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Weather in Wilton, Maine
Jeff Le DouxJeffrey Le Doux is a weather enthusiast who lives in Wilton.

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April 2007
April 26, 2007
A Starry, Starry Night!

For the over night N.O.A.A. predicted fair skies, colder than normal temperatures and no precipitation. They did get that one right. We did cool down into the mid-twenties, and the sky this morning was free of clouds. There was definitely some frost around this morning. I have been hearing people talk about high fire danger due to the lack of rain, but I look at the mud in my yard and on my pasture as well as the amount of snow still in the woods around my house, and I have to wonder about that. I think if this dry spell continues much longer we may get into some problems, but not yet or at least not here.
For today N.O.A.A. indicates a continuation of the relatively clear skies (13%/14%./15%/29%), no precipitation and moderating temperatures. They have predicted that it will be warmer than it was yesterday, but still with no heat index. The NEXRAD radar shows some precipitation well west of us, but it appears to be headed in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show a storm system moving in our direction that may affect us tomorrow night into Saturday.
My Weather Stick points up still. The Min/Max Thermometer and Weather Station forecast fair skies with continued rising barometric pressure for today. The remote weather station is forecasting cloudy skies, but also with rising barometric pressure. The sun is up, and there was a red sky this morning. I had about 2 minutes to get a photo of it, and just did not make it. This has all the characteristics of a very pleasant day ahead. If you can get outside and enjoy it. The next couple may not be as nice.
Low Temperature (°F): 25.1
Current Temperature (°F): 25.8
Relative Humidity (%):75%
Dew Point (°F): 18.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.04
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 25.8
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:46°F/44.4°F//37°F/36.6°F//31°F/29.1°F//28°F/27.1°F
Relative Humidity: 38%/41%//56%/50%//69%/67%//81%/73%.

N.O.A.A. did very well forecasting both the temperature and relative humidity. There were only two data points that varied by more than 5% with the relative humidity, and they were at 23:00 hours last night and0 5:00 hours this morning.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 36°F/49°F/62°F/64°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/33%/18%/19%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 06:41 AM
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Not Quite What Was Expected

After the predictions of clear, sunny skies, I was disappointed to see a consistent cloud cover of altostratus to stratus clouds all day. It was only after 17:00 hours that the sky started to clear, and that had a chilling effect on the temperature today. It was not an unpleasant day by any stretch, but it was not as nice as the predictions (even mine) said it was to be.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation for our area, but they are calling for some very patchy fog close by. The cloud cover is expected to dissipate again (38%/12%/6%/11%), which should allow for some radiational cooling so we can expect the temperature to fall below freezing again tonight. The NEXRAD radar and Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate a storm system south and west of us, but they expect that storm to pass by south of us. That storm is probably what brought us the cloudy conditions today.
My Weather Stick points up. The usual instruments indicate fair skies with a rising barometer, and the remote weather station still predicts clouds, but with a rising barometer. I suspect we will see dry conditions continue overnight, but it will get colder than last night. We will probably have an unobstructed view of the starry canopy of heaven.
High Temperature (°F): 56.8
Current Temperature (°F): 41.9
Relative Humidity (%): 44%
Dew Point (°F): 21.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.95
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:40°F/44.2°F//49°F/54.6°F//58°F/55.9°F//59°F/53.7°F
Relative Humidity: 55%/72%//37%/31%//26%/31%//27%/37%.

N.O.A.A. did very well forecasting the temperature. Apparently there was enough of a change in the air mass that they did not have the relative humidity forecast quite right.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 46°F/37°F/31°F/28°F
Relative Humidity: 38%/56%/69%/81%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 06:05 AM
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April 25, 2007
Red Sky This Morning!

Yes, I was up in time to see the sunrise this morning. The combination of the red sky and the cirrus clouds (mares' tails and mackerel scales) suggest the potential for rain in the next 24 hours. Even though the temperature fell just a little bit below freezing it was comfortable overnight. Once again, it appears that N.O.A.A. got another one right. The cloud cover already seems to be dissipating, so we will see what the rest of the day will bring.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts a pleasant pattern with temperatures approaching 60°F, the cloud cover dissipating as the afternoon wears on (17%/12%/6%/5%) and once again, no precipitation. There is some precipitation showing up on the NEXRAD radar, but it appears to be tracking to our south. The Weather Underground maps indicate the same, but there is a storm system that they suggest will affect us late Friday into Saturday. We can probably use just a little rain, but there is some snow still to be found in the woods around this area of Wilton, Maine.
My Weather Stick points up, though not as dramatically as with 31% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer and Weather Station forecast fair skies for today, while the remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies. With the forecast by N.O.A.A. calling for nearly clear skies I disagree with that latter instrument. I think we will have another very nice day with light winds, fair skies, delightful temperatures and no precipitation. After the weather we had last week we deserve this, there is no doubt in my mind!
Low Temperature (°F): 30.0
Current Temperature (°F): 30.7
Relative Humidity (%): 81%
Dew Point (°F): 25.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.00
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 30.7
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:49°F/46.0°F//39°F/40.1°F//33°F/35.2°F//30°F/30.2°F
Relative Humidity: 39%/42%//52%/53%//61%/68%//75%/79%.

N.O.A.A. did very well forecasting both the temperature and relative humidity. There was only one data point that varied by more than 5% with the relative humidity, and that was at 02:00 this morning, and that only deviated by 7%.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 40°F/49°F/58°F/59°F
Relative Humidity: 55%/37%/26%/27%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:02 AM
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April 24, 2007
Another in a String of Great Days!

N.O.A.A. certainly got this one right. The sky cleared after that early morning shower, and we had a beautiful comfortable day.
100b2410.jpg
The Sky Is Clear For Now
and the willow trees are beginning to leaf out,
Yes, after inspecting my vehicle I could see where the raindrops had dried, but there were so few that they could be counted. That was why there was nothing in the rain gauge. My tiger lilies are coming up,
100b2440.jpg
The Lilies Will Bloom Soon
the snow is off the garden,
100b2552.jpg
This Weed Patch Should Soon Be A Garden Spot
and I am beginning to be able to work on the electric fence. The goats and sheep should be able to begin to go out to pasture very soon.
For the overnight, N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, dissipating cloud cover(26%/16%/6%/13%), and temperatures just below freezing. There is no precipitation showing up on the NEXRAD radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show any precipitation until at least Friday night. As wet as my ground is, and it is wet, it will be a few days before we start to get into trouble needing water for the glower gardens. I do not dare yet walk out on my garden spot for fear of sinking to my knees in the mud and never getting out alive.
My Weather Stick points up, and I have now added the 31% weather stick to the folder. The electronic instruments are all calling for the barometric pressure to continue to rise. The only disagreement is with the remote weather station that is calling for cloudy conditions. The air to the west is very clear, and there is not much of a sunset. I would guess that with the sky clearing the radiational cooling will kick in and we will see temperatures at or just below freezing, clear skies and no precipitation.
High Temperature (°F): 62.0
Current Temperature (°F): 55.9
Relative Humidity (%): 32%
Dew Point (°F): 26.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.88
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.7
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:48°F/50.9°F//62°F/55.7°F//67°F/59.9°F//65°F/58.8°F
Relative Humidity: 48%/63%//28%/37%//20%/37%//22%/31%.

There has been another change in the air mass, since it did not get as warm as was predicted, and the relative humidity did not hit a single predicted forecast point for today. The only recorded temperature that hit the forecast was at 08:00 this morning. The forecasters certainly do not seem to be able to keep up with the changing weather here in Wilton, Maine.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 49°F/39°F/33°F/30°F
Relative Humidity: 39%/52%/61%/75%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:00 PM
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There Might Have Been a Shower Overnight

The stones on my front walk appeared to be wet this morning when I stepped out to monitor the weather conditions. There was also a small amount of water on top of one of my ash cans, but there was apparently not enough to register in my rain gauge. I checked the NEXRAD radar, and they do show a short line of showers moving southeast away from us, dissipating as it goes. On that basis N,.O.A.A. was correct, it is just the timing that may not have been correct. Obviously it was a pleasant night, at least from the standpoint of the temperature.
For today N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation, cloud cover dissipating
100b2382.jpg
The Stratocumulus Clouds Are Breaking Up
to very low levels (2%/5%/7%/3%) and the temperature reaching the mid-sixties. The temperature right now is in free fall, and the barometric pressure is rising rapidly. The latter is already up 0.10 inches of mercury and the former down half a degree. Talk about changeable Maine weather, we have it right now.
My Weather Stick is up responding to the 64% relative humidity. When I checked the electronic instruments just before 07:00 hours two of them were showing partly cloudy skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station was indicating rain with rising barometric pressure. I have not checked the other two, but the Weather Station currently predicts fair skies with the rising barometric pressure. The wind is holding at almost 7 mph, and the relative humidity is falling (now down about 2%). Just to note, the Weather Underground forecast maps are now showing no precipitation for the next couple of days, which is a change from what they were saying over the weekend. If nothing else this should be an interesting day.
Low Temperature (°F): 48.3
Current Temperature (°F): 53.2
Relative Humidity (%): 64%
Dew Point (°F): 41.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.69
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Rain?
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:67°F/68.7°F//57°F/58.6°F//49°F/66.0°F//46°F/61.0°F
Relative Humidity: 32%/31%//47%/47%//66%/47%//63%/58%.

There was an obvious change in the air mass between 23:00 hours and 02:00 hours. The temperature and relative humidity forecasts , which were right on target went awry. The temperature started going back up, and the relative humidity started going back down. The relative humidity ended close to the target prediction, but the temperature was fully 15 degrees off. Interesting, very interesting.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 48°F/62°F/67°F/65°F
Relative Humidity: 48%/28%/20%/22%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:42 AM
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April 23, 2007
A Cloud Sandwich Today.

We started the day with cirrus clouds and finished with altostratus clouds. In between, we had an absolutely gorgeous day. I was going to photograph the area where my Tiger Lilies are coming up, but they are not up enough to tell, and the ground needed to be leveled. In the next few days, they should be up enough to tell. It was almost warm enough to call it summer, but there is still some snow on the ground around here. That will not last much longer. N.O.A.A. did have it correct that we would not have precipitation today. Also, the cloud cover did increase, but much more than they said it would. It also got much warmer than they said it would.
For the overnight N.O.A..A. predicts scattered light rain showers until early tomorrow morning, but they expect them to end by 05:00 hours tomorrow morning. The do expect the cloud cover to increase (40%/62%/84%/43%) and then decrease which supports the idea of scattered showers. The temperature is expected to remain in the mid-forties overnight. It should be a pleasant night even if we do have a shower.
My Weather Stick points up, and 26% relative humidity will do that to it. All three of the electronic instruments are calling for falling barometric pressure and foul weather. When they forecast in concert like that they are usually correct. I did see clouds moving in from the west, and that may portend some foul weather moving in. We shall have to wait and see what the rain gauge shows in the morning.
High Temperature (°F): 88.3
Current Temperature (°F): 73.7
Relative Humidity (%): 26%
Dew Point (°F): 37.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.61
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:48°F/57.3°F//69°F/78.2°F//78°F/88.3°F//76°F/82.9°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/51%//31%/27%//23%/21%//27%/30%.

N.O.A.A. did not do very well predicting the temperature today, it seems that the warm air was about three hours ahead of their forecast. After the 08:00 hour forecast they did get the relative humidity correct, or at least within 3% of the recorded data. There are those who will take issue with my temperature readings, but when I took a ride in my truck, equipped with a thermometer, around 04:30 the temperature was reading 84 degrees. I believe that thermometer since it is within a degree of the posted temperature at several locations around the area.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 67°F/57°F/49°F/46°F
Relative Humidity: 32%/47%/66%/63%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:10 PM
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A Nice Start for the Fifth Day in a Row!

Overnight it almost got to the freezing mark at my location, and I am sure that in some of the valleys it went below freezing. There were some clouds that probably helped to keep the temperature up. As N.O.A.A. predicted we did not have any precipitation overnight. The snow is finally beginning to disappear from my garden, and that is good. As long as we do not get any major storms, I should be able to till the garden spot by the first of May. That may give me a jump on the growing season.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, with the cloud-cover remaining quite low until late this afternoon (22%/21%/21%/35%) and the temperature reaching the high seventies or maybe the low eighties. The latter is my prediction not theirs.
My Weather Stick points up responding to the 57% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments are indicating falling barometric pressure, which usually presages a low-pressure system moving in. Two of the instruments forecast foul weather, while the remote weather station forecasts clouds for today. I think we will see the weather deteriorate during the day today, but we probably will not see any precipitation until late tomorrow night or early Wednesday, based on the Weather Underground model forecast maps.
Low Temperature (°F): 32.7
Current Temperature (°F): 52.1
Relative Humidity (%): 57%
Dew Point (°F): 37.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.92
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 1.1
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:57°F/53.7°F//48°F/43.8°F//41°F/35.7°F//38°F/32.7°F
Relative Humidity: 35%/39%//54%/57%//73%/71%//91%/81%.

N.O.A.A. did very well predicting the temperature for the overnight. They did get it close to the recorded temperature. They also had the relative humidity correct, with the exception of the last point which was off by 10%. This was not a very bad showing.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 48°F/69°F/78°F/76°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/31%/23%/27%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:07 AM
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April 22, 2007
Another Great Day for Being Outside

N,.O.A.A, predicted another day without precipitation, temperatures of 70°F or higher and cloud cover increasing throughout the day. They got this one right. It was a great day to be or work outside. I needed to drive to Augusta for an errand, and I had my windows open for the first time in several months. I also finished stacking my wood that I finished splitting yesterday. That is another job well finished.
For the overnight, N.O.A.A. is still predicting we will have no precipitation, the cloud cover will dissipate somewhat (52%/38%/24%/23%) and the temperature will not fall below freezing Looking at the local radar it appears there are some light showers in the Portland and Augusta areas, but none here. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show any storms affecting our area until late Tuesday or early Wednesday. I can live with that.
My Weather Stick points up. Two of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies with steady barometric pressure. Based on the data before me and the cloud cover I see outside, I would guess that we should have partly cloudy skies, but still a very pleasant night. The fact that it should not go below freezing is a bonus. I have, by the way seen Daffodils and Narcissus growing in our flowerbeds. It should not be long before they bloom. Photos to follow.
High Temperature (°F): 76.8
Current Temperature (°F): 51.0
Relative Humidity (%): 42%
Dew Point (°F): 28.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.02
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 2.2
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:42°F/46.2°F//61°F/63.1°F//70°F/74.8°F//69°F/69.6°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/49%//61%/28%//17%/25%//21%/26%.

N.O.A.A. did very well predicting the temperature for today. They did get it correct. During the middle of the day the air was much drier than forecast, but they did get the two ends of the day correct for the relative humidity.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 57°F/48°F/41°F/38°F
Relative Humidity: 35%/54%/73%/91%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:45 PM
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A Cool Start, but Pleasant.

With the temperature at 28.0°F at 06:30 this morning it was definitely cool, but the sun is up and shining through the cirrus clouds. Now at 07:30 the temperature is already up t0 47.1°F, so even if we have some cloud-cover today it should be pleasant. N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation overnight, and once again, they were correct. The temperature did fall a bit below their predicted low, but still within 5°F of their forecast. The stratocumulus clouds did dissipate in favor of the cirrus clouds we now have, and that may have had its effect on the radiational cooling.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation once again. They also predict temperatures to rise to 70°F and the cloud cover to increase during the day (19%/28%/38%/41%) but not to the point where there is a threat of precipitation. We currently seem to be in the strong grip of a high-pressure system, and that should continue to give us fair weather possibly through tomorrow. According to the Weather Underground model forecast maps there does appear to be weather system that will affect us very late Tuesday. It is not supposed to last very long though. At this time of year some overnight rain every three or four days is exactly what we need to get the garden plots ready for tilling and the flowers up and growing. I even see Iris coming up.
My Weather Stick points up, not as dramatically as with 20% relative humidity, but up nonetheless. All three electronic instruments are forecasting rising barometric pressure. The Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecast fair skies, while the remote weather station forecasts partly cloudy skies. The cirrus clouds in the sky over my house seem to indicate that partly cloudy skies may be the order of the day. They should not be enough to prevent us from working outside though. Overall, I am expecting another day bordering on a "10".
Low Temperature (°F): 28.0
Current Temperature (°F): 44.9
Relative Humidity (%): 59%
Dew Point (°F): 31.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.14
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:55°F/55.2°F//44°F/41.9°F//36°F/32.7°F//33°F/28.9°F
Relative Humidity: 31%/25%//45%/45%//59%/65%//66%/76%.

N.O.A.A. did very well predicting the temperature for the overnight. The predictions for the relative humidity were within 6% of the recorded values, with the exception of the 05:00 hours reading which did miss the mark by 10%. Here again, overall the prediction were not particularly bad, but they could have been better.
Temperature: 42°F/61°F/70°F/69°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/23%/17%/21%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:12 AM
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April 21, 2007
I Did Not Think We Were Supposed To Have Cloudy Skies Today!

N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation today, and that was correct. They also predicted temperatures near 70°F, and that was correct also. We have had some clouds move in late this afternoon, but it was a beautiful day to work outside. I did that, and in the process, I cut the last of my wood and split it. Now I need to start working on the wood for the summer, and then for next winter's wood. Thoreau got it wrong wood does not warm you twice it warms you six or seven times. It is no wonder that woodsmen tend to be slim and muscular.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation, cloud cover increasing until early tomorrow morning and then decreasing again (38%/42%45%/33%). With the cloud-cover in place, the temperature may not fall as far or as fast as it did last night. There were cirrus clouds around most of the afternoon, and late this evening they thickened to become stratocumulus.
My Weather Stick certainly had no choice but to point up in response to the 21% relative humidity. The same two electronic instruments are forecasting fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station is still forecasting cloudy skies with steady barometric pressure. I think, for no particular reason, that the cloud cover will dissipate, and we will end up with fair skies. This should be another pleasant evening and overnight. I would hope for bright stars and an even brighter moon.
High Temperature (°F): 78.0
Current Temperature (°F): 61.3
Relative Humidity (%): 21%
Dew Point (°F): 20.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.01
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 5.5
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:42°F/53.7°F//61°F/66.9°F//70°F/76.1°F//58°F/73.5°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/48%//26%/27%//20%/22%//22%/17%.

N.O.A.A. did not do very well predicting the temperature for today. The middle part of the day was the only time when they got the forecast temperature close to the recorded temperature. They did much better with the relative humidity, having gotten all four predictions correct.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 55°F/44°F/36°F/33°F
Relative Humidity: 31%/45%/59%/66%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:21 PM
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Starting the Day with High Thin Cirrus Clouds

N.O.A.A. predicted no rain overnight, and they were correct. When I looked out at 23:00 hours, the sky was clear and the temperature was in free-fall. It ultimately dropped just a little below freezing, but nothing compared to what we had a couple of weeks ago. How quickly we forget. It is a bit amazing to see the temperature fall almost 40 degrees overnight.
For today, N.O.A.A. is again predicting no precipitation, a slight increase in the cloud cover (7%/15%/22%/38%) during the day
100b2362.jpg
High Thin Cirrus Clouds
and temperatures reaching 70°F. Just to note, yesterday was the first time since October 9th that we reached or exceeded 70°F. That is more than six months.
My Weather Stick still points up at 48% relative humidity. No surprise there. The Weather Station and Min/Max thermometer predict fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station says we will have clouds with steady barometric pressure. This is interesting. We do have some high thin cirrus clouds around, but with the wind out of the north (the last time there was wind recorded at 08:17 hours) they are an harbinger of fair weather.
100b2372.jpg
Under a Clear Blue Spring Sky
I will, suggest therefore, that we will have another very pleasant day. With the snow leaving day by day we can get our yards cleaned up and get ready for lawn mowing season. I have such pleasant thoughts!
Low Temperature (°F): 30.5
Current Temperature (°F): 53.4
Relative Humidity (%): 48%
Dew Point (°F): 34.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.00
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:54°F/55.4°F//44°F/40.8°F//36°F/36.1°F//33°F/32.1°F
Relative Humidity: 31%/22%//45%/40%//61%/54%//75%/63%.

N.O.A.A. predicted the temperature correctly for the overnight. They did not do quite as well with the relative humidity. The only point they forecast closely was at 23:00 hours.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 42°F/61°F/70°F/68°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/26%/20%/22%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:24 AM
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April 20, 2007
The Sky was The Bluest Blue I have seen!

What a gorgeous day. I did spend much of it outside and Bart stayed there with me. It was warm enough that my sweater came off quickly and the sleeves were rolled up while I worked on my wood. There was just enough of a breeze while I was working outside that the black flies did not have the chance to light or bite. They are mean nasty bloodsucking creatures. Some people a bit south of us have reported seeing mosquitoes. Oh, no!. I expect to hear the peep frogs sounding in my bog very soon. When they start, we will know that spring is really here. By the way one of the other harbingers of spring has been seen, the pussy willows are out.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation, almost no cloud cover (0%/0%/0%/3%), and radiational cooling dropping the temperature into the low thirties. That all fits with reality. Since I started this at 19:00 hours, the temperature is already down to 55.7°F (it is 19:57).
At 20% relative humidity, would you expect the Weather Stick to point any way other than up? The remote weather station forecasts clouds with steady barometric pressure. The other two electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. I like that forecast. I think I will make it mine, and it even agrees with the prognostications I have seen from the weather experts.
High Temperature (°F): 78.0
Current Temperature (°F): 60.2
Relative Humidity (%): 20%
Dew Point (°F): 19.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.94
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:36°F/51.6°F//58°F/61.5°F//68°F/71.7°F//66°F/73.9°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/41%//23%/24%//15%/18%//18%/17%.

N.O.A.A. missed the recorded temperature and relative humidity at 08:00 hours. I suspect that the air mass that brought us this beautiful spring day moved a little faster than they expected. It was also a little warmer and drier than they expected. All of this was excusable.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 54°F/44°F/36°F/33°F
Relative Humidity: 31%/45%/61%/75%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:08 PM
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The Weather is Co-operating for a Change!

It appears that we are going to dry out a bit, and it is none too soon. The weather temperature overnight did not get quite as cold as was forecast. It dropped below freezing, but just by a couple of degrees. That should keep the maple sap flowing into the buckets. The season seems to be lasting longer than it has for the past couple of years. We seem to be plagued by the persistent cirrus clouds, but they are supposed to dissipate during the day today.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, virtually no cloud cover (17%/10%/3%/2%), summer like temperatures and very low relative humidity. We seem to have made a sharp left turn in the weather, rather than the gentle curve we are used to, but it is better late than not at all. The NEXRAD radar shows a few light showers headed out to sea well south of us. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we will not have any serious threat of precipitation before Monday.
My Weather Stick points up, and at 42% relative humidity that is to be expected. The Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer indicate rising barometric pressure with fair skies for today. The remote weather station is calling for partly cloudy skies with rising barometric pressure. It appears that the cirrus clouds are dissipating, the temperature climbing rapidly and the relative humidity continuing to fall. Might I suggest that we will have a day when it would almost be a travesty to work inside a cubicle today? If you can get outside to enjoy this day it should be a "10".
Low Temperature (°F): 30.2
Current Temperature (°F): 47.1
Relative Humidity (%): 42%
Dew Point (°F): 25.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.02
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick:
Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:43°F/51.9°F//35°F/37.9°F//29°F/32.5°F//25°F/30.7°F
Relative Humidity: 41%/28%//56%/44%//69%/56%//88%/48%.
N.O.A.A. missed the recorded temperature for today for only the 19:00 hour time period. The relative humidity was another matter. I am not sure what happened, but the air mass must have changed faster than they thought it would.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 36°F/58°F/68°F/66°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/23%/15%/18%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:48 AM
Comments (0) | Permalink

April 19, 2007
Is Spring Really Here?

If you look at the next photo, how can you doubt it? The crocuses are up in perfusion. 100b2351.jpg
Spring is Sprung the Grass is riz, this is where the Flowers is.
Now we wait for the tulips and daffodils. From the temperature, we can surely say that we have had a change in season. Above 40°F, there is no wind chill and below 70°F no heat index according to the National Weather Service in Washington. I asked!
For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, dissipation of the cloud cover (23%/19%/14%/11%), and temperatures falling a bit below freezing due to the radiational cooling. What I see outside my window certainly supports that forecast, although the temperature is not falling as fast as they suggested.
My Weather Stick is turning up as far as it turned down last night. It is pointed straight up in response to the 23% relative humidity. The remote weather station still forecasts foul weather with steady barometric pressure. The other two electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. I tend to agree with the latter. I think we are out of the rain for the moment, and should see some delightful weather for the next few days. Three cheers for the nice weather.
High Temperature (°F): 64.2
Current Temperature (°F): 61.5
Relative Humidity (%): 23%
Dew Point (°F): 23.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.87
Wind Direction: North
Wind Speed (mph): 4.2
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:39°F/46.5°F//50°F/55.0°F//55°F/62.2°F//54°F/61.5°F
Relative Humidity: 57%/41%//36%/26%//27%/22%//27%/23%.

N.O.A.A. missed the recorded temperature for today for most of the time periods, and they got the last two relative humidity points correct. When the day is as nice as this one it does not matter. It is to be enjoyed!
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 43°F/35°F/29°F/25°F
Relative Humidity: 41%/56%/69%/88%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:05 PM
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The Sky Cleared, The Sun Is Up, And The Temperature Climbing

We did not have any precipitation overnight. The sky cleared almost completely, and the temperature never dropped below freezing. It appears that we have finally turned the meteorological corner into spring. Once our mud season ends we can begin to get our gardens in order, but it is not too early to think about planting. In fact if you are going to start some plants inside now is the time to do so. It seems that N.O.A.A. had the overnight forecast right on all counts.
For today in Wilton, Maine, we can expect no precipitation, clearing skies (49%/44%/46%/35%) and rising temperatures according to the N.O.A.A. prognostications. Both the NEXRAD radar and Weather Underground model forecast maps show clear skies and no precipitation for Maine today, and for the next couple of days.
My Weather Stick is having issues catching up with the relative humidity and points only slightly up, but I expect that to change. The Min/Max Thermometer and Weather Station forecast fair skies with improving barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts clouds with steady barometric pressure. As I view the sunny skies and observe the wind moving the trees, I suggest that we are going to have a beautiful spring day. Much of the snow that is left on the ground will disappear, and many of the spring flowers will begin to appear.
Low Temperature (°F): 37.4
Current Temperature (°F): 46.2
Relative Humidity (%): 43%
Dew Point (°F): 24.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.91
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.2
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:43°F/44.2°F//41°F/42.4°F//37°F/41.0°F//34°F/38.1°F
Relative Humidity: 62%/63%//62%/68%//64%/64%//72%/67%.

N.O.A.A. correctly forecast the temperature for the overnight. They also got the relative humidity correct for the entire period. Great Job!
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 39°F/50°F/55°F/54°F
Relative Humidity: 57%/36%/27%/27%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:51 AM
Comments (1) | Permalink

April 18, 2007
Do Not Tell Anyone, But I Saw The Sun This Afternoon! Shh!

I think the system has moved out to sea. N.O.A.A. thinks the system has moved out to sea. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that the system has moved out to sea. Even the NEXRAD radar show that the system has moved out to sea. Shh! We do not want to get our hopes up, but we may actually have some nice weather headed our way. N.O.A.A. had us down for scattered light mixed wintry precipitation for the entire day. All I saw was the clouds breaking up, a little bit of sunshine and we did have some wind. It was, overall, a very nice day when compared with the past three. We will take it because we do not have to shovel in, nor do we have to dry off when we come inside.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts the same light wintry mix for the first half of the period and no precipitation for the second half. Basically, the cloud cover (84%/83%/82%/60%) would support that, but the sky just does not seem to be producing any of that precipitation. Further, the clouds do seem to be breaking up. Further, the temperature does not seem to support frozen precipitation overnight.
My Weather Stick points straight out (66% relative humidity). The usual two electronic instruments forecast fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts foul weather with rising barometric pressure. I do not believe any of them. I think the barometric pressure will rise because a high-pressure system seems to be moving in, and we will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies because the storm is moving off shore and is breaking up.
High Temperature (°F): 54.1
Current Temperature (°F): 43.8
Relative Humidity (%): 64%
Dew Point (°F): 32.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.87
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:36°F/39.3°F//40°F/45.3°F//42°F/50.7°F//42°F/51.6°F
Relative Humidity: 79%/84%//67%/72%//62%/60%//57%/57%.

N.O.A.A. correctly forecast the temperature for the first half of today, and missed the mark on the second half. Surprisingly they did get the relative humidity correct for the entire day.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 43°F/41°F/37°F/34°F
Relative Humidity: 62%/62%/64%/72%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:25 PM
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No Precipitation This Morning!

For the first time since last Thursday, Wilton, Maine awakened to find water on the ground, but none falling from the sky. What a delightful concept. There is no snow on either my carriage house or barn roof, and that is unique. The temperature never got below freezing here overnight and it is climbing quickly. If this continues, we may actually find the ground in a couple of days. N.O.A.A. did predict a wintry mix overnight, but it appears that we only had 0.16 inches of rain giving us a total since last Thursday of 5.37 inches of rain for the period. From what I hear that is more than enough for now.
For today, N.O.A.A. forecasts light scattered showers of a wintry mix. (I doubt that!) The cloud cover (100%/93%/87%/88%) would support that, but the forecast temperature in the forties would not. There is almost nothing left in our area on the NEXRAD radar, and that seems to be drying up. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show the storm pulling away from us finally, and nothing for us in the near future (at least through Saturday).
My Weather Stick still points down responding to the 86% relative humidity. The Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts clouds with rising barometric pressure. To paraphrase Confucius, "A man with one instrument always knows the forecast weather and pressure tendency, a man with more than one is never quite sure!" The storm seems to be breaking up, and I can accept that. I do not know if we will see any sun today, but we can live in hope. The forecast temperature certainly could support that. Maybe spring will arrive soon for us.
Low Temperature (°F): 36.1
Current Temperature (°F): 38.8
Relative Humidity (%): 86%
Dew Point (°F): 34.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.80
Wind Direction: East Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 6.7
Wind Chill (°F): 31.6
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (inches): 0.16
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:36°F/37.5°F//36°F/36.6°F//35°F/36.3°F//34°F/36.3°F
Relative Humidity: 82%/90%//82%/90%//82%/90%//85%/90%.

N.O.A.A. correctly forecast the temperature overnight. That was a good job. They, once again could not correctly identify the relative humidity at any of the forecast times, with the exception of 05:00. I think that one was pure luck rather than any forecasting prowess.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 36°F/40°F/42°F/42°F
Relative Humidity: 79%/67%/62%/57%.

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:28 AM
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The Barometer Is Rising.

This morning we did have a mix of snow, sleet and rain followed by rain this afternoon. N.O.A.A. did get that part right. The temperature remained in the thirties for the entire day, and the winds were blustery. I did go for a brief ride this afternoon and found ducks swimming in a hayfield that is bordered by Wilson Stream. You can see them in both the open shot and the close-up.
100b1960.jpg
Ducks Swimming In A Hayfield
100b1960cr.jpg
Same Ducks—Close-up
In the next photo you can see Wilson Stream at its banks, and if anyone tries to get that sap bucket they are quite liable to get very wet.
100b2031.jpg
Wilson Stream Coming Out Of Its Banks
Even the bog at the foot of my hill is very full at the present time.
100b2060.jpg
The Bog At The Foot Of My Hill
For the overnight the wintry mix is again the order of the forecast from N.O.A.A. I do not know if we will wake tomorrow to more snow on the ground or more rain in the rain gauge. The 100% cloud cover and temperatures in the low thirties certainly favor more rain than snow or sleet. Morning will certainly tell the tale on that. With over five inches of rain out of this system I think we have had enough, but I have no control. Mother Nature will certainly have the last word as usual. At least this rain should shorten mud season for us.
My Weather Stick loves to point down at 90% relative humidity, and down is exactly where it is pointing. The two usual electronic instruments are forecasting fair skies and improving barometric pressure. The remote weather station now concurs with the improving barometric pressure, but still forecasts foul weather. I do not know about anyone else, but I am ready for some sunshine and warm temperatures. I do not think we will get it tomorrow, but we can hope for Thursday.
High Temperature (°F): 39.3
Current Temperature (°F): 37.0
Relative Humidity (%): 90%
Dew Point (°F): 34.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.68
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 37.0
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (inches): 1.27
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:35°F/34.3°F//38°F/37.7°F//39°F/39.0°F//39°F/38.4°F
Relative Humidity: 72%/90%//64%/88%//64%/88%//62%/88%.

N.O.A.A. correctly forecast the temperature today. That was a good job. They, once again could not correctly identify the relative humidity at any of the forecast times. They were not even close.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 36°F/36°F/35°F/34°F
Relative Humidity: 82%/82%/82%/85%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 02:53 AM
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April 17, 2007
This Storm Is Now Circling In From The North.

N.O.A.A. forecast mixed precipitation overnight, and it appears that is what we had. There is about an inch and a half of very heavy wet slush on the ground and mixed precipitation still falling. The wind is currently out of the North indicating that the storm should be past us, but it appears that it is circling around to take another shot at us here in Maine. The temperature overnight remained very steady, very close to but not below the freezing mark.
100b1940.jpg
The Rain Has Changed Back To Snow
For this morning N.O.A.A. predicts the same wintry mix we have been having, but that may change to rain this afternoon. The cloud cover is expected to remain at 100%, the temperature may get to the high thirties, and that would support the changeover to rain.
My Weather Stick indicates 91% relative humidity pointing down. There has been some increase in the barometric pressure resulting in the Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecasting fair skies and improvement in the barometric pressure. The remote weather station is the only one that seems to have a grasp of reality forecasting foul weather and steady barometric pressure. That happens to be my best guess for today. This system does not seem to have any inclination to move on for a while yet. It can get out of here at any time and make us all a lot happier.
Low Temperature (°F): 32.7
Current Temperature (°F): 33.6
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 31.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.52
Wind Direction: North
Wind Speed (mph): 2.9
Wind Chill (°F): 33.6
Precipitation (Type): Rain/Snow
Amount (inches): 1.11/1.50
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:34°F/34.3°F//34°F/33.6°F//34°F/32.7°F//34°F/33.2°F
Relative Humidity: 85%/91%//82%/91%//82%/92%//78%/91%.

N.O.A.A. could hardly miss with the forecast last night, and they did not with the temperature. They did not hit any of the relative humidity recorded percentages overnight. The only one that was close (within 6%) was at 20:00 hours.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 35°F/38°F/39°F/39°F
Relative Humidity: 72%/64%/64%/62%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:35 AM
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April 16, 2007
This System Keeps Hanging On.

As I stated over the weekend, "The longer it takes to get here, the longer it will stay." It is doing exactly that. N.O.A.A. predicted a wintry mix for today, but what we got was rain, and in a little over 24 hours, we have had 3.82 inches of rain, plus the 2 inches of snow that were on the ground this morning when I checked the snow gauge. By the way, those two inches are gone, and we are back to bare ground around the snow gauge.
The rain seems to be changing over to a wintry mix at this hour (21:30 hours), and both the temperature (in the low thirties) and the cloud cover (100% all night) forecasts support that possibility. At least that is what N.O.A.A. is predicting for the overnight. It is a close call, and will depend on how close the temperature stays to the freezing mark. We are just going to have to wait and see about this one.
My Weather Stick (surprise, surprise) points down indicating 91% relative humidity. I wish I had a picture of this one. It is really bent around very nearly into a circle. Pardon the pun, but the electronic instruments are mixed up. They all predict increasing barometric pressure. The Weather Station calls for partly cloudy skies. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts fair skies, and the remote weather station forecasts foul weather. Since I have a choice, I pick foul weather, because that is what we are having.
High Temperature (°F): 36.5
Current Temperature (°F): 32.9
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 30.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.53
Wind Direction: North
Wind Speed (mph): 3.3
Wind Chill (°F): 32.9
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (inches): 1.47
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick:
Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:32°F/34.8°F//35°F/34.3°F//36°F/336.3F//36°F/36.3°F
Relative Humidity: 88%/91%//78%/90%//82%/90%//82%/90%.
N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature for today within the +/- 5°F latitude allowed statistically. The only relative humidity prediction they forecast correctly was at 11:00 hours today.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 34°F/34°F/34°F/34°F
Relative Humidity: 85%/82%/82%/78 %

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:53 PM
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We Were On The Other Side Of The Snow/Rain Line!

If you live near rivers or streams, keep a weather eye out for flooding. We live on a hill, so except for some water in our basement we are fine. We have a granite foundation, so water comes in makes a layer on the pea gravel floor and drains out. Life is good.
100b1912.jpg
How High Is the Water Mama
N.O.A.A. predicted snow for our area, but as I noted last night the line was very close to us on their forecast map. We did get the rain instead of the 2 feet of snow, which is what we would have had if had remained as snow. For today, N.O.A.A. has forecast a wintry mix for Wilton, Maine, but we are having heavy rain instead. The temperature is forecast to reach only the mid-thirties, and the cloud cover to remain at 100%. It does appear that except for any frozen precipitation N.O.A.A. has it about right. We are getting drenched, and wetter by the minute.
My Weather Stick points DOWN, in response to over 90% relative humidity. The Weather Station has activated its storm alert while the other two electronic instruments forecast foul weather, and all three show the barometric pressure falling. I guess I will take my cue from them and suggest a dreary, dismal day with lots of clouds and rain for the future.
Low Temperature (°F): 31.8
Current Temperature (°F): 34.3
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 31.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.46
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.9
Wind Chill (°F): 34.3
Precipitation (Type): Snow/Rain
Amount (inches): 2.00 in./2.20in.
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:34°F/32.0°F//32°F/32.1°F//33°F/32.3°F//33°F/33.2°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/90%//88%/90%//75%/91%//82%/91%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature for the overnight within the +/- 5°F latitude allowed statistically. The only relative humidity prediction they forecast correctly was at 23:00 hours last night.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 32°F/35°F/36°F/36°F
Relative Humidity: 88%/78%/82%/82%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:55 AM
Comments (2) | Permalink

April 15, 2007
The Storm Has Arrived!

As N.O.A.A. forecast this did start as rain around 14:00 hours, and then it did change over to snow at around 17:00 hours. To this point in time, we have had 0.11 inches of rain followed by about an inch of snow so far. As you can see from both the picture,
100b1792.jpg
The Snow Is Beginning To Pile Up, Again!
and the temperature this is a wet heavy snow, and it will not be pleasant to clear the dooryards and driveways at all. It is a task I do not look forward to.
For the overnight N.O.A.A predicts snow for this area. I will say that the line between the snow and rain is very close to this area. For that reason, we may not get as much snow as was originally predicted. That prediction for our area was expected to be between 10 and 18 inches of new snow. We shall check the snow gauge in the morning, since we were back down to bare ground around it by this evening.
My Weather Stick points down, and if you expected differently, with 90% relative humidity you have been surprised. Two of the electronic instruments have not caught up with the weather yet and are predicting partly cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure. O.K. I can see the falling barometric pressure indicating foul weather, but the instrumentation needs to catch up with that. We are having foul weather now, and I expect that to continue for a while, like into Tuesday.
High Temperature (°F): 42.6
Current Temperature (°F): 32.0
Relative Humidity (%): 90%
Dew Point (°F): 29.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.86
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 32.0
Precipitation (Type): Rain/Snow
Amount (inches): 0.11in./1in.
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:34°F/35.2°F//37°F/42.0°F//40°F/42.0°F//40°F/40.2°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/80%//59%/67%//57%/72%//85%/88%.

N.O.A.A. forecast the temperature for today within the +/- 5°F latitude allowed statistically. The first and last predictions for the relative humidity today were correct. Not a great job of prognostication, but not bad either.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 34°F/32°F/33°F/33°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/88%/75%/82%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:04 PM
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The Longer It Takes To Get Here The Longer It Will Stay!

This storm seems to be taking forever to get here. N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation before 05:00, and then scattered light snow showers. So far, we have not seen any of those showers at this location. The temperature is continuing to rise as the clouds continue to thicken and lower.
For this morning, N.O.A.A. predicts light snow changing to snow this afternoon. I am not so sure of that with the forecast temperature expected to reach 40°F early this afternoon and continue there until around 17:00 hours. The cloud cover forecast does support precipitation all day (84%/89%/94%/100%). If this is to be snow then it will be very wet heavy snow, probably mixed with either sleet or rain.
My Weather Stick points down in response to the 78% relative humidity. It has caught up with itself. The two usual suspects among the electronic instruments are forecasting fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts clouds with steady barometric pressure. I will fly in the face of all these instruments and suggest that we are in for a storm. I am not sure it will be snow for this area of Western Maine and the foothills, but it will certainly be something. We will know when it is over.
Low Temperature (°F): 30.3
Current Temperature (°F): 36.3
Relative Humidity (%): 78%
Dew Point (°F): 29.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.97
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 36.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:34°F/39.5°F//29°F/35.4°F//27°F/31.2°F//27°F/31.8°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/59%//78%/68%//81%/78%//85%/81%.

N.O.A.A. miss-forecast the temperature for the first half of the overnight, and they got the second half correct. They had the same success with the relative humidity for the overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 34°F/37°F/40°F/40°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/59%/57%/85%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:30 AM
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April 14, 2007
Are You Ready For What Is Coming?

My outdoor wood boiler is stoked to the nines. There should be enough wood in it to last until Tuesday. Today was a gorgeous spring day, and if you survived yesterday (it being Friday the Thirteenth), you were able to enjoy it. There was no precipitation as N.O.A.A predicted, the temperature was significantly higher than the prediction, and the cloud cover significantly lower. Late this afternoon East of us the sky was clear, but West of us, there was a significant layer of stratocumulus clouds.
100b1732.jpg
Those Clouds Are Coming!
We will take it anyway since we do not need to shovel it.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicts no precipitation until about 05:00 hours when light scattered snow showers are expected to move in. The cloud cover forecast supports that (65%/67%/69%/76%) as does the temperature forecast. It is forecast to fall below zero again. The NEXRAD radar already shows precipitation in western Pennsylvania, and it appears to be headed straight at us. The Weather Underground model forecast map indicates that we are directly in the sights of Mother Nature for another major shot of Old Man Winter. Are you ready?
My Weather Stick points up and with 39%, relative humidity when I looked at it that is no surprise. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. My own impression is that the clouds will begin to move in tonight, and they will take their time getting here along with this storm. From all the data I have, this one is going to be a doozey.
High Temperature (°F): 58.1
Current Temperature (°F): 54.6
Relative Humidity (%): 39%
Dew Point (°F): 30.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.83
Wind Direction: East Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 4.6
Wind Chill (°F): 52.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick:
Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:37°F/40.8°F//41°F/50.1°F//47°F/58.2°F//44°F/52.5°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/59%//47%/42%//40%/35%//41%/40%.

Wow! N.O.A.A. totally missed the temperature for today, but they correctly forecast the relative humidity.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 34°F/29°F/27°F/27°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/78%/81%/85%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 05:56 PM
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This Is The Pick Of The Weekend

N.O.A.A. forecast scattered light snow showers for the entire overnight period. Fortunately, they were incorrect. We did not have any precipitation at all. In fact, for a change, the low temperature did not fall below freezing. This meant that more of the snow that fell Thursday evening melted, as you can see from the photo below.
100b1712.jpg
Melting Snow Against The Blue Sky
For today, N.O.A.A. started out with light scattered snow showers and quickly moved to no precipitation. The cloud cover is supposed to decrease until around 14:00 hours after which the clouds will begin to move back in (85%/58%/75%/79%). All of this in advance of another storm system for which N.O.A.A. has put us under a "Winter Storm Watch" again. We did not have much Winter in December, but now that it is Spring, we are getting all the Winter.
My Weather Stick is again lagging behind the relative humidity, but it will catch up with itself later. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies and rising barometric pressure for today. Looking outside at the snow melting off the carriage house roof and the blue sky between the clouds I would have to suggest that we are actually having partly cloudy skies with warm temperatures and some wind.
Low Temperature (°F) : 33.0
Current Temperature (°F): 49.8
Relative Humidity (%) : 42%
Dew Point (°F): 27.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.78
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.2
Wind Chill (°F): 45.1
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus/Cirrus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:37°F/37.0°F//34°F/36.6°F//31°F/35.9°F//30°F/34.8°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/68%//69%/69%//72%/69%//75%/72%.

Wow! N.O.A.A. got both the temperature and relative humidity forecasts as close as they could for the overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 37°F/41°F/47°F/44°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/47%/40%/41%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:53 AM
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April 13, 2007
Only About Half of This Snowstorm is Left.

The temperature warmed up, and the snow is melting off very quickly. N.O.A.A. had predicted light scattered snow showers for the day, but that just did not happen, thank goodness. There were plenty of clouds around, but there was also a bit of sun, and that certainly helped get rid of the overnight accumulation of snow.
100b1702.jpg
There's a Thaw Beneath the Fallen Snow
N.O.A.A. is still predicting light scattered snow showers for the overnight, and the cloud cover (88%/88%/88%/89%) and temperature do seem to be supportive of that forecast. I am not quite so sure since the barometric pressure is rising, and usually on a rising barometer, we do not get foul weather.
My Weather Stick has finally caught up with itself, and points straight out, which I would expect with the relative humidity at 68%. All three of the electronic instruments are acting in concert by forecasting partly cloudy skies and improving barometric pressure. For myself, I suspect that we will see the cloud remnants from yesterday's storm passing though, and improving conditions overnight.
High Temperature (°F): 48.7
Current Temperature (°F): 37.0
Relative Humidity (%): 68%
Dew Point (°F): 27.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.64
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 37.0
Precipitation (Type): Rain/Melt
Amount (inches): 0.22
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:34°F/36.6°F//42°F/46.9°F//46°F/45.1°F//46°F/42.6°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/82%//46%/59%//40%/63%//39%/64%.

For today, N.O.A.A did quite well with the forecast versus the recorded temperatures at this station. Their capability to forecast the relative humidity still leaves a great deal to be desired. They were not even close to the recorded relative humidity for today.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 37°F/34°F/31°F/30°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/69%/72%/75%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:01 PM
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Only About Half of This Snowstorm is Left.

The temperature warmed up, and the snow is melting off very quickly. N.O.A.A. had predicted light scattered snow showers for the day, but that just did not happen, thank goodness. There were plenty of clouds around, but there was also a bit of sun, and that certainly helped get rid of the overnight accumulation of snow.
100b1702.jpg
There's a Thaw Beneath the Fallen Snow
N.O.A.A. is still predicting light scattered snow showers for the overnight, and the cloud cover (88%/88%/88%/89%and temperature do seem to be supportive of that forecast. I am not quite so sure since the barometric pressure is rising, and usually on a rising barometer, we do not get foul weather.
My Weather Stick has finally caught up with itself, and points straight out, which I would expect with the relative humidity at 68%. All three of the electronic instruments are acting in concert by forecasting partly cloudy skies and improving barometric pressure. For myself, I suspect that we will see the cloud remnants from yesterday's storm passing though, and improving conditions overnight.
High Temperature (°F): 48.7
Current Temperature (°F): 37.0
Relative Humidity (%): 68%
Dew Point (°F): 27.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.64
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 37.0
Precipitation (Type): Rain/Melt
Amount (inches): 0.22
Sky-PM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:34°F/36.6°F//42°F/46.9°F//46°F/45.1°F//46°F/42.6°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/82%//46%/59%//40%/63%//39%/64%.

For today, N.O.A.A did quite well with the forecast versus the recorded temperatures at this station. Their capability to forecast the relative humidity still leaves a great deal to be desired. They were not even close to the recorded relative humidity for today.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 37°F/34°F/31°F/30°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/69%/72%/75%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:58 PM
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Already The Snow Is Melting Quickly

N.O.A.A. forecast snow for the overnight, but that did not happen. By 03:00 hours the snow had stopped falling leaving us with 11 inches of new snow. This morning by sunrise at 06:01 hours the temperature had already risen to 31°F, and it has continued to rise from there. The snow pack is dropping off quickly, as is evidenced by the 0.12 inches of melt shown by the rain gauge.
100b1652.jpg
In Three and a Half Hours The Amount Has Dropped 1 Inch
For today N.O.A.A. predicts light scattered snow showers for our area, but we are right on the edge of the snow/no precipitation line. The temperature forecast does not support the forecast of snow, but would support rain, and the cloud cover is forecast to dissipate somewhat (76%/71%/65%/65%). Right now there is very little wind, but even if there were more it could not move this snow because of the high water content.
My Weather Stick caught up with the high relative humidity of last night, but has not yet caught up with the 61% relative humidity that should have it straight out. It may take a while, but it will get there. Two of my electronic instruments forecast rain and falling barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts clouds and steady barometric pressure. The snow is getting ready to fall off the roof of the carriage house again, and the temperature continues to climb. My best guess is that we will have partly cloudy skies, and they will continue to improve during the day. Here is a nasty rumor for your consideration, N.O.A.A. is predicting another major Coastal Storm (Nor'easter) for Sunday into next week after it stalls off the coast of Southern New England. ENJOY!
Low Temperature (°F): 30.3
Current Temperature (°F): 46.7
Relative Humidity (%): 61%
Dew Point (°F): 33.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.52
Wind Direction: North
Wind Speed (mph): 2.2
Wind Chill (°F): 46.7
Precipitation (Type): Snow/Melt
Amount (inches): 11.00/0.12
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:37°F/31.1°F//34°F/30.5°F//31°F/30.3°F//30°F/30.7°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/87%//88%/88%//78%/88%//78%/89%.

The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature improved as the night wore on. By the end if the overnight the reality and the forecast data were about equal. They started out in error. The relative humidity was correctly forecast at 23:00 hours only. Nice try folks, but you missed that forecast by quite a bit.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 34°F/42°F/46°F/46°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/46%/40%/39%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:32 AM
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April 12, 2007
Watching The Woods Fill Up With Snow...Again!

100b1620.jpg
No Leaves On These Trees Yet
N.O.A.A. appeared to be a bit confused this morning, since they called for snow early, then a period of no precipitation followed by rain late this afternoon. The reality was that the precipitation held off until just after 14:00 hours, and now the snow is flying. The temperature reached into the low to mid-forties before the snow started, and it is now falling below freezing, as I would expect it to. I hope these crocuses survive the snow and freezing temperatures.
100b1590.jpg
Snow and Crocuses
I was able to get some logs split and under cover, so I will have reasonably dry wood to add to my outdoor wood boiler over the weekend.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecasts snow, pure and simple. They are suggesting that we will be in the bonus area with 6.4 inches for the period ending at 08:00 hours tomorrow morning. My snow gauge was back down to ground level, so I will be able to give an exact amount tomorrow when this event is over. The cloud cover forecast supports the snow forecast (100%/100%/100%/95%) as does the temperature forecast going below freezing (it is already there).
My Weather Stick now points slightly down in response to the 85% relative humidity. It is not fully down because the relative humidity is increasing so quickly that it cannot keep up with it. Currently the snow is falling at a rate of 2 inches per 3 hours or not quite an inch an hour. All three of the electronic instruments are currently forecasting foul weather and falling barometric pressure. In fact the Weather Station as activated its "Storm Alert". I think we are going to have more snow than N.O.A.A. predicted since we already have 2 inches of new show on the ground. Oh well, here we go again!
High Temperature (°F): 42.4
Current Temperature (°F): 31.8
Relative Humidity (%): 86%
Dew Point (°F): 28.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.84
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 31.8
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (inches): 2.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:27°F/28.2°F//39°F/41.1°F//44°F/41.3°F//43°F/31.8°F
Relative Humidity: 98%/72%//71%/46%//66%/50%//61%/86%.

The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for today was good for the first three time periods, but the last was affected by the falling snow, which lowered the temperature well below the 43°F predicted at 17:00 hours. The relative humidity forecast was not even close to reality.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 37°F/34°F/31°F/30°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/88%/78%/78%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 05:41 PM
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Apparently Yesterday Was The Pick Of The Week!

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation for Wilton overnight. They said the cloud cover would increase and the temperature would fall into the low to mid-twenties. The low temperature made it into the upper teens again, but they were right about the precipitation and cloud cover. We are back into the gray and sombers.
For today N.O.A.A. seems to be changing period to period. The first six hours this morning they are predicting snow. There is a break, and we can expect the day to end in rain. The temperature supports that forecast, but the cloud cover (71%/82%/92%/96%) is somewhat less supportive. The NEXRAD radar show the precipitation in central New Hampshire, and it appears to be headed in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still indicate that the precipitation will start later today, and continue will into tomorrow. For our area of central Maine their prediction is for an all snow even. Joy, Joy!
My Weather Stick points straight out as a result of the 66% relative humidity. The electronic instruments show the same forecasts as they did last night. The usual two electronic instruments forecast fair skies and improving barometric pressure for the overnight. The remote weather station forecasts clouds with steady barometric pressure. I do not believe any of them, and would suggest that we are in for a storm. My shoulders hurt, and they are pretty good indicators of upcoming weather. We will certainly get all that the storm has to offer.
Low Temperature (°F): 19.5
Current Temperature (°F): 31.2
Relative Humidity (%): 66%
Dew Point (°F): 21.2
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.06
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 31.2
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:36°F/37.0°F//30°F/27.1°F//26°F/23.1°F//23°F/20.1°F
Relative Humidity: 42%/38%//51%/61%//60%/72%//71%/77%.

The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for today was good for the overnight, because the furthest they were off the mark was three degrees. The relative humidity was another matter. The only data point that came close to reality was at 20:00 hour.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 27°F/39°F/44°F/43°F
Relative Humidity: 98%/71%/66%/61%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:22 AM
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April 11, 2007
This Has Been A Real Spring Day

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation, temperatures in the mid-forties and very little cloud cover. They were right on the first and last, but it did get quite a bit warmer by 14:00 hours. It has been the kind of day we have been seeking for almost a month. The snow is now gone from my carriage house roof, but I fear that it will come back.
N.O.A.A. predicts that we will have no precipitation overnight, the temperatures will fall back into the mid to lower twenties and the cloud cover will increase significantly (20%/36%/52%/62%). All of this in advance of a storm system the Weather Underground model forecast maps are threatening us with for late tomorrow and all day Friday. The NEXRAD radar already shows precipitation south and west of us, and it is moving in our direction.
My Weather Stick points up, and with 26% relative humidity I would be amazed if it did not. The usual two electronic instruments forecast fair skies and improving barometric pressure for the overnight. The remote weather station forecasts clouds with steady barometric pressure. With the radar and model forecast maps showing what they are, as well as the N.O.A.A. graphical forecast maps for tomorrow and Friday I would guess that we had best be prepared for another significant snowstorm.
High Temperature (°F): 56.4
Current Temperature (°F): 55.0
Relative Humidity (%): 26%
Dew Point (°F): 20.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.01
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.4
Wind Chill (°F): 55.0
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Few/Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:33°F/34.7°F//38°F/44.0°F//44°F/56.4°F//43°F/53.7°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/51%//38%/35%//28%/26%//29%/27%
.
The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for today was good for the 08:00 hour’s data point, but they went downhill from there. The relative humidity forecast after the 08:00 hours data point was very close to the actual readings.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 36°F/30°F/26°F/23°F
Relative Humidity: 42%/51%/60%/71%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 05:18 PM
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A Clear, But Cold Start To The Day

Yes indeed, the sun was up and the sky devoid of clouds. The only downside was the temperature in the upper teens. The good part of that was that there was no wind. N.O.A.A. did forecast the dissipation of the cloud cover overnight, and they were close on the temperature forecast.
For today N.O.A.A. forecasts no precipitation, and very low cloud cover (19%/21%/23%/28%). The temperature is forecast to rise into the mid-forties, and that should be quite pleasant. There does not appear to be very much wind either making it even more comfortable.
My Weather Stick points up in response to the 52% relative humidity. The remote weather station forecasts cloudy skies with increasing barometric pressure. The other two electronic instruments forecast clear skies and also rising barometric pressure. I like the sound of that, so I will concur. My guess is clear skies with no precipitation today, but we will see about tomorrow.
Low Temperature (°F): 19.0
Current Temperature (°F): 34.3
Relative Humidity (%): 52%
Dew Point (°F): 18.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.06
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 34.3
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:33°F/32.5°F//28°F/25.5°F//24°F/21.7°F//21°F/20.8°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/50%//71%/60%//84%/69%//96%/69%.

The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for today was again about as close as I have seen it. The N.O.A.A. forecast for the relative humidity for the overnight was not even in the woods let alone near the target.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 33°F/38°F/44°F/43°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/38%/28%/29%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:41 AM
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April 10, 2007
The Clouds That Haunted Us Are Dissipating

Today was, apparently, a day of transition. We started out overcast, and it remained that way until late this afternoon, when the clouds went from stratus to stratocumulus, and by this evening all that were left were some puffy cumulus clouds, which are continuing to dissipate. N.O.A.A. called for light snow all day, but except for the flurries early this morning we did not have any more here in Wilton.
For tonight N.O.A.A. does not see any precipitation for our area, and this is the first period in a while that they forecast that. In fact they predict that the cloud cover will continue to decrease (64%/54%/43%/31%) and the temperature will also decline into the low twenties. The wind seems to be staying below 10 mph, so windchill should not be a problem tonight either.
My Weather Stick responds as usual to the 55% relative humidity by pointing up. The remote weather station has finally stopped forecasting rain, but it is still forecasting cloudy conditions with rising barometric pressure. Both of the other electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. Based on all the data at my disposal I would suggest that the sky will continue to clear, the temperature fall and the barometric pressure rise. With very little wind this should be a pleasant night.
High Temperature (°F): 44.2
Current Temperature (°F): 29.8
Relative Humidity (%):55%
Dew Point (°F): 15.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.94
Wind Direction: None
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 29.8
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:28°F/33.9°F//37°F/42.0°F//41°F/43.7°F//40°F/41.0°F
Relative Humidity: 74%/56%//56%/44%//41%/41%//42%/41%.

The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for today was about as close as I have seen it. The 08:00 and 11:00 hour predictions for the relative humidity were once again outside the realm of reality, but the 14:00 and 17:00 hour predictions were right on the mark.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 33°F/28°F/24°F/21°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/71%/84%/96%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:21 PM
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Looks Like Another Gray Day

Almost all the snow has fallen from my carriage house roof, and right now there is water dripping from the edge, so I would expect the last of it to be gone by this evening. N.O.A.A. predicted light scattered snow showers for the overnight, and it has been reported that we had some snow flurries around 06:00 this morning. The sky is overcast giving a somber look to the landscape. Buds are beginning to swell on the trees, but we are still in a black and white landscape. The edges of the roads are brown, so either we need some more snow to clean them up or the snow needs to melt and be gone.
For today N.O.A.A. has us at the edge of the light scattered snow area, so depending on your location, we may or may not get snow (or rain). The cloud cover is expected to dissipate slightly during the day (75%/74%/73%/66%), and the temperature should climb to near 40°F by N.O.A.A.'s estimate.
My Weather Stick points slightly up in response to the 58% relative humidity. The Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station still predicts foul weather, but it sees rising barometric pressure as well. My guess lies between the two, in that I see cloudy to partly cloudy skies with some threat of precipitation during the day. The temperature is expected to remain above freezing during the day, therefore I would expect that precipitation to fall in the form of rain, if we indeed have any.
Low Temperature (°F): 30.7
Current Temperature (°F): 33.2
Relative Humidity (%): 58%
Dew Point (°F): 20.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.82
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 1.1
Wind Chill (°F): 33.2
Precipitation (Type): Flurries
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:34°F/34.3°F//29°F/33.6°F//25°F/32.7°F//23°F/31.6°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/59%//72%/60%//83%/60%//95%/64%
.
The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for the overnight missed the mark completely for the second half of the period. The only forecast relative humidity point that they got right was at 20:00 hours. I guess forecasting the weather is an inexact science.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 28°F/37°F/41°F/40°F
Relative Humidity: 74%/56%/41%/42%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:39 AM
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April 09, 2007
Still No Precipitation But Plenty Of Clouds

N.O.A.A. forecast light snow for today, although we were close to the border between the snow and no-snow line here in Wilton Maine. I did not see any snow or rain during the day today at all. We had clouds moving in all day starting with some cirrus, moving to altostratus and ending now with stratocumulus clouds. We may yet get some precipitation out of these clouds before they move on. It did get warm and cause some snow to fall off the carriage house roof as you can see below.
100b1552.jpg
The Snow Eventually Yields To The Heat Of The Sun
For the overnight N.O.A.A. has the same prediction, light scattered snow showers for our area. The cloud cover forecast basically supports that (82%/72%/62%/61%) as does the temperature forecast after 20:00 hours. Neither the NEXRAD radar nor the Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we will have any precipitation overnight.
My Weather Stick points up responding to the 54% relative humidity. The same two electronic instruments that predicted fair skies and rising barometric pressure are still doing so. The remote weather station still predicts foul weather, but rising barometric pressure. I still think we are looking at partly cloudy skies with the potential for some precipitation overnight. I do not think we will see any accumulation though.
High Temperature (°F): 45.5
Current Temperature (°F): 38.1
Relative Humidity (%): 54%
Dew Point (°F): 22.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.67
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 9.3
Wind Chill (°F): 26.7
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:26°F/34.8°F//38°F/41.5°F//41°F/39.9°F//40°F/37.9°F
Relative Humidity: 70%/63%//47%/50%//39%/50%//44%/55%.

The N.O.A.A. forecast for temperature for today missed the mark only at 08:00 hours. The only data point that was on the mark was at 11:00 hours this morning. N.O.A.A. did not perform very well today. Oh well, we cannot expect perfection every time now can we?.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 34°F/29°F/25°F/23°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/72%/83%/95%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 06:01 PM
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Sooner Or Later Spring Will Really Get Here( Probably Later)

Last night N.O.A.A. forecast light scattered snow showers. I do not believe that we had any, but that is hard to say since I did not stay up all night to observe the event. There was no visible accumulation, so by circumstantial evidence I will stand by that statement. Shortly after 20:00 hours we reached our overnight low temperature, and it has been warming up since then.
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The Snow Clings Tenaciously to the Carriage House Roof
For today Wilton Maine is close to the edge that N.O.A.A. predicts will receive light scattered snow showers. The cloud cover does support that (80%/83%/87%/85%). The temperature suggests that any precipitation that falls will be in the form of liquid rather than frozen (it is 39.7°F already at 10:00 hours). We are currently seeing some sun, although it is filtered by the cirrus and altostratus clouds.
My Weather Stick points slightly up, and at 55% relative humidity I would have expected it to point more definitely up. Two of my electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure while the remote weather station forecasts foul weather, but with rising barometric pressure. It may yet catch up with its fellow instruments, or maybe the others will catch up with it. From what I can see outside I suspect that we stand a chance for some precipitation, probably liquid, but I also suspect that it will be light and very scattered. The winds appear to be quite blustery ranging from calm to almost 12 mph, which means we will have some windchill to deal with. This is more like early March than approaching mid-April.
Low Temperature (°F): 28.5
Current Temperature (°F): 39.5
Relative Humidity (%): 55%
Dew Point (°F): 24.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.6
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 5.3
Wind Chill (°F): 35.0
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-AM: Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus/Altostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:35°F/29.4°F//33°F/29.6°F//30°F/30.9°F//28°F/30.0°F
Relative Humidity: 56%/53%//61%/63%//69%/69%//78%/68%.

The only data point that was not within the +/- 5°F was at 20:00 hours last night, and that was only 1°F off. The only relative humidity data point that missed the mark by more than +/- 5% was at 05:00 hours this morning. N.O.A.A. did not perform badly overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 26°F/38°F/41°F/40°F
Relative Humidity: 70%/47%/39%/44%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:38 AM
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April 08, 2007
A Relatively Pleasant Easter Sunday

With the exception of the occasional cloud passing over dropping a few snow flurries on us this was a pleasant day. The wind had a bit of a bite to it making it very pleasant to stay inside most of the time, but when the wind was calm it was good to be outside. N.O.A.A. seems to have hit the mark since we had light scattered snow showers passing through the area all day. There was no measurable accumulation of snow though.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. is still predicting light scattered snow showers for our area here in Wilton Maine and north into the Western Maine Mountains. South of us it appears will be free of the showers. The cloud cover supports that (81%/75%/68%/67) as does the forecast temperature. There is no precipitation showing on the NEXRAD radar, but the Weather Underground model forecast maps do indicate some precipitation swirling in on the upper level low-pressure system that has been controlling our weather since the storm on Wednesday.
My Weather Stick points up based on the 57% relative humidity. Two of my electronic instruments forecast partly cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure just as they did this morning. The remote weather station forecasts foul weather with steady or slightly increasing barometric pressure. With the flurries that have been around today I would suggest that they will continue overnight, and maybe, just maybe, we will see some slightly better weather tomorrow. We can live in hope.
High Temperature (°F): 43.7
Current Temperature (°F): 29.1
Relative Humidity (%): 57%
Dew Point (°F): 15.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.53
Wind Direction: South Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind Chill (°F): 29.1
Precipitation (Type): Flurries
Amount (inches): 0.00
Sky-PM: Mostly-Partly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:25°F/27.6°F//33°F/36.5°F//36°F/41.1°F//36°F/36.3°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/58%//49%/45%//42%/37%//44%/44%.

For today N.O.A.A. had the temperature correct. The relative humidity missed only the 08:00 data point, but they got the rest.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 35°F/33°F/30°F/28°F
Relative Humidity: 56%/61%/69%/78%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:08 PM
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Happy Easter!

This is the day that the Lord hath made, let us rejoice and be glad in it. It appears that N.O.A.A. did not get the predominant weather correct for the overnight. The clouds dissipated leaving just a few on the eastern horizon and temperatures in the low twenties. If there had been any precipitation here it definitely would have been frozen.
For the first half of today N.O.A.A. is predicting no precipitation, but for the second half they predict light snow overspreading the area. There should be enough time for those who wish to attend Sunrise Services in this area to do so. There will not be much cloud cover (42%/53%/65%/74%), the tempera