Good Morning, and it is. It is Sunday, and the Sun is starting the day bright and the sky is clear. The temperature overnight did not seem to reach the Dewpoint. Last night, when I took Ike out for his last exercise, there was some dew on the grass, but this morning the grass was dry. I think the wind, as well as the lower relative humidity had a hand in that. N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather wrong for the first half of the overnight since there were no apparent showers around wither visibly or on the NEXRAD radar. We even had our low temperature before 23:00 last night.
For today, the N.W.S. is forecasting no precipitation, and the cloud cover continuing to decrease (16%/12%/8%/4%). The NEXRAD regional radar currently shows no echoes of note anywhere in the region. There might have been a couple over the crown of Maine, but they were very small and isolated. The only ones that would have noticed would have bee the deer, moose and birds. The Weather Underground model forecast maps continue to indicate clear skies over us for today.
My Weather Stick is smiling a little, and with 62% relative humidity I am smiling too. All three of my electronic weather instruments currently forecast rising barometric pressure. Two of them forecast clear skies. The remote weather station either has not gotten the word, or, because the sensor is in the barn, forecasts cloudy skies. I suspect the latter. As I have been writing this report I have watched the clouds dry up in the western sky. I will suggest that the clouds will continue to dissipate, and we will have a delightful day to do anything outside, particularly since we will not be bothered by black flies or mosquitoes. Have a nice day!
Low Temperature (°F): 48.3
Current Temperature (°F): 54.5
Relative Humidity (%): 62%
Dew Point (°F): 41.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.92
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.2
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:57°F/53.4°F//52°F/48.9°F//51°F/54.8°F//49°F/56.4°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/74%//86%/86%//86%/72%//89%/62%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for the three of the four forecast periods overnight. They missed the 05:00 hour point. Their forecast of the relative humidity was very accurate for the first half of the overnight and significantly off for the second half. Oh well, I guess half a loaf is better than none.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 51°F/60°F/66°F/65°F
Relative Humidity: 77%/55%/43%/48%

Early this morning, after I did my morning report, the raid did stop. The sun came out and the line of storms moved off to the east. I probably should have photographed the storm leaving, but I did not. Once the sun made its appearance the temperature warmed up quickly. It did turn out to be a beautiful day. The N.O.A.A., call was for light scattered showers all day. The only time we had them here was during the 08:00 to 11:00 hour period. I would, therefore, call N.O.A.A. wrong on their predominant weather forecast and cloud cover forecast.
For today the N.W.S. forecast light scattered showers for the first half of the day with those tapering to no precipitation for the second hall. That latter part was right, but the former was not. The NEXRAD regional radar shows all the storm echoes are gone from the area. Even the Weather Underground model forecast maps are showing that we are into much clearer air for this evening and tomorrow. We can stand that.
My Weather Stick is still frowning due to the 85% relative humidity this evening. All of the electronic instruments currently forecast rising barometric pressure, but that is as far as the agreement goes. My Weather Station forecasts partly cloudy skies, while the Min/Max thermometer sees fair skies. The remote weather station now can see only clouds for the overnight. My best guess is that we will see partly cloudy skies, warmer than usual temperatures and light winds. This should be a nice night.
High Temperature (°F): 71.4
Current Temperature (°F): 49.2
Relative Humidity (%): 85%
Dew Point (°F): 44.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.49
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 1.7
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (Inches): 0.02
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:56°F/56.8°F//66°F/63.6°F//71°F/68.7°F//69°F/64.5°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/92%//73%/85%//71%/56%//53%/59%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for the entire day. Now that is unusual lately. The relative humidity forecast was right, wrong, right and wrong. I guess there is nothing more to say here since the numbers speak for themselves.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 57°F/52°F/51°F/49°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/86%/86%/89%

Our low temperature occurred at 20:00 hours last evening. We have had foul weather, essentially, since yesterday morning. The sky currently (06:50 hours) seems to be brightening, but it may just be looking for another place to rain. It does seem that N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct, and we now have had an additional 0.33 inches of rain. The sky is still overcast, but it does not seem to be raining as hard as it was earlier. (I do not see the rain pouring off the roof now,)
For today, the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered showers all day with cloud cover to match (100%/85%/80%/79%). The NEXRAD regional radar indicates that the bulk of the rain is beginning to move off to our east. Even the Weather Underground model forecast maps show the bulk of the storm gone by noon, light scattered precipitation for the afternoon and clear skies for tomorrow. At least that is the way I read them.
My Weather Stick continues to show its dependence on the relative humidity by frowning deeply at 91% relative humidity. All three of my electronic weather instruments are calling for rain with falling barometric pressure. I am not sure if we have reached the lowest point in this system, but the pressure on my Weather Station console is now up 0.03 in. Hg from its initial reading this morning. I think the foul weather is about over for this system, and we can expect to see some slight clearing of the sky as the clouds move off to our east. This will not be a pretty day, but it will be better than yesterday.
Low Temperature (°F): 52.3
Current Temperature (°F): 57.7
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 55.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.49
Wind Direction: South Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 4.2
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (Inches): 0.33
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:55°F/52.3°F//55°F/63.1°F//55°F/63.6°F//55°F/58.2°F
Relative Humidity: 93%/91%//100%/92%//100%/92%//100%/91%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for the 23:00 hour and 05:00 hour forecast points overnight. The only relative humidity point they had correct was at 20:00 hours. I understand that it is more difficult to forecast these parameters during the spring and fall, when they change as quickly and as drastically as they do, but this is ridiculous.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 56°F/66°F/71°F/69°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/73%/55%/53%

This May Be The Last Time We See This Maple In Her Yellow Coat This Year
As you cab see above we are having a cloudy, dank and dismal day in the photo above. That Maple tree is now just about all yellow. With the weather we are having, and are projected to have, the next photo you see of that tree will probably be XXX rated because it will be nude. This is basically what N.O.A.A. forecast for us. We had drizzle and a light rain early this morning. It stopped over the noon hour, and I had time enough to split the last of the 29 pieces of wood from my load of 2 weeks ago. Just as I finished the splitting the rain came in heavier, and you will note that we have had some additional precipitation added to the monthly total. It is now at 1.89 inches. We have had 100% stratus cloud cover all day combined with fog, drizzle and rain.
For the overnight, the N.W.S. predicts rain. The cloud cover is supposed to remain at 100% until 05:00 at which point it will fall to 99%, How does one differentiate between 100% and 99%? The NEXRAD regional radar shows a significant amount of shower activity moving toward us from the southwest to the northeast. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still call for significant rain overnight and well into tomorrow morning.
My Weather Stick is frowning, and if it was a person the corners of its mouth would be at the margins of the jaw line. That is a serious frown. With 91% relative humidity I am frowning too. All my surgical scars and injuries are telling me that this is going to be one rough ride on the weather rollercoaster. All three of my electronic instruments agree that we are having rain and will have rain tonight along with falling barometric pressure. Actually the Weather Station is now calling for a storm warning, and I believe that too. Guess what? I am not going to disagree. I think that we will have some interesting weather overnight with wind, rain and very low pressure. It will not freeze though, so we will not have to shovel it. There is a bright side to everything.
High Temperature (°F): 53.4
Current Temperature (°F): 52.3
Relative Humidity (%): 91%
Dew Point (°F): 49.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.73
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (Inches): 0.08 (1.89 inches)
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:49°F/50.1°F//59°F/51.8°F//64°F/53.4°F//63°F/52.5°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/87%//78%/90%//73%/90%//81%/91%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for only the 08:00 hour forecast point today. With the overcast rain and drizzle the temperature did not rise as quickly as they though it might. Further the relative humidity did not fall as they though it might, so they missed all the relative humidity forecast points.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 55°F/55°F/55°F/55°F (I do not believe that.)
Relative Humidity: 93%/100%/100%/100%

At 05:30, when I took Ike out for his morning exercise, I found the sky overcast, no wind, the temperature warm and no precipitation. We had our low temperature of 48.2°F at about 22:30. It looks like N.O.A.A. got the predominant weather overnight totally wrong. There was no precipitation let alone steady precipitation. Until this morning it appears that the cloud cover was significantly less than they predicted as well.
For today in Wilton, Maine we can expect to start with rain, which will stop for a time, to be replaced by light scattered showers for the afternoon. West of us (say Rumford) the N.W.S. is calling for steadier rain, except from 11:00 to 14:00 hours. The estimate of the cloud cover is 100% all day. West of us, in New York, and Long Island Sound the NEXRAD regional radar is showing some significant rain moving generally in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are still calling for some significant storms in Maine for today and into tomorrow.
My Weather Stick is frowning still due to the 85% relative humidity. There is some agreement among my electronic weather instruments. All three of them forecast falling barometric pressure, and indeed it has fallen overnight. My Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecast partly cloudy skies. My remote weather station sees cloudy skies. As I Look out my west facing window the clouds have certainly thickened and lowered. To me that indicates an improved chance for some precipitation. The Maple that I have been watching this season is now all yellow. If we get the kind of stormy weather that the instruments, N.W.S. and prognosticators say we will it may well be stripped of its leaves by tomorrow. Basically I think we are in for a fairly rough ride today with some stormy weather and significant rainfall.
Low Temperature (°F): 48.2
Current Temperature (°F): 50.9
Relative Humidity (%): 85%
Dew Point (°F): 46.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.95
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:55°F/51.2°F//51°F/48.9°F//49°F/50.5°F//47°F/51.2°F
Relative Humidity: 77%/71%//83%/82%//93%/84%//100%/84%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all four forecast points overnight. The only forecast point that they had correct was at 23:00 hours last night. Great on the temperature, terrible results for the relative humidity. I must give credit where credit is due.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 49°F/59°F/64°F/63°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/78%/73%/81%

We started out this morning with partly cloudy skies, the stratus clouds moved in, around mid-afternoon we went to altostratus clouds, and by sunset we had cirrus clouds and mostly cloudy skies. Now (22:00 hours) we have partly cloudy skies with a few cumulus clouds moving through. N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct, but I think Mother Nature fooled them on the cloud cover forecast.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts rain, not showers, but rain for all four forecast points. So far I have not seen any rain at all. In fact, I checked the NEXRAD radar, and there are no showers headed our way, let alone rain. The forecast cloud cover would support rain (67%/76%/97%/100%), but I am not seeing that much cloud cover. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still call for a chance of showers this evening, and more significant rain tomorrow into Saturday. I do not know, and with the way things are changing, everyone is having a problem prognosticating right now.
My Weather Stick is frowning just a little due to the 81% relative humidity. There is some agreement among the electronic instruments. They are all calling for falling barometric pressure now. The Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecast partly cloudy conditions. The remote weather station sees the conditions as cloudy. I do not have enough experience, but I think we will see partly cloudy skies, and the chance for some unsettled weather. That is my prediction and I am sticking to it.
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:43°F/41.5°F//58°F/54.5°F//65°F/67.2°F//63°F/63.6°F
Relative Humidity: 93%/89%//59%/71%//54%/52%//58%/51%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all four forecast points today. They were on and off and on and off the relative humidity for 8:00/11:00/14:00/and 17:00 hours. Maybe they will do better tomorrow. I must say they have been doing well with the temperature forecasts.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 55°F/51°F/49°F/47°F
Relative Humidity: 77%/83%/93%/100%
High Temperature (°F): 69.8
Current Temperature (°F): 49.1
Relative Humidity (%): 81%
Dew Point (°F): 43.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.97
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 49.1
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down

When I stepped outside to check the conditions this morning at 05:30 there were just a few cumulus clouds evident in the sky. I could still see plenty of stars. Now (07:15) those clouds have been replaced by a sheet of stratus clouds. It is beginning to look a bit dismal out there. We did not have any precipitation here, in Wilton, Maine during the overnight, but there is plenty of humidity in the air. Despite the gray skies, the autumn colors seem to be getting brighter. We have not lost many of the leaves yet either, so I would guess that those colors are at their peak. Now would be the time to get out and observe them.
N.O.A.A. is forecasting no precipitation for our area today, in fact for the whole region that Gray covers. The cloud cover is supposed to increase as the day goes on (73%/80%/86%/93%). With the sky currently overcast (100% as I see it) I am not sure how to explain their measurement. The NEXRAD radar shows some echoes in southern New Hampshire, and they appear to be headed for the southernmost part of Maine. We do not seem to have anything moving in our direction. According to the Weather Underground model forecast maps we may get some light showers later this afternoon. Starting around noon tomorrow they see a generous amount of rainfall and stormy weather headed our way and lasting well into Saturday.
My Weather Stick is back to frowning again. With 87% relative humidity I am not surprised. My electronic instruments are showing the same forecasts as they did last night. My Weather Station sees fair skies with rising barometric pressure (wrong). My Min/Max Thermometer forecasts partly cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure (maybe). My remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions with falling barometric pressure (probably). I would suggest that we will see cloudy conditions all day with a chance of light scattered showers

Now The Yellow Shows Up On The Maple Even Better
Low Temperature (°F): 37.7
Current Temperature (°F): 37.9
Relative Humidity (%): 87%
Dew Point (°F): 34.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.00
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 37.9
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:51°F/45.6°F//47°F/44.2°F//44°F/42.4°F//42°F/38.8°F
Relative Humidity: 56%/71%//68%/80%//79%/83%//78%/86%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for the last three forecast points overnight. They did miss the 20:00 hour point by more than the +/- 5°F that I use as the benchmark for accuracy. The only relative humidity point that they forecast correctly was at 02:00 this morning. They only had 50% of their temperature and humidity forecasts correct within limits. That is not what I would consider good value for our tax dollars. I wonder if they can do better today?
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 43°F/58°F/65°F/63°F
Relative Humidity: 93%/59%/54%/58%

With all the weeds in my garden I am not sure that everything has been killed. I need to go take a close look to see if there is anything I can salvage. I am not even sure that my potatoes have been top killed. Today, though, was a beautiful day, and instead of working at my computer I should have been outside working on my wood. Since I have probably enough for this winter and into next, I am not keeping the frenetic pace I was. Still, a nice day is a good day to be outside, and this was a nice day. I guess N.O.A.A. and I got one right.
For the overnight, the early prediction is for light scattered showers. We are right on the line of that prediction from the N.W.S. I do not see any real echoes on the NEXRAD radar, and the Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show any potential precipitation until tomorrow morning. The cloud cover forecast does not really support the possibility of rain for our area of Wilton, Maine (43%/55%/68%/67%).
My Weather Stick is frowning about as much this evening as it was smiling this morning, and with 81% relative humidity that is no surprise. There is virtually no agreement among my electronic instruments. My Weather Station forecasts fair skies with rising barometric pressure. My Min/Max Thermometer calls for partly cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure. Finally my remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions with falling barometric pressure. I tend to agree with that last. It is already overcast here, and I suspect the relative humidity is on the way up. Further, the barometric pressure has already fallen. I do not think we will have any precipitation overnight, but it will be warmer than it has been for the last couple of nights.
High Temperature (°F): 66.9
Current Temperature (°F): 44.4
Relative Humidity (%): 81%
Dew Point (°F): 38.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.02
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 44.4
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:31°F/30.3°F//52°F/48.0°F//62°F/64.0°F//60°F/61.7°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/88%//50%/75%//36%/44%//39%/44%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all the four forecast points today. They did not fare as well with the relative humidity. The only one they got right was at 17:00 hours this afternoon. That was even close to being outside the limits of +/- 5% that I use.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 51°F/47°F/44°F/42°F
Relative Humidity: 56%/68%/79%/78%

As I came upstairs to start this report I noted that there was a very brief interlude of fog. It did not help since the temperature went to 28.9°F after the fog cleared. Summer is now officially over here. We can look forward now to Indian Summer, which is the first warm spell after the first killing frost. It can last for a day or up to a week. Whatever it does it is here. N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct, no precipitation and the chance for some fog. The sky overnight was cloudless, but now on the western horizon there are a few cirrus clouds. Ike did not want to stay outside this morning when I took him for his walk. Right now he is curled up at my feet, warming them very nicely.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation with partly cloudy skies (26%/15%/38%/43%). There are some showers in central New York state, according to the NEXRAD composite radar, but I do not think they will make it here based on what is shown on the Weather Underground model forecast maps.
My Weather Stick is frowning again due to the 87% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Two of them are calling for fair skies, while the remote weather station says partly cloudy skies will be the order of the day. I think we will see a few clouds passing through today, but the temperature will warm up into the sixties. There will not be a lot of wind because the high pressure system will be directly overhead. This will probably start to move off by evening.
Low Temperature (°F): 28.9
Current Temperature (°F): 28.9
Relative Humidity (%): 87%
Dew Point (°F): 25.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.15
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 28.9
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:41°F/43.5°F//35°F/35.7°F//32°F/32.1°F//29°F/30.0°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/65%//92%/81%//92%/85%//100%/87%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all the four forecast points overnight. They missed all four of the relative humidity readings at this location. They had the direction correct, but missed the actual readings by a significant amount.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 31°F/52°F/62°F/60°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/50%/36%/39%

This Is The Maple Referred To This Morning
We actually had a delightful day, just as N.O.A.A. and I said we would. The temperature actually made it to 60°F. However; the temperature now (22:30 hours) is already down to 36.5°F. If nothing changes in the atmosphere you will hear the crunch of frost underfoot tomorrow morning, and the growing season will be at an end. Because of the angle of the sun I had to take the picture of that maple tree from the other side, but I think you can see how the yellow has taken over.
Someone brought it to my attention that there are a couple things I have not explained recently. If you have already seen this ignore it, since it is for the benefit of newer readers of this report. The strings of temperatures and relative humiditys that show up in the report are from the times the N.W.S. selects as their forecast points During Eastern Daylight Saving Time the daytime forecast points are 08:00/11:00/14:00 and 17:00 hours, and the nighttime forecast points are 20:00/23:00/02:00 and 05:00 hours. When we revert to Standard Time those times will back up one hour. The other explanatory point is that I use N.O.A.A. (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) and N.W.S. (National Weather Service) interchangeably because they are part of the same agency.
Now, on to tonight's forecast. The N.W.S. thinks we will have frost starting around 02:00 hours when the temperature reaches (according to them) 32°F. It is expected to fall from there. Their forecast for the cloud cover is 0%/0%/0%/0%, and that will allow for significant radiational cooling. There is a possibility that we may have some fog at about the same time the temperature is supposed to reach 32°F. If that happens we will dodge another bullet, and if not we will get it right between the tomatoes. There is plenty of ground clutter showing up on the NEXRAD radar, but no showers. The wind has gone calm as well. All these parameters lead me to believe that the time for a killing or black frost is upon us. We will see!
My Weather Stick is smiling, but only very slightly with the 75% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments indicate that the barometric pressure is on the rise. Two of them forecast clear skies, while the remote weather station forecasts a mix of clear and cloudy skies (would you believe partly cloudy skies). I think it is going to be cold tonight, and that the time for frost on the pumpkin has arrived. So, get the squash in, let the frost get on the pumpkin and watch for the winter warnings to race across the sky. We may get some more warm weather later in the week, but I think that summer is at an end as of tonight.
High Temperature (°F): 60.0
Current Temperature (°F): 37.5
Relative Humidity (%): 75%
Dew Point (°F): 30.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.12
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 37.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:38°F/42.0°F//51°F/49.4°F//56°F/59.7°F//54°F/56.8°F
Relative Humidity: 79%/73%//70%/60%//42%/45%//45%/47%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature for all the four forecast points. They missed the morning relative humidity forecast, but correctly forecast the afternoon. Not great, but not bad forecasting either.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 41°F/35°F/32°F/29°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/92%/92%/100%

I know it is almost unbelievable, but N.O.A.A. only missed the cloud cover for this morning at 05:00 hours. When I stepped out to check the conditions the sky was clear rather than a 60+ percent cloud cover. Right now I see one cloud to our west, and that certainly does not cover 60% of the sky. Once again we can hear those frosty bullets whizzing by our ears as we dodge another frosty morning. I have heard a weather prognosticator say that if we do not have a frost tonight we may well be frost free for another week. That is incredible.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation (there may be some light scattered mixed precipitation a little north of us late this afternoon) for Wilton, Maine and the cloud cover forecast (35%/21%/37%/21%) seems to support that. There is no activity on the NEXRAD regional radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show the skies as clear during the day, not only today, but also tomorrow. Even Thursday looks very clear on those maps.
My Weather Stick is still expressionless due to the 74% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. The only one that is not forecasting fair skies is the remote weather station, and it is forecasting cloudy conditions. My feeling is that we are going to have another delightful day with temperatures at or just below sixty degrees, light winds and a few clouds.
Low Temperature (°F): 39.7
Current Temperature (°F): 39.7
Relative Humidity (%): 74%
Dew Point (°F): 32.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.11
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 0.4
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:44°F/45.8°F//43°F/44.6°F//39°F/41.5°F//37°F/41.0°F
Relative Humidity: 68%/65%//70%/68%//76%/73%//75%/75%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature and relative humidity correctly for all the four forecast points. This is unique, and a truly stellar performance on their part.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 38°F/51°F/56°F/54°F
Relative Humidity: 79%/70%/42%/45%

The temperature barely made it into the low fifties today, and the cumulus clouds did move in this afternoon. The wind also remained quite active. N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation, and a fairly significant cloud cover, so they were right about that. I am still rebuilding that file, and it looks like it will take a while to get it all done, so I have the records I need to go to the Wilton town office.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation for us, but they are calling for fog in the river valleys. Their estimate of the cloud cover may once again protect us from a frost (69%/81%/63%/49%). One of these days there will be no protection. There are some echoes showing up in the vicinity of the radar stations, but that may be ground clutter. The Weather Underground model forecast map also shows the area to be free of storms, at least for the next couple of days.
My Weather Stick shows no emotion due to the 68% relative humidity. That is the lowest I have seen when taking a reading in quite a while. Two of my electronic instruments are calling for fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts cloudy skies with steady barometric pressure. I think we will see some clouds overnight, and we will not have any precipitation or frost. I know I am going out on a limb there.
High Temperature (°F): 52.8
Current Temperature (°F): 44.6
Relative Humidity (%): 68%
Dew Point (°F): 34.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.07
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.9
Wind-Chill (°F): 44.6
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrocumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:39°F/42.4°F//48°F/50.5°F//52°F/52.1°F//51°F/48.5°F
Relative Humidity: 74%/76%//54%/61%//48%/61%//52%/67%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all the four forecast points. They missed all but the 08:00 hour point for the relative humidity. Once again they did not have one of their stellar performances.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 44°F/43°F/39°F/37°F
Relative Humidity: 68%/70%/76%/75%

Did you here that whistling past your ear. That was the bullet that missed us. Here in Wilton, Maine we still have not had a frost. The combination of wind, cloud cover and air mass worked together to keep us above the freezing mark. As I recall, a general rule of thumb is for the trees to be stripped of their leaves by the end of the Fryeburg Fair. That fair ended yesterday, and thee are still plenty of leaves on the trees, and a great deal of color. N.O.A.A. had predicted mixed precipitation for our area overnight, but I do not find any precipitation other than heavy dew this morning. They missed that one.
For today, the forecast is for no precipitation, but significant cloud cover (51%/55%/59%/58%). The NEXRAD radar does not show any storm cells in our area, or moving toward us. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are also showing us in the clear today, and for the next couple of days.
My Weather Stick is still frowning slightly, and at 75% relative humidity I am not surprised. The electronic instruments do not seem to agree this morning. My Weather Station calls for fair skies with rising barometric pressure. My Min/Max Thermometer calls for a mix of clear and cloudy skies with falling barometric pressure. Finally, my remote weather station forecasts clouds with rising barometric pressure. What I can see outside right now are partly cloudy skies with the trees being blown quite a bit. I think a mix of sun and clouds is probably what we will have today, and temperatures in the low fifties.
Low Temperature (°F): 37.8
Current Temperature (°F): 42.0
Relative Humidity (%): 75%
Dew Point (°F): 34.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.03
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 5.5
Wind-Chill (°F): 34.7
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:50°F/40.6°F//46°F/38.1°F//42°F/41.0°F//38°F/41.3°F
Relative Humidity: 52%/73%//58%/82%//66%/80%//76%/78%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for three of the four forecast points. They missed the 23:00 hour point by about 8 degrees. The only relative humidity point they forecast correctly was at 05:00 hours this morning. Once again they did not have one of their stellar performances.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 39°F/48°F/52°F/51°F
Relative Humidity: 74%/54%/48%/52%

The temperature never got to the middle fifties today. I did not go outside to work on the wood because I had too much paperwork to do to get ready for my battle with the tax assessor in Wilton. Their estimate of the worth of my property and the fact that I am a working farm has my property taxes up by over 16%. That is wrong. This is not Wilton, Connecticut, and the valuation they have come up with would fit there, not here. I have no "view" other than the "Beans of Egypt Maine" and the woods around us. I am almost ready to put it no the market and move if I cannot get any satisfaction. This whole tax valuation is wrong. There are people who have "views" of the lake and waterfront property that have had no increase, and farmers like me that are being raped.
Oh well, back to the weather. We had no precipitation and a fair bit of wind during the day today. There were some cumulus clouds, and they are still hanging around. Depending on the wind and the cloud cover we may lose gardens tonight. Be advised. For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts light mixed precipitation all night. MIXED PRECIPITAITON, with the temperature not falling below 38. This should be an interesting ride. The NEXRAD radar does not show much in the way of precipitation, either regionally or locally. As I noted there are quite a few cumulus clouds hanging around so the cloud cover prediction may be right (59%/56%/52%/52%).
My Weather Stick is only frowning a little right now. All three of the electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Two of them forecast fair skies, while the remote weather station forecasts a mix of fair and cloudy skies. Here again, I feel that we will still see some unsettled weather as a result of all the clouds out there. The temperature is going to get close to the freezing mark, but I am not sure it will make it.
High Temperature (°F): 52.8
Current Temperature (°F): 37.2
Relative Humidity (%): 81%
Dew Point (°F): 31.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.03
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:40°F/39.2°F//50°F/48.0°F//55°F/51.0°F//53°F/47.8°F
Relative Humidity: 79%/85%//54%/63%//43%/56%//46%/63%
The N,W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all four of the recording periods. That was good. They did not have one of the points of relative humidity forecast correctly. That was not good on their part. The relative humidity has again gotten away from them.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 50°F/46°F/42°F/38°F
Relative Humidity: 52%/58%/65%/76%

Overnight we had some rain, but my system shut down around 23:15 (right after I finished my report). My analog rain gauge shows 2.50 inches of rain since the start of October. I think I missed one other storm as well. I will include the 0.69 inches of rain parenthetically for the rest of the month. Just so you know, this is not the result of Wildblue, but the provision of power by Central Maine Power Co. I was off line from 23:23 until 01:30. I am glad this was not during the winter because it would have gotten quite cold in the house in that length of time. "Just flip a switch and we are there." I have switches flipped all the time, and sometimes they are there and sometimes they are not. They are only slightly more reliable than Verizon. If I could go totally off the grid at reasonable cost I would in a heartbeat. I would love to be able to sell power back to them instead of the other way around.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered showers all day with cloud cover of 72%, 77%, 70%/ and63%. That is enough cloud cover to support showers. The NEXRAD radar is showing some showers moving off to our east rapidly. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that the rest of today should be precipitation free for our area in Wilton, Maine.
My Weather Stick is back to frowning, and I am frowning at the 86% relative humidity too. My Electronic Weather Station is calling for fair skies with rising barometric pressure as is the Min/Max Thermometer. The remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions with steady barometric pressure. I guess I blew it last night when I called for clearing skies. I guess I am entitled to be as wrong as the professionals, since I am but a practiced amateur. For today it seems to be cloudy with a threat of showers, but that could change in a heartbeat. We must remember this is New England, and the weather can change at a moment's notice.
Low Temperature (°F) : 36.5
Current Temperature (°F): 37.9
Relative Humidity (%): 86%
Dew Point (°F) : 34.0
Heat Index (°F) : N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.89
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph) : 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): N/A
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (Inches) : 0.69 (2.50)
Cloud Cover (AM) : Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrostratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:51°F/53.7°F//45°F/41.1°F//39°F/41.1°F//33°F/36.8°F
Relative Humidity: 56%/70%//68%/82%//82%/86%//100%/85 %
The N.W.S. forecast the temperature correctly for all four of the recording periods. That was good. The only point they forecast correctly with the relative humidity was at 02:00 hours. That was not good on their part. The relative humidity has again gotten away from them.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 40°F/50°F/55°F/53°F
Relative Humidity: 79%/54%/43%/46 %