area of Maine did not materialize, and this morning we have just a few cirrus clouds and a great deal of sunshine. That orb is just a thing of beauty. We should lose a significant amount of snow-pack today.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, low cloud cover (24% all day) and temperatures in the fifties. I am not sure what happened, but the NEXRAD radar is showing a significant amount of rain south and west of us, but it is moving due east, and does not appear to be about to affect us. The Weather Underground model maps show that a mass of clouds and possible showers went through the area around midnight, but nothing showed up in my rain gauge. The storm that showed up on the maps is now offshore and it too appears that it will not affect us.
My weather stick points straight out due to the 75% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. They do not seem to be able to agree on the predominant weather. The Weather Station Console indicates partly cloudy skies. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts fair skies. The remote weather station forecasts cloudy skies. As I look outside (I always find that helps), I see a few cirrus clouds and a great deal of sunshine. That leads me to believe that we will have a warm day, with much sun and very few clouds. I hope I am right.
Low Temperature (°F): 40.4
Current Temperature (°F): 41.5
Relative Humidity (%): 75%
Dew Point (°F): 34.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.88
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 41.5
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 39°F/52.1°F//36°F/50.5°F//33°F/47.8°F//31°F/44.9°F
Relative Humidity: 85%/57%//92%/68%//100%/79%//100%/71%.

All I can say is "WOW!” I cannot remember when N.O.A.A. has missed both the temperature and relative humidity data points by the amount they did overnight. This is incredible.
Forecast data for today
Temperature: 35°F/45°F/50°F/50°F
Relative Humidity: 89%/51%/36%/36%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:20 AM
Comments (0) | Permalink

March 22, 2007
The Southerly Wind Blows Warm

Yes indeed, and it certainly did today. Incredible, absolutely incredible is what this day was. After this morning's very brief shower the sun came out, the clouds dissipated and the temperature went on a meteoric rise. Over 60 degrees by 16:00 hours this afternoon. I loved it. The snow pack actually lost over three inches during the day today. My main driveway is almost totally clear of snow and ice. Of course, it is now a sea of mud, and that makes its own mess. N.O.A.A. predicted rain and showers all day today, and I will take showers like this any time. In a word, they blew that forecast.
Here we go with another N.O.A.A. forecast. They are predicting rain and snow showers all night long, the cloud cover dissipating (81%/70%/50%/51%) and the temperature just barely getting below freezing. The one does not seem to support the other.
My Weather Stick points up indicating about 62% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments are predicting foul weather with falling barometric pressure. It almost appears that they have communicated with N.O.A.A. on this one. I would have to say, based on the data I have before me, that we well may have some precipitation during the night. I only hope the ice melted out of my rain gauge so I can get a reasonable registration of the rain (if that is what it is to be) that falls.
High Temperature (°F): 62.2
Current Temperature (°F): 50.1
Relative Humidity (%): 62%
Dew Point (°F): 32.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.7
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 50.1
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today:
Temperature: 22°F/28.5°F//36°F/39.0°F//43°F/57.9°F//44°F/62.2°F
Relative Humidity: 92%/76%//67%/76%//62%/44%//65%/42%.

The only forecast data point that N.O.A.A. had correct was the 10:00 hour one. They missed all the data points today for the relative humidity. Whoever threw the coins on the sheet did not do well. Maybe someone else needs to do the coin toss.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 39°F/36°F/33°F/31°F
Relative Humidity: 85%/92%/100%/100%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:35 PM
Comments (0) | Permalink

A Gray Day!!

The temperature is on the rise, the clouds are making their appearance and we have had a trace of rain. The overnight low temperature occurred at 22:00 hours last night, and it has been rising slowly since then. Right now, it is 29.8 degrees, and it appears that we will exceed the freezing mark as the morning wears on. N.O.A.A. does not seem to have gotten the predominant weather correct since there is no ice on the roads or walkways. They did predict a nasty commute this morning, but it appears that the roads are just wet according to one report I have gotten.
For today, N.O.A.A. predicts rain tapering to showers by later this morning. The predicted cloud cover (92%/86%/80%/80%) and temperature forecasts do support that prediction. Looking toward the west it does appear that we have some showers moving into our area. I checked the NEXRAD radar, and it shows the bulk of the moisture already past us. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show a storm approaching us, breaking up and reforming off shore. They do show some light clouds and precipitation in the area today, but we shall have to wait and see on that.
My Weather Stick points slightly up, the effect of 77% relative humidity. My Weather Station Console has its storm alert active with falling barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer indicates foul weather with falling barometric pressure, and the remote weather station indicates falling barometric pressure with clouds. Nothing like having total disagreement on the forecast from the electronics. The only thing they agree on is the direction of the barometric pressure. My guess is that we will see unsettled weather with moderating temperatures. At least we will not be below freezing all day as we were earlier this month.
Low Temperature (°F): 23.1
Current Temperature (°F): 29.1
Relative Humidity (%): 77%
Dew Point (°F): 22.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.11
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 4.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 27.3
Precipitation (type): Rain
Amount (inches): Trace
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/30.7°F//20°F/23.1°F//25°F/26.7°F//28°F/28.2°F
Relative Humidity: 43%/29%//59%/48%//57%/62%//60%/65%.

N.O.A.A. only missed the temperature at 19:00 hours, the rest of them they forecast correctly. They only missed the first two data points overnight by more than 5% for the relative humidity, the last two were very close to the recorded data overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 22°F/36°F/43°F/44°F
Relative Humidity: 92%/67%/62%/65%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:11 AM
Comments (1) | Permalink

Another Crazy Day!

The barometric pressure topped out at 30.68, which is as high as I have seen it since I started doing these reports. This afternoon it has fallen rapidly, and is now 30.33. It has fallen even since I started this report at 23:00 hours. The sky, which remained mostly clear all day, has now become mostly cloudy. There are only cirrus clouds right now, but I suspect they will thicken and lower as the night wears on.
N.O.A.A. is forecasting some light snow until sometime early tomorrow morning when it will turn to ice and remain so until drive time in the morning. The Nexrad radar and Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we have some foul weather headed our way, and if the N.O.A.A. graphical forecasts prove to be correct we are in for a nasty piece of weather. The cloud cover is predicted to increase (21%/54%/86%/93%) as is the temperature, both of which support a freezing rain event or some form of icing, and that will not make the roads a pleasant place to be later tonight or tomorrow morning.
My Weather Stick points up, and who can blame it with 56% relative humidity. Two of the electronic instruments are forecasting foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The remote weather station shows the barometric pressure falling, but fair skies. I do not believe that one. My best guess, based on what I see outside and the forecasts from the National Weather Service is that we are in for a nasty bit of weather, but if we stay put early tomorrow, we should be all right. If you must travel tomorrow, do be very careful. Four-wheel drive can get you going, but it will not do anything to help you stop. .
High Temperature (°F): 47.4
Current Temperature (°F): 24.4
Relative Humidity (%): 56%
Dew Point (°F): 10.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in.Hg): 30.36
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 24.4
Precipitation (type): Melt
Amount (inches): 0.04
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 08°F/03.5°F//25°F/26.2°F//34°F/42.4°F//35°F/44.9°F
Relative Humidity: 60%/54%//31%/33%//24%/21%//26%/21%.

N.O.A.A. did not forecast the temperature closely for today. They only missed most of data points by more than 5 degrees with the exception of the 10:00 hour point. They missed the mark on half the points for the relative humidity except the two in the middle of the day at 10:00 and 13:00 hours.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/20°F/25°F/28°F
Relative Humidity: 43%/59%/57%/60%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 12:33 AM
Comments (0) | Permalink

March 21, 2007
The Sky Is Clear, The Temperature And Wind Down

It has been a long time since I have seen a barometric pressure as high as it is this morning, and it keeps on climbing. There is not a cloud in the sky, and that is just the way N.O.A.A. predicted it. We had no precipitation overnight as well, and there was none predicted by N.O.A.A.
For today N.O.A.A. predicts temperatures climbing above freezing, very little cloud cover (.0%/12%/26%/29%), and no precipitation. I cannot add anything to that.
My Weather Stick points up, and at 36% relative humidity I am not surprised. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. I am not sure how much higher the barometric pressure can go, but we may find out. This must be a very strong high pressure system. With the sun shining as brightly as it is, the winds calm and the temperature rising as quickly as it is I am unable to create statements to describe it, other than to say it looks like it will be a beautiful spring like day. Enjoy this one! .
Low Temperature (°F): 3.5
Current Temperature (°F): 3.9
Relative Humidity (%): 55%
Dew Point (°F): -8.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.64
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 3.9
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 24°F/18.1°F//16°F/17.4°F//10°F/17.2°F//06°F/11.6°F
Relative Humidity: 36%/46%//46%/52%//57%/40%//60%/43%.

N.O.A.A. did not forecast the temperature closely for the overnight. They only missed most of data points by more than 5 degrees. They missed the mark on all the points for the relative humidity.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 08°F/25°F/34°F/35°F
Relative Humidity: 60%/31%/24%/26%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:20 AM
Comments (0) | Permalink

March 20, 2007
Don't Like The Weather, Wait 15 Minutes

Well, we started off the morning with overcast skies, the sun came out, the clouds and snow showers came back and finally we have gotten into clear skies with lots of wind. N.O.A.A. missed it on the second half of the day when the sun came out, the skies cleared and the temperature fell. We had our high temperature around 10:00 hours. The wind is cruel and biting. It is pretty strong too.
N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation overnight, in fact they are calling for the cloud cover to continue to dissipate (22%/14%/5%/3%). That is the lowest cloud cover forecast that I can remember seeing since I have been following the N.O.A.A. forecasts. We can also expect the temperatures to dip once again into the single numbers. I do not think we will ever warm up. We did have a warm December, and everything seems to average out.
My Weather Stick points up as a result of the 36% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments are forecasting fair skies overnight with rising barometric pressure. With all the forecasts going that way I would have to agree and call for fair skies, lots of wind and low temperatures for the overnight. Stay warm!
High Temperature (°F): 37.2
Current Temperature (°F): 26.4
Relative Humidity (%): 36%
Dew Point (°F): 2.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.17
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 7.3
Wind Chill ((°F): 16.1
Precipitation (type): Snow
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 24°F/28.9°F//29°F/37.0°F//32°F/32.3°F//31°F/26.2°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/81%//46%/62%//32%/36%//29%/36%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature closely for the today. They only missed the 10:00 hour data point by more than 5 degrees. The only relative humidity data point N.O.A.A. forecast correctly was the 13:00 hours point. I still wish I knew how they determine these forecasts.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 24°F/16°F/10°F/06°F
Relative Humidity: 36%/46%/57%/60%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 05:54 PM
Comments (0) | Permalink

Welcome Solar Spring!

The sun passes over the tropic of Capricorn ushering in spring on the calendar. What we need now is meteorological spring where the temperature stays above freezing most of the time, the snow-pack disappears and the flowers begin to bloom. We maybe as much as a month away from that here in the foothills of Maine's Western Mountains. Overnight the temperature did not fall very far due to the cloud cover that remained in place for the entire night. I was up around 04:00 this morning, and I saw the few flakes of snow fall that just barely coated my vehicle. As I suspected when I looked at the NEXRAD radar last night the predicted storm went mainly south of us into the Gulf of Maine. Right now the sun is shining and the clouds I saw when I started this have dissipated.
For today N.O.A.A. predicts light scattered snow showers. With the sun making an appearance I have my doubts that the cloud cover prediction (81%/69%/58%/41%) will support snow showers. The temperature seems to be rising rapidly also, and that will not support snow showers either.
My Weather Stick points slightly down, and that in response to the 81% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. With the way things look outside I have to disagree with N.O.A.A. and my electronics. I am going to suggest that we will see partly cloudy to clear skies, and the temperatures rising well above freezing today. (We are already at 31.2°F, and that in less than an hour). If N.O.A.A. can be wrong, so can I, but once in a while I can be right too. Have a wonderful Vernal Equinox.
Low Temperature (°F): 28.5
Current Temperature (°F): 29.1
Relative Humidity (%): 83%
Dew Point (°F): 24.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.77
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.9
Wind Chill ((°F): 20.1
Precipitation (type): Snow
Amount (inches): 0.00
100b0682.jpg100b0702.jpg
The Whole Gauge Before The Storm The Whole Gauge After The Storm
100b0671.jpg100b0712.jpg
The Gauge Close-up Before The StormThe Gauge Close-up After The Storm
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 30°F/32.7°F//27°F/31.6°F//25°F/31.1°F//23°F/30.0°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/36%//60%/52%//74%/66%//77%/76%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature closely for the overnight. They only missed the 01:00 and 04:00 data points by more than 5 degrees. The only relative humidity data point N.O.A.A. forecast correctly was the 04:00 hours point. I still wish I knew how they determine these forecasts.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 29°F/24°F/32°F/31°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/46%/32%/29%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:16 AM
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March 19, 2007
Are We Sure this Is Not The Winter Solstice?

The calendar says tomorrow is the first day of Spring, but the weather says Winter all the way. The clouds have been slowly moving from West To East, and they have been thickening all day. This event certainly has been taking its own sweet time getting here. N.O.A.A. seems to have gotten this right, except we have hot had any snow or other precipitation so far this afternoon. I guess when they flipped the coin it must have landed on edge and they got half the predominant forecast for the day wrong.
I have looked at the NEXRAD composite radar, and it shows a significant amount of snow on the screen. The only problem I see is that it does not appear to be moving directly at us, but a bit south, and on that basis I have to wonder about the amount of snow we are predicted to receive. I did look at the N.O.A.A. prediction for the amount of snow and they call for about 2 inches by 07:00 hours tomorrow morning. Hmmmm. Their cloud cover prediction in the nineties (95%/92%/90%/86%) and the temperature predictions certainly support snow overnight, but I am just not convinced. With that said I will eat my words when we have the foot of snow on the ground tomorrow morning.
My Weather Stick points up this afternoon, and with 31% relative humidity I agree with that, unlike this mornings reading. The Weather Station Console and Min/Max Thermometer forecast fair skies (they are wrong) with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather Station forecasts partly cloudy skies with a steady barometer. I am betting on N.O.A,.A., but I am not sure of the amount of snow they are predicting
High Temperature (°F): 41.0
Current Temperature (°F): 38.1
Relative Humidity (%): 31%
Dew Point (°F): 10.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.07
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.2
Wind Chill ((°F): 38.1
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 14°F/17.0°F//26°F/25.8°F//32°F/37.7°F//33°F/37.2°F
Relative Humidity: 62%/50%//42%/37%//35%/31%//38%/30%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature closely for today, just not as well as last night. The relative humidity forecast missed the mark, but again not as badly as they did overnight. I heard that they flip a coin. I think they have a sheet with 100 numbers on it and toss a coin at it, and where it lands that is the number they pick. I am teasing, but they do seem to have their problems forecasting the temperature and relative humidity.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 30°F/27°F/25°F/23°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/60%/74%/77%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 04:54 PM
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Is This The Eve Of The Vernal Equinox?

When we think of spring we think of crocuses and daffodils, well, not this year. Here in Maine we are seeing around 12 inches of snow on the ground. By the way the predictions for tomorrow indicate another healthy dose of snow overnight and into tomorrow. This appears to be a "line storm". You know, those storms that follow the line between seasons. Overnight we did have some snow showers here, but as I noted last night they did not add to our total snow accumulation. The clouds did dissipate and we have been left with clear skies. There is also some moderate wind.
For the first half of the day N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation. The predicted cloud cover (20%/;37%/53%/73%) supports the prediction that snow will be moving into the area after noon. The forecast temperature also supports that prediction since it will be just barely reaching the freezing mark. N.O.A.A. is predicting about an inch and a half of new snow out of this event. Welcome to Spring in Maine where we grow the snow-pack instead of spring flowers.
I am surprised that my Weather Stick points only slightly up with 40% relative humidity. I wonder if the sun shining on it is having an effect. Maybe it is predicting some unsettled weather in our future. Two of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies and a rising barometer. The remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies with the same rising barometer. What I see outside is a beautiful morning with no hint of clouds or a storm on the horizon. There does seem to be some "milkiness" to the sky west of us, and they sky at sunrise was a little red. These things may portend some foul weather in our future, but I am but a novice at this, so I do not know.
Low Temperature (°F): 16.7
Current Temperature (°F): 23.0
Relative Humidity (%): 40%
Dew Point (°F): 2.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.07
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 3.5
Wind Chill ((°F): 23.0
Precipitation (type): Snow
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 27°F/24.9°F//23°F/23.5°F//19°F/23.5°F//15°F/19.5°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/59%//52%/71%//54%/49%//61%/49%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature closely for the overnight. The relative humidity forecast missed the mark by the usual country mile. I wish I knew how they determine the forecast numbers. Maybe then I would not be so hard on them.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 14°F/26°F/32°F/33°F
Relative Humidity: 62%/42%/35%/38%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:49 AM
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March 18, 2007
Not a bad day overall.

For today N.O.A.A. predicted light scattered snow showers for the entire day. We took a brief trip to Freeport, Maine this afternoon and drove through a couple of them. This has been one of those days where it would depend on where you were whether or not you were to get one of those showers. As it is said in Real Estate the whole thing is dependant on location, location, location. The temperature did get above freezing, therefore there was some melting of yesterday's snow going on. At this rate we may have snow on the ground until June.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts snow showers until around 00:00 hours, after which they predict no precipitation. The cloud cover is also supposed to dissipate (81%/58%/34%/33%0,, and that supports that prediction. The Weather Underground forecast maps and NEXRAD radar also support the idea that there will be no additional accumulation of snow overnight.
My Weather stick points straight out and that is supported by the 71% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments are currently calling for fair skies with rising barometric pressure. It does appear that after these clouds dissipate that we will have exactly that. OK, so depending on your location you may have a snow shower before midnight, and after midnight you will have fair skies. That is fair enough.
High Temperature (°F): 37.0
Current Temperature (°F): 23.5
Relative Humidity (%): 71%
Dew Point (°F): 15.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.75
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 3.5
Wind Chill ((°F): 23.5
Precipitation (type): Snow
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 21°F/20.8°F//27°F/25.7°F//31°F/32.5°F//31°F/29.4°F
Relative Humidity: 68%/70%//50%/55%//39%/42%//39%/48%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature correctly today, and they got the relative humidity right as well. Wow, that is an accomplishment for them.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 27°F/23°F/19°F/15°F
Relative Humidity: 50%/52%/54%/61%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:01 PM
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O.K. We Had the Spring Snow We Need Warmth

Yesterday we had an impressive storm, not the biggest, but impressive.
100b0652.jpg
Main Drive--03/18/2007
100b0642.jpg
Lower Drive Closed Unitl After mud Season
Overnight we did have some light snow showers, but they did not add to the overall total for the storm. The day started out overcast as a result of those showers, but right now the sun seems to be making an appearance. Yea Sun!
For today N.O.A.A. still predicts light scattered snow showers with the cloud cover increasing to the mid eighty percent range (74%/81%/87%/83%), and that supports the idea of light scattered snow showers for the day. With the crust on the snow from the sleet there has been very little drifting of the snow as a result of the wind we had overnight, and even I can walk on top of it.
My Weather Stick points down as a result of the 66% relative humidity, or maybe it is forecasting some foul weather. Two of the three electronic instruments forecast partly cloudy skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts foul weather with rising barometric pressure. I guess nothing is perfect. My best guess is that we will have partly cloudy skies with the possibility of a passing snow shower. That should not add to the current total though. We will get what we will get.
Low Temperature (°F): 20.8
Current Temperature (°F): 22.4
Relative Humidity (%): 66%
Dew Point (°F): 12.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.48
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 4.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 20.5
Precipitation (type): Rain
Amount (inches): 0.02
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/31.2°F//22°F/26.2°F//21°F/23.9°F//19°F/22.8°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/84%//92%/81%//88%/79%//84%/81%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the last two time periods fairly closely, but missed the mark early in the evening. The only data point they got right on the relative humidity was the 04:00 hours point. Not good guys.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 21°F/27°F/31°F/31°F
Relative Humidity: 68%/50%/39%/39%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:17 AM
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March 17, 2007
What A Wild Weather Day!

The storm was essentially over by 13:00 hours. At least that was when I went outside and started to snowblow the driveway and dooryard. If I had waited until tomorrow I would have been dealing with precipitation with the consistency of concrete. It would not have been a pretty sight. I do not believe N.O.A.A. got the predominant weather completely correct. They predicted ice the entire day, but we had some rain I do believe, and it did essentially stop by mid-afternoon. I am not complaining mind you, but I would have had some real problems if I had held to their forecast.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts that we will have light scattered snow showers all night, the temperature just getting into the teens and the cloud cover remaining above the 70% level (86%/80%/74%/77%). The NEXRAD radar shows the storm lifting away form here into the Canadian Maritimes. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show some left over precipitation in Maine overnight and into tomorrow.
My Weather Stick points down due to the 83% relative humidity. The Weather Station Console has cancelled its storm alert and now calls for foul weather with a falling barometer just like the other two electronic instruments. The temperature is beginning to fall and the barometric pressure is starting to rise. My best guess is that there is a possibility of some widely scattered snow showers, possibly some fog and a bit of wind just to keep it interesting. I will try to get a couple of photos of the driveways tomorrow. I did not clear the lower drive because of the ruts in the mud from last week. Now we need some warm weather to help get rid of this storm. Enough is enough already!!
High Temperature (°F): 36.3
Current Temperature (°F): 34.7
Relative Humidity (%): 83%
Dew Point (°F): 29.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.35
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 34.7
Precipitation (type): Sleet/Fog
Amount (inches): 1.00
100b0602.jpg100b0632.jpg
Snow Gauge After the Storm
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 17°F/17.9°F//24°F/20.8°F//29°F/29.8°F//29°F/35.2°F
Relative Humidity: 92%/84%//77%/86%//69%/84%//75%/83%.
N.O.A.A. had three of the four forecast temperatures close enough to be acceptable, but they missed the 16:00 hour point. The relative humidity, missed the mark completely. So it goes.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/22°F/21°F/19°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/92%/88%/84%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:24 PM
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Can You Say, "Snow Sandwich."?

Last night we started with snow, and had quite a bit. At some point overnight that snow changed to sleet, and as I look out the north facing window at my carriage house roof (see photo) it appears to have changed back to snow or at least a mix of sleet and snow.
100b0400.jpg
Sleet? or Snow?
I took Bart for his evening constitutional around 23:00 hours it was snowing still and we had an estimated 3 inches at that point. When I took Bart out this morning (he did not want to go and neither did I) it was sleeting very hard. The snow gauge showed that we had gone from 3 inches to 11 inches yielding 8 inches of new frozen precipitation. There is no telling what the final amount will be, and we are having significant blowing of the precipitation. I have recorded wind speeds (07:15 hours of 15.8 miles per hour. Oh my, there is a lot to report this morning.
For today N.O.A.A. forecasts ice for our area all day. Their prediction of the cloud cover 99%/99%/99%/94%) and temperatures below freezing all day support that prediction. The only questions I have are, "Will we have a mix of ice and snow, all snow or all ice?", and "When will it end?"
My Weather Stick points down, and with 85% relative humidity who can be surprised at that? My weather station console is showing a storm alert with falling barometric pressure. That pressure has fallen 0.07 in.Hg since I started this report. My, how quickly the weather changes here. The other two electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. I think we are in the middle of a Nor'easter, and these conditions will persist until it is over, and that could be as early as this evening or as late as tomorrow morning. It took its time getting here, and I am sure it will take its time leaving. By the way, have a happy Saint Patrick's Day.
Low Temperature (°F): 17.4
Current Temperature (°F): 19.2
Relative Humidity (%): 85%
Dew Point (°F): 15.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.64
Wind Direction: East Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 19.2
Precipitation (type): Snow/Sleet (Snow-----Rain)
Amount (inches): 8.00 (19”--------0.08”)
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/20.4°F//20°F/18.3°F//18°F/18.5°F//16°F/17.4°F
Relative Humidity: 54%/58%//64%/78%//73%/83%//88%/83%.

N.O.A.A. had all four forecast temperatures close enough to be acceptable. The first and last data points were acceptable for the Relative humidity, but the mark was missed in the middle. So it goes.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 17°F/24°F/29°F/29°F
Relative Humidity: 92%/77%/69%/75%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:48 AM
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March 16, 2007
The Storm Is just Starting (19:00 hours)

It is just after 19:00 hours and the snow is just blowing and going. I did run outside to put my windshield cover on my truck. I really do not want to deal with cleaning the windshield in the morning (assuming I go outside to clean the vehicle in the morning) or afternoon. It was not pleasant out there either with exposed flesh feeling 11.6°F. The altostratus clouds shown in the photo
100b0350.jpg
These Altostratus Clouds Portend Some Very Foul Weather

have given way to stratus clouds, and the snow is here. The wind as I noted earlier has picked up in intensity and changed direction. It is now coming from the east to the southeast. This is going to be what we here in Maine call a Cockah (remember there is no "R" in Maine). Hang on folks we are going for a ride.
N.O.A.A. predicts snow all night long, 100% cloud cover, also, all night long, and the temperatures dipping into the teens again. (Guess what N.O.A.A. they are already there). I checked the graphical forecast and the prediction is for a bit over a foot of snow on the ground by morning. As I have been following the progress of this storm it still does not look like it will end until late tomorrow or early Sunday with as much as 18 inches of new snow predicted by the end. Once again I guess we will get all of it.
My Weather stick was pointing up around 15:00 hours when the relative humidity was 35%, and now at 69% it points slightly up. All three of my electronic instruments are forecasting partly cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure. The snow currently is not falling, but is blowing straight across my yard from the south-southeast, that is horizontally. I just looked at the NEXRAD radar and Weather Underground model forecast maps, and they have been updated, showing a great deal of weather moving in our direction. This will probably be the storm of the season that will be talked about for some time to come.
High Temperature (°F): 28.2
Current Temperature (°F): 19.7
Relative Humidity (%): 65%
Dew Point (°F): 9.7
Heat Index (°F): HaHa HaHa Ha
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.29
Wind Direction: East
Wind Speed (mph): 6.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 11.6
Precipitation (type): Snow
Amount (inches): 0.00 yet
100b0322.jpg100b0342.jpg
The Snow Gauge Starts Here. Where Will It End?
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Up to Slightly Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 18°F/16.3°F//24°F/21.5°F//28°F/26.4°F//28°F/25.7°F
Relative Humidity: 52%/52%//38%/44%//32%/37%//35%/37%.

N.O.A.A. had all four forecast temperatures and all four relative humidity forecasts close enough to be acceptable. This was the day that they got both the temperature and relative humidity forecasts acceptably correct. Way to go folks.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/20°F/18°F/16°F
Relative Humidity: 54%/64%/73%/88%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:03 PM
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We Are Back Below Freezing Again

Despite the cloud cover overnight we are back in the teens for temperature. N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct, since we had no precipitation overnight, but they appear to have missed the boat for the cloud cover. It did not dissipate as predicted. There is some light and variable wind, mainly from the north-northeast.
N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation until around noon, and then light snow is predicted to move in and increase in intensity later this afternoon. I checked the NEXRAD composite radar, and it still shows storm conditions moving just off our southern coast. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show any significant precipitation reaching us until around 03:00 hours tomorrow morning. After that the indications are that we will have the Nor'easter that all the prognosticators are promising, and according to the forecast maps we may be seeing precipitation (snow) until around noon on Sunday. I say again, "I can hardly wait?".
My Weather Stick points slightly up indicating 52% relative humidity or unsettled but improving weather conditions. I certainly would opt for the latter. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies and improving barometric pressure. I would like to believe that too. The sky is overcast, (cloud cover 27%/52%/77%/87%) but it is still allowing some sunlight through. Looking outside I see cloudy skies, but bright filtered sunshine. This one is just too close for me to call, so I will go with the N.O.A.A. and Weather Underground forecast of a major Nor'easter moving in later today and not ending until sometime Sunday, with snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches of snow and sleet. I will submit before and after photos of the snow gauge on Sunday after the storm is over. Have a great Saint Patrick's Day with the corned beef and cabbage (New England Boiled Dinner)
Low Temperature (°F): 15.9
Current Temperature (°F): 16.3
Relative Humidity (%): 52%
Dew Point (°F): 1.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.40
Wind Direction: North Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 16.3
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 33°F/34.3°F//27°F/28.7°F//22°F/23.1°F//18°F/18.8°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/51%//65%/52%//68%/49%//73%/52%.

N.O.A.A. had all four forecast temperatures within one degree of the actual recorded temperature. Unfortunately they did not do as well with the relative humidity. Only the 19:00 hours data point was close to the actual recorded relative humidity. One of these days they will get them both right on the same day.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 18°F/24°F/28°F/28°F
Relative Humidity: 52%/38%/32%/35%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:43 AM
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March 15, 2007
The Storm Veered Off To Our South

For today, N.O.A.A. predicted rain changing to a wintry mix. Well, they get the first part right, but the wintry mix turned out to be cloudy skies only. The temperature hovered around the mid-forties, and only now, (20:30) has it dropped below freezing. The sky has remained overcast and the wind has been blowing moderately this afternoon. It has not been the greatest day to be outside getting the things done that need to be done. Things, like the pile of wood that you see near my woodsplitter.
100_0304.jpg
The Snow And Ice Are Gone For The Moment 100_0305.jpg
If You Look Carefully You Can See The Ruts In The Mud For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, temperatures dipping into the teens, and cloud cover dropping into the mid-thirty percent range (67%/52%/36%/34%). That does support the idea that we will have no precipitation overnight. The Weather Underground model forecast maps suggest the same, as does the NEXRAD composite radar that shows the storm moving offshore just south of the Maine coast.
My Weather Stick points straight out, responding to the 50% relative humidity. I did not get a picture of that one. All three of the electronic instruments that I have forecast rising barometric pressure and fair skies. That supports the N.O.A.A. forecast of no precipitation for the overnight. According to the Weather Underground model forecast maps we will be clobbered with an old-fashioned nor'easter from early Saturday morning until between 09:00 and 12:00 Sunday. I can hardly wait?
High Temperature (°F): 44.4
Current Temperature (°F): 32.9
Relative Humidity (%): 50%
Dew Point (°F): 16.60
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 30.10
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 3.3
Wind Chill ((°F): 32.9
Precipitation (type): Rain
Amount (inches): 0.02
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 43°F/39.9°F//40°F/40.4°F//38°F/43.7°F//36°F/42.0°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/58%//85%/91%//75%/92%//67%/66%.

N.O.A.A. only missed one of the forecast temperatures, and that was for the 16:00 hour data point. That was not too bad. The only point that N.O.A.A. got right for the relative humidity was the 16:00 hour data point. One of these days they will get them both right on the same day.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 33°F/27°F/22°F/18°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/65%/68%/73%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:19 PM
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A Foul Weather Example

Overnight N.O.A.A. did get it right. We have had rain, and my rain gauge is up to the task, at least for now. The temperature did go just below forty degrees, came up to forty-one and is falling again. The fog right now is so thick you can almost cut it with a knife and it is overcast above the fog. There is virtually no ice left in my driveway (photo this afternoon I hope), but I fear that will not last very long. Old may Winter is not through with us by a long shot I would warrant.
For the start today, N.O.A.A. forecasts rain followed by a mix of wintry precipitation for the afternoon. I just cannot wait. They also predict the temperature will fall to around 36°F, and the cloud cover will fall into the low eighties (98%/96%/95%/81%) by late afternoon. The 36°F temperature does not necessarily support the wintry mix, but the falling temperature does not bode well for the overnight. The NEXRAD radar show a massive system of rain headed our way. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show a decent day tomorrow, but a stormy one on Saturday.
With 91% relative humidity recorded, is it a surprise that my Weather Stick points down? I am a little surprised at the disagreement among my electronic instruments. The Weather Station Console forecasts rising barometric pressure and partly cloudy skies. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts rain with steady barometric pressure (almost no change over the last 12 hours). How can I call this? I look outside and see rain falling and very heavy fog; therefore, I suggest we will see those conditions continue. With the temperature already starting to fall I would suggest that this will not be the most pleasant weather of the season, beware of snow and flooding, not a great combination.
Low Temperature (°F): 38.6
Current Temperature (°F): 40.8
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 38.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in.Hg): 29.72
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 40.8
Precipitation (type): Rain/Fog
Amount (inches): 0.06
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 45°F/48.0°F//40°F/48.5°F//37°F/47.6°F//34°F/40.8°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/68%//82%/80%//82%/88%//96%/89%.

The temperature comparison for today was not as good as yesterday. They got close once, and that was only within 3°F. The relative humidity forecast did no better. They will try again, until they get it right.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 43°F/40°F/38°F/36°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/85%/75%/67%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:34 AM
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March 14, 2007
The Middle Of March And A Lot Of Foul Weather Is Coming

For today, we had a couple of fleeting showers that did not produce enough precipitation to measure. I guess we can say that N.O.A.A got it right, but just barely. The temperature was the thing that took me by surprise. I walked outside around noon the sun came out and despite the clouds, it got downright warm. The temperature almost reached seventy. That was fantastic. I did cut and split some more wood after I did the morning chores. I still cannot believe what I am seeing for weather that is coming at us.
N.O.A.A. is still predicting rain for the overnight, with temperatures remaining above freezing and the cloud cover nearing 100% (95%/96%/97%/99%). This may not be a pleasant night. I have noticed that there is a bit more wind this evening as well. All of this supports the forecast by N.O.A.A. for foul weather.
My Weather Stick points straight out and that is the response to the 84% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments predict foul weather with falling barometric pressure. Not only that, but the temperature is expected to fall tomorrow producing snow instead of rain for tomorrow Friday and Saturday. That is the way I read the Weather Underground model forecast maps, but they are only computer projections, and could be wrong. Apparently, all the models are predicting snow. The difference between them is how much we will get. My understanding is that we will get it all, and it will be the wet heavy spring type known as poor farmer’s fertilizer. This is also the type of snow that helps get rid of the snow pack. By the way, if you live in low-lying areas of central and southern Maine there are some flood advisories out there, so pay attention to rivers and streams in your area.
High Temperature (°F): 69.2
Current Temperature (°F): 48.5
Relative Humidity (%): 84%
Dew Point (°F): 43.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.68
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 3.3
Wind Chill ((°F): 48.5
Precipitation (type): Showers
Amount (inches): Trace
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 34°F/39.0°F//42°F/45.5°F//46°F/50.5°F//47°F/68.3°F
Relative Humidity: 78%/72%//65%/64%//65%/57%//63%/40%.

The temperature comparison for today was much better than it has been with only the last data point more than five degrees off. The relative humidity forecast did better with only the last data point out of bounds, N.O.A.A. gets a better rating for the relative humidity forecast today. They will try again, until they get it right.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 45°F/40°F/37°F/34°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/82%/82%/96%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:41 PM
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Once Again We Did Not Go Below Freezing

Every night that we do not go below freezing the snow pack gets a little thinner. Right now thin is good. It has been cloudy overnight, but I am still not recording any precipitation as N.O.A.A. forecast for the overnight. As noted above the temperature remained above freezing and the wind was not a factor.
For today N.O.A.A. forecasts rain all day, cloud cover in the 80%+ range (79%/79%/80%/87%) and temperatures in the mid to upper forties. There is some precipitation moving in our direction according to the NEXRAD radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show us having precipitation not only today, but also for the rest of the week as well.
My Weather Stick points slightly up in response to the 70% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments are forecasting falling barometric pressure with foul weather. Looking outside I am not going to disagree with them. I think we will have some rain today, I just hope my rain gauge is up to the task.
Low Temperature (°F): 35.4
Current Temperature (°F): 40.6
Relative Humidity (%): 70%
Dew Point (°F): 31.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.81
Wind Direction: South Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill ((°F): 40.6
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature: 40°F/42.9°F//37°F/39.0°F//34°F/35.9°F//32°F/39.9°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/78%//72%/65%//82%/74%//88%/68%.

The temperature comparison overnight was much better than it has been with only the last data point more than five degrees off. The relative humidity forecast did not even make it onto the target let alone close the recorded data, N.O.A.A. gets a poor rating for the relative humidity forecast overnight. . They will try again, until they get it right.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 34°F/42°F/46°F/47°F
Relative Humidity: 78%/65%/65%/63%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:25 AM
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March 13, 2007
Most Of The Indicators Say Foul Weather

Today the clouds were present at one level or another all day. We had no precipitation, so N.O.A.A. was correct there, and the temperature did rise into the fifties again. The driveway is almost clear of ice and snow, and the lower driveway is almost hubcap deep with mud. Could this be the start of our fifth season (mud season). If it were that would be all right. It was cloudy-bright and a warm enough day to be quite pleasant.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts light rain for our area, cloud cover decreasing until 01:00 then increasing (80%/70%/60%/71%) and temperatures getting close to freezing. The NEXRAD radar shows some showers in the area, and others headed our way. These are expected to be hit or miss. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we may have showers and or rain overnight and into tomorrow.
My Weather Stick points up representing the 60% relative humidity. Two of the three electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The remote weather station also forecasts falling barometric pressure, but cloudy conditions only. The sky currently is overcast, and as I left Farmington this evening there was a light shower. Hedging my bets I will suggest that we may get some showers overnight and more prolonged periods of rain tomorrow. I do not expect the temperature to change very much, and we may even get away without going below freezing overnight. That will be close.
High Temperature (°F): 52.8
Current Temperature (°F): 39.3
Relative Humidity (%): 60%
Dew Point (°F): 26.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in. Hg): 29.91
Wind Direction: South Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 5.1
Wind Chill ((°F): 35.3
Precipitation (type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature: 26°F/25.3°F//38°F/42.4°F//44°F/51.9°F//45°F/49.1°F
Relative Humidity: 62%/74%//48%/55%//39%/36%//41%/36%.

The temperature did not follow forecast, and it began to rise earlier than predicted. I can only give N.O.A.A a fair rating for the temperature. The relative humidity forecast did all right for the second half of the day, so they get a mediocre rating for that. They will try again, until they get it right.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 40°F/37°F/34°F/32°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/72%/82%/88%

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