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Weather in Wilton, Maine
Jeffrey Le Doux is a weather enthusiast who lives in Wilton.
Blog Index
December 2007
December 31, 2007
What A Way For The Old Year To Go Out!!
The Net Result Is 10 Inches
We have had new snow accumulation of about 10 inches here in Wilton, Maine. N.O.A.A. had this one about right, it ended between 13:00 and 14:00 hours this afternoon. Just in time to get things cleaned up for the next one tomorrow. We have now had around 43 inches of snow for the month of December. Someone mentioned that this was not unlike the winter of 1986/87 when we had the 500 year flood. At least this time, if it happens, we live on top of a hill with no way for the water to get to us. That was a week I will never forget.
The N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation overnight with cloud cover in the moderate range (61%/57%/48%/74%/), and that should allow for quite a bit of radiational cooling. There is nothing on the NEXRAD composite regional radar that would indicate a storm on its way. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are still calling for the next storm to start around 21:00 hours tomorrow and end between noon and 15:00 hours on Wednesday. The predictions I have heard are for a repeat of the amount we got from this storm. Just what we need 53 inches on snow on the ground at the start of January. If you like skiing and snowshoeing it looks like this is the winter for you.
My Weather Stick still frowns at the 77% relative humidity. Oh well, such is life. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. That must be the drier air moving in for the overnight. Two of them call for fair skies overnight, while the remote weather station forecasts unsettled weather. We had high temperatures today of 32.1°F, 36.5°F and 32.0°F on the usual suspects. Another snowstorm tomorrow, that is just lovely. It is Winter, I have that message. Well, we used to have winters like this in Connecticut where I grew up, just not this often. We are due for an "old fashioned winter" anyway. It should be interesting to look up at the snow from the second story, and if this pattern keeps up we just might be able to do that. I do not think the Old Farmer's Almanac got this one right.
High Temperature (°F): 32.1
Current Temperature (°F): 23.3
Relative Humidity: 77%
Dew Point (°F): 17.2
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.00
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 5.3
Wind-Chill (°F): 17.4
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 10.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:24°F/24.6°F//28°F/26.2°F//31°F/31.2°F//30°F/29.6°F.
Relative Humidity: 96%/86%//81%/86%//69%/81%//69%/79%
The N.W.S. had all four forecast temperatures within limits compared to the recorded temperatures for today. They had three of the relative humidity forecasts within 10% of the actual recorded data. The only one they missed was at 13:00 hours. Not a bad outing today.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 25°F/21°F/19°F/17°F.
Relative Humidity: 78%/88%/92%/88%
The Next Round Has Arrived
Another 6" of snow and it's not over yet
For the overnight N.O.A.A. appears to have had the predominant weather correct. It is snowing right now, and rather heavily. Already we have another 6" on the ground giving us 44" so far for the month of December. The storm is not over, so the total will be even greater than it is now.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts snow to start through the noonhour, tapering to light scattered snow showers for the rest of the day. The NEXRAD composite regional radar shows more snow on the way for Wilton, Maine, although there may be rain along the coast. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show this storm finally winding down around 21:00 hours tonight, but wait, there is another storm forecast to start around 21:00 hours tomorrow night and lasting through 15:00 hours Wednesday. Hey, Happy New Year!
My Weather Stick seems to have taken on a permanent frown, but then the relative humidity has not come down below 70% for several days when I check it. My La Crosse Weather Station indicates a storm warning, falling barometric pressure and low temperature of 24.4°F. My Min/Max Thermometer and remote weather station both call for foul weather, falling barometric pressure and low temperatures of 24.7°F and 29.8°F respectively. I think it is going to snow today. Do I have a great grasp of the obvious? It is kind of hard to miss this weather type. Be careful on the roads, they seem to be treacherous despite the snowplows coming through. It was a real treat to have the snowplow go by as I walked Ike, and have the plume of snow go over my head, and I am over 6' 2" tall. Do you think he was speeding?
Low Temperature (°F): 24.4
Current Temperature (°F): 24.6
Relative Humidity 86%
Dew Point (°F): 21.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.83
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 24.6
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 6.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:33°F/28.0°F//29°F/26.4°F//27°F/26.2°F//25°F/25.5°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/70%//100%/75%//100%/80%//100%/85%
The N.W.S. had all four forecast temperatures within limits compared to the recorded temperatures. The only relative humidity forecast they had correct was at 19:00 hours, and that just barely. A new year is coming, and maybe they can do better then.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 33°F/29°F/27°F/25°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/100%/100%/100%
December 30, 2007
We Did Have A Warm Day For The End Of December!
N.O.A.A. did forecast a day without precipitation today, and they had that right. It also got well above freezing. In fact what I thought might be cement to clear off the dooryard actually wound up clearing quite easily. I guess the snow dried out quite a bit making it easy to blow. We had some sun as was evidenced by the 40.1°F high temperature we experienced. I say again that we seem to have had our January Thaw early this year. I wonder what the rest of this season will bring us.
For the overnight the N.W.S. says we will start with no precipitation, move to light scattered snow showers and finish the last half of the night with real snow. The cloud cover forecast certainly confirms that (80%/100%/100%/100%). The NEXRAD composite regional radar has picked up the storm and shows it stretching from off the shore at Cape Cod to central New York State. It looks like it is taking aim right at us. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still say it will end around 21:00 hours tomorrow. The N.W.S. thinks it will start earlier and end earlier that the models say it will.
My Weather Stick is still frowning. It has not been happy for several of these reports. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Indeed the pressure has risen since this morning. Two of them forecast fair skies while the remote weather station calls for unsettled weather. We did record the high temperatures at 40.1°F, 36.5°F and 36.9°F. The way it looks outside I think we are not going to escape without some fairly significant snow overnight, and by they way, watch out for tomorrow night as well.
High Temperature (°F): 40.1
Current Temperature (°F): 26.9
Relative Humidity: 70%
Dew Point (°F): 18.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.11
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 26.9
Precipitation (Type): Melt
Amount (Inches): 0.02
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:22°F/30.2°F//29°F/33.5°F//35°F/38.3°F//34°F/31.2°F.
Relative Humidity: 96%/71%//78%/63%//42%/51%//61%/61%
The N.W.S. missed the 07:00 temperature. It just got warmer than they expected. They also missed the 07:00 and 10:00 hour relative humidity reading. This was definitely not one of their better outings. They did have more than 50% or the readings forecast correctly, but they should be able to do better. Maybe they just have too much data to work with. Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 33°F/29°F/27°F/25°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/100%/100%/100%
Are We Ready For The Next Round?
N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation overnight, but when I took Ike for his morning constitutional either we had some blowing snow or there was a flurry passing through. The moon was shining, but clouds were occluding it from time to time while I was out. Overnight the temperature rose to just below the freezing point, where it is now (05:41). There are some clouds to our east, but more to our west. There is some wind, but not enough to change t he apparent temperature (wind chill).
The N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation for today, and their estimate of the cloud cover does support that (27%/38%/49%/66%), although they are predicting that clouds will be moving in as the day progresses. The NEXRAD composite regional radar is clear of any storms right now. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do show two storms moving in our direction. The first is expected to start around 06:00 tomorrow morning and end around 21:00 hours. This appears to be an all snow event. The second can be expected to start around 15:00 hours Tuesday and end around Noon on Wednesday. This should give us an interesting finish to 2007 as well as an interesting start to 2008.
My Weather Stick is frowning at the 72% relative humidity. The only agreement among my electronic instruments is that the barometric pressure is expected to rise during the day today. My La Crosse Weather Station recorded a low of 30.7°F and predicts unsettled conditions. My Min/Max Thermometer predicts fair skies and recorded a low of 27.7°F. Finally the remote weather station recorded a low temperature in the barn of 32.4°F and forecasts cloudy conditions for today. It appears that we have some stormy weather that will be moving in, but it is going to take its own sweet time getting here. That said, the longer it takes to get here the longer it will take to get out of here. We will just have to wait to see how all this weather plays out.
Low Temperature (°F): 30.7
Current Temperature (°F): 31.6
Relative Humidity: 72%
Dew Point (°F): 23.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.97
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 2.9
Wind-Chill (°F): 31.6
Precipitation (Type): Rain/melt
Amount (Inches): 0.14
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altocumulus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature31°F/30.9°F//29°F/32.5°F//27°F/31.8°F//23°F/31.8°F.
Relative Humidity: 88%/90%//85%/88%//85%/77%//92%/75%
The N.W.S. had The temperature going in the wrong direction despite the fact that three of the four recorded readings were within the set limits. The same was true of the relative humidity. They had it dropping off and then rising, but it kept falling in reality. I guess the cloud cover did not change as much as they expected it to, and that kept more of the heat in from yesterday.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 22°F/29°F/35°F/34°F.
Relative Humidity: 96%/78%/42%/61%
December 29, 2007
Heavy Snow That Is Now Like Cement!
If, for some reason you did not get the snow off your dooryard it may be there until spring. N.O.A.A. did forecast snow for half the day and some form of icy precipitation for the rest of it. We did have the snow, and there was a period of mixed sleet and freezing rain, but it did not last for the entire afternoon. There were even a few peeks of sunshine late, but too late to help the temperature.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation, although the cloud cover is expected to remain static until around 04:00 hours (59%/59%/58%/42%). The NEXRAD regional radar is clear this evening with no storms showing. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are a different story. There appears to be a storm moving in for very early Monday morning, and another one for Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. We certainly seem to be stuck in this pattern of another snowstorm every two to three days. This could pile up to be some significant snow by the end of the winter. Already we have had about 34 inches of snow.
My Weather Stick continues to frown at 89% relative humidity. The La Crosse Weather Station forecasts foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer sees unsettled weather with rising barometric pressure and the remote weather station forecasts clouds with rising barometric pressure. The high temperatures in the same order were 33.8°F, 36.0°F and 33.4°F. I think the best I can come up with is a middle ground of unsettled weather where we may or may not have any precipitation. It may get colder than predicted, but I am just not sure of this one. There are just too many variables.
High Temperature (°F): 33.8\
Current Temperature (°F): 32.5
Relative Humidity: 89%
Dew Point (°F): 29.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.88
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 32.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature25°F/27.5°F//31°F/28.7°F//36°F/33.6°F//35°F/33.0°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/89%//88%/89%//79%/88%//72%/87%
The N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts within the set limits. There just was not much temperature change during the day because there was not much sunshine. Only the middle two relative humidity forecasts were close to the actual readings recorded by the La Cross Weather Station. This was not a great result, but it was not bad either, just sort of ordinary.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 31°F/29°F/27°F/23°F.
Relative Humidity: 88%/85%/85%/92%
Heavy Snow That Is Heavy Snow
The moisture content of this snow must be quite high because it packed quite hard underfoot when I took Ike out this morning. We have now had another 4 inches of snow to add to the total for December. That is up to around 07:30 hours. The visibility is not great, only about the length of a football field, and the snow has not coalesced to form the big flakes that we usually wee when a storm is getting close to its end. It does appear that N.O.A.A. got this one right so far. The snow did start sometime after midnight, and continues as I write this report.
The N.W.S. is calling for snow to continue through the morning and change to ice in some form this afternoon. After checking the NEXRAD composite regional radar I am not so sure of that. The back edge of this storm is at the border with Maine and New Hampshire, so we may only have a couple more hours before we begin to see some clearing. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that this will be over by early afternoon. Unless this storm stalls in the Gulf of Maine we should see an end to the snow by noon. That is my prediction.
My Weather Stick is frowning mightily as a result of the 89% relative humidity. There is no surprise there with the heavy wet snow that is falling. All three of the electronic instruments see the barometric pressure falling. The La Crosse Weather Station is issuing a storm warring, the Min/Max Thermometer sees foul weather and the remote weather station only predicts cloudy conditions. I guess we cannot have a storm or foul weather without clouds. The low temperatures were not very low, 27.3°F, 27.7°F and 30.7°F. My feeling is, as I said above, that this storm will not last a great deal longer unless the system stalls in the Gulf of Maine at which point all bets are off on the amount of snow we will get.
Low Temperature (°F): 27.3
Current Temperature (°F): 27.5
Relative Humidity: 89%
Dew Point (°F): 24.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.05
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 27.5
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 4.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature28°F/28.5°F//25°F/28.2°F//27°F/28.5°F//28°F/27.6°F.
Relative Humidity: 84%/82%//92%/84%//81%/85%//88%/87%
The N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts and all four of the relative humidity forecasts close to the recorded readings from my La Crosse Weather Station overnight. That really was a good job. I do give praise when it is deserved, just as I give criticism when they get it wrong.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 25°F/31°F/36°F/35°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/88%/79%/72%
Promises, Promises--More Snow!!
According to N.O.A.A. we were supposed to have light snow today, all day. They missed the boat on that forecast. There were some clouds of the altocumulus type this afternoon, but they did not produce any precipitation. I was able to clear the dooryard in preparation for the next onslaught--tomorrow.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecast no precipitation for the evening hours and light snow for the early morning. There is no storm on the NEXRAD composite regional radar right now, but the Weather Underground model forecast maps say it will get here early tomorrow morning. They are calling for snow for interior Maine with ice and snow closer to the coast. With the cloud cover predictions of 47%/69%/91%/96% I tend to believe the prediction.
My Weather Stick is frowning as a result of the 78% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast the barometric pressure to be on the way up. They also call for fair skies, and that is in opposition to the experts at N.O.A.A. The recorded high temperature for all three of the instruments was above freezing, 36.1°F, 37.8°F and 34.5°F. It is interesting the way the temperature in the barn lags behind the outdoor temperature. As you can see the high was lower in the barn than it was outside. I think we will start with overcast skies, and the weather will deteriorate overnight with precipitation by morning, but I could be wrong. I have been before.
High Temperature (°F): 36.1
Current Temperature (°F): 30.7
Relative Humidity: 78%
Dew Point (°F): 24.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.35
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 30.7
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altocumulus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature23°F/24.0°F//30°F/28.9°F//36°F/35.7°F//35°F/32.1°
Relative Humidity: 92%/88%//73%/88%//60%/72%//58%/88%
The N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts close to the recorded readings from my La Crosse Weather Station today. That was a good job. They did not do as well with the relative humidity getting only the 07:00 hour forecast point within 10% of the recorded humidity. The rest of them were significantly different from the recorded data. Not a very good job there.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 28°F/25°F/27°F/28°F.
Relative Humidity: 84%/92%/81%/88%
December 28, 2007
Surprise, It is Still Snowing, But The Moon Is Out
N.O.A.A. did get the predominant weather correct overnight. We did wind up with about 4 inches of snow out of this storm, and this morning when I took Ike out it was still snowing lightly. In fact, despite the snow, the moon was shining brightly, almost directly overhead. That was weird, and a bit unexpected. The trees are once again coated with fresh snow, and look like a winter postcard. With the clouds firmly in place I am not sure how much the temperature is going to rise today, as the forecast says it is. The snowplow just went through, so I had best get this finished so I can clear the dooryard before it becomes cement.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered snow showers all day. The cloud cover is expected to decrease as the day wears on (92%/68%/44%/50%) with some increase toward dusk in anticipation of another storm tomorrow. The NEXRAD regional radar indicates that the current storm is moving out of eastern Maine. Our next storm is not showing up on that site, but it is present on the Weather Underground model forecast maps. That is supposed to start around 09:00 tomorrow morning, and continue into tomorrow night. If this keeps up we will have a lot of snow by the end of the winter.
My Weather Stick still frowns at 88% relative humidity, and the snow falls too. The low temperatures did not get into the teens overnight (24.0°F, 25.4°F and 29.5°F) in the usual order. My electronic instruments do not all agree. The La Crosse Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer forecast falling barometric pressure with foul weather while the remote weather station calls for unsettled conditions with rising barometric pressure. Right now it looks like there is another snow shower moving in our direction from the west. It is like watching a shower move toward us during the summer, only it is a white curtain rather than a gray one. Oh well, it is winter and w might as well accept it.
Low Temperature (°F): 24
Current Temperature (°F): 24.0
Relative Humidity: 88%
Dew Point (°F): 21.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.12
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 24.0
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 4.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature27°F/24.3°F//25°F/26.4°F//25°F/26.0°F//24°F/26.0°
Relative Humidity: 88%/86%//96%/86%//92%/86%//92%/87%
The N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts close to the recorded readings from my La Crosse Weather Station. They did equally well with the relative humidity. Congratulations on a job well done overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 23°F/30°F/36°F/35°F.
Relative Humidity: 92%/73%/60%/58%
The Snow Keeps Coming!
N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct. When I left for my luncheon in Augusta it was not snowing at all. By the time I got there we were having snow flurries. After lunch (about 13:00 hours it was beginning to snow moderately. When I had checked the Weather Underground maps this morning it appeared that the storm would start much later than it did. They were a bit off, and so was I. By nightfall we had about two inches of snow. It is still snowing, but only lightly.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts snow for half the night and light scattered snow showers for the rest of it. The overcast is supposed to be complete until around 04:00 hours when it is expected to drop to 88%. That is when the snow is supposed to decrease to light scattered snow showers. The NEXRAD regional composite radar shows the storm gone from our area. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still show some storm conditions staying with us until sometime tomorrow with the system out of the Ohio River Valley.
My Weather Stick is still frowning at the 86% relative humidity. The high temperatures were close to the freezing mark at 31.2°F, 32.2°F and 31.5°F as recorded by the La Crosse Weather Station, the Min/Max Thermometer and the remote weather station. Their forecasts were for falling barometric pressure across the board, with the first two forecasting foul weather and the remote weather station calling for unsettled conditions. I think we will see the latter situation with the chance for some more snow showers until tomorrow morning.
High Temperature (°F): 31.2
Current Temperature (°F): 26.4
Relative Humidity: 86%
Dew Point (°F): 22.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.05
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 26.4
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 2.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature25°F/26.6°F//27°F/30.5°F//29°F/31.1°F//29°F/28.7°F
Relative Humidity: 74%/85%//74%/76%//75%/77%//78%/85%
The N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts close to the recorded readings from my La Crosse Weather Station. They did almost as well with the relative humidity, missing only the 07:00 hour point.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 27°F/25°F/25°F/24°F.
Relative Humidity: 88%/96%/92%/92%
December 27, 2007
Not A Bad Night
N.O.A.A. did get the predominant weather correct, but that was about all. The temperature went below freezing, but not by much. We woke to clouds and temperatures in the mid-twenties. All in all the overnight was fairly pleasant.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts light snow this morning with snow this afternoon. There is not supposed to be much change in the temperature, and the cloud cover should stay in place (87%/93%/98%/99%). That would support a forecast of precipitation. There is one storm showing up on the NEXRAD radar that appears to be staying just off shore. There is a second one in Eastern Ohio/Western Pennsylvania that may give us more grief this afternoon. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do indicate that we will have some snow later this afternoon and into tomorrow. As I mentioned yesterday we will need to wait and see what happens with that.
My Weather Stick is frowning at the 85% relative humidity. That may portend some precipitation later today. The La Crosse Weather Station currently forecasts fair skies with rising barometric pressure. ()I do not quite believe that.) The other two electronic instruments forecast unsettled conditions with falling barometric pressure. My own forecast is for no precipitation this morning, but clouds and snow moving in later this afternoon. That should be just in time for the late afternoon commute. The low temperatures this morning were 21.7°F, 25.7°F and 29.5°F recorded by the LaCrosse Weather Station, the Min/Max Thermometer and the remote weather station respectively.
Low Temperature (°F): 21.7
Current Temperature (°F): 25.3
Relative Humidity: 85%
Dew Point (°F): 21.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.17
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 25.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature33°F/26.6°F//29°F/23.1°F//26°F/23.3°F//23°F/24.0°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/74%//64%/79%//74%/83%//83%/86%
The N.W.S. missed the first two temperature points overnight, and they also missed the first two relative humidity data points. Once again this was not one of their better efforts forecasting either of these parameters.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 25°F/27°F/29°F/29°F.
Relative Humidity: 74%/74%/75%/78%
December 26, 2007
This Was A Delightful Day!
I did not open the sill cock for my water for the barn last night, and it was frozen this morning. I did not have to thaw it with hot water though, because it thawed out by itself by the time I needed the water for the critters. I did not forget it this evening. The hose has been drained too. N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation today, and they were correct in that assessment. It warmed up to over 40°F today, and that made it a good day to be outside. Tomorrow afternoon may be an equus of a different hue however.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation in the vicinity of Wilton, Maine. There is a storm well south of us, but it appears to be hugging the coastline, and the center is well out to sea. There may be some snow along the coast, but, at least overnight, it does not look like any snow here. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate the same thing for the overnight. It does appear that they are forecasting a storm tomorrow evening into Friday, so we will need to keep an eye on that.
My Weather Stick was expressionless in response to the 76% relative humidity. None of the electronic instruments can agree. The La Crosse Weather Station forecasts fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts falling barometric pressure with unsettled weather. The remote weather station forecasts unsettled weather with steady barometric pressure. I think we will see cloudy conditions, but we will not see any precipitation until sometime late tomorrow. Then we may have snow lasting into the noon hour on Friday.
High Temperature (°F): 42.9
Current Temperature (°F): 24.4
Relative Humidity 76%
Dew Point (°F): 18.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.24
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 24.4
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus/Altostratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:22°F/15.6°F//31°F/26.7°F//39°F/42.6°F//38°F/35.7°F
Relative Humidity: 65%/81%//61%/77%//42%/53%//46%/60%
The N.W.S. missed only the 07:00 hour temperature recorded by my La Crosse Weather Station. However they could not hit the broad side of a barn from the inside with a shotgun when it came to forecasting the relative humidity. That was terrible. They were not even close. I do not feel that I got a fair return on my tax money with this set of data.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 33°F/29°F/26°F/23°F.
Relative Humidity: 58%/64%/74%/83%
The Freeze Is Back Overnight.
Overnight N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation, and they were right. The sky, when I took Ike out for his morning walk, was clear and the moon was shining brightly. It was cold though, but without the wind it did not feel too bad. Yesterday was a pleasant family get-together with our daughter and son-in-law. We had a nice time.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation with slowly increasing cloud cover (17%/25%/37%/50%). I checked the NEXRAD composite regional radar, and could not find any storms moving our way. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do show a storm moving our way for tomorrow afternoon, but today should be a pleasant day with moderate temperatures. I do see some clouds on the western horizon, but they do not look like they are imminent storm clouds. Those may come later.
My Weather Stick is frowning slightly in response to the 80% relative humidity. All three f the electronic instruments foresee the barometric pressure rising. Two of they forecast fair skies, while the remote weather station sees unsettled weather. The low temperatures were 15.6°F on the La Crosse Weather Station, 18.4 on the Min/Max Thermometer and 28.4 in the barn on the remote weather station. The way things look right now I suspect that clouds will continue to move in, thicken and lower. We will have the threat of some more snow (or rain) tomorrow afternoon, but I cannot be sure of that. We will just have to wait to see what tomorrow brings.
Low Temperature (°F): 15.6
Current Temperature (°F): 15.9
Relative Humidity 80%
Dew Point (°F): 10.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.22
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 15.9
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:29°F/28.4°F//24°F/30.0°F//21°F/25.5°F//22°F/19.4°F
Relative Humidity: 53%/55%//54%/59%//59%/67%//80%/75%
The N.W.S. missed only the 20:00 temperature forecast overnight. They were within 10% of the relative humidity readings recorded by my La Crosse Weather Station. That was a good result.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 22°F/31°F/39°F/38°F.
Relative Humidity: 65%/61%/42%/46%
I Took A Holiday
I gathered the data this morning since I was able to. Yesterday evening, after all the turkey, stuffing and other food I took the evening off. The data from yesterday, during the day is presented here for those who keep track. Thankfully I have a computer that (when all is working right) will keep the records for me, and I can report them here.
High Temperature (°F): 40.8
Current Temperature (°F): 30.7
Relative Humidity 56%
Dew Point (°F): 16.8
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.16
Wind Direction: North Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 5.1
Wind-Chill (°F): 16.8
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:23°F/34.8°F//30°F/37.2°F//37°F/39.9°F//35°F/35.7°F
Relative Humidity: 77%/67%//62%/58%//48%/47%//48%/43%
The N.W.S. missed the first two temperature readings this morning, but they got the rest correct along with the four relative humidity forecasts. Not too bad a job.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 29°F/24°F/21°F/22°F.
Relative Humidity: 53%/54%/59%/80%
December 25, 2007
Forecast Snow Did Not Happen
For the overnight N.O.A.A. forecast light scattered snow showers for the first half of the period, but we did not have any here in Wilton, Maine. We still have a white Christmas though because of all the snow we had earlier this month, and we did have in excess of two feet of the white stuff. (My measurements show 25 inches with a couple of trace amounts in between the larger storms.)
For today (Christmas Day) the N.W.S. forecasts us starting with no precipitation, a light snow shower around mid-morning, and ending the day with no precipitation. The NEXRAD regional composite radar is clear. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not forecast any storms for our area through Friday. That should be a nice stretch of weather. It does not even look like we will have the kind of low temperatures we have been having for most of this month.
My Weather Stick is expressionless, responding to the 63% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. Indeed, the pressure is on the rise. The low temperatures recorded were just below freezing, and by the time I recorded them they had all risen above freezing. In fact the low temperature out on the west side of the house was 28.2°F and occurred at 19:00 hours last evening according to the La Crosse Weather Station. The Min/Max recorded a low of 29.9°F, and the remote weather station had a low of 32.7°F. I am seeing plenty of large puffy cumulus clouds, and the sky is mostly cloudy. I think that condition will persist with very gradually clearing skies. It will be warm, for this time of year, making this a very pleasant holiday for those of you that have it off. Have a very Merry Christmas from Wilton, Maine.
Low Temperature (°F): 28.2
Current Temperature (°F): 35.4
Relative Humidity: 63%
Dew Point (°F): 24.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.95
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.9
Wind-Chill (°F): 27.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:31°F/28.2°F//28°F/32.5°F//26°F/33.2°F//24°F/34.3°F
Relative Humidity: 81%/72%//63%/64%//89%/66%//77%/67%
The N.W.S. fell down on the job yesterday. They missed the 01:00 and 04:00 temperature forecasts as well as the 19:00 and 01:00 hour relative humidity forecasts. They were just barely within the 10% limits of the actual recorded data for the 04:00 point. The 22:00 hour point was the only one they were really close on. I would have expected better on Christmas.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 23°F/30°F/37°F/35°F.
Relative Humidity: 77%/62%/48%/48%
December 24, 2007
It is Christmas Eve, And The Forecast Says Snow!
N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation during the day today. We did have a flurry late this afternoon, but it did not amount to anything. It has remained windy, but relatively warm, and much of the snow and ice in my dooryard is now gone. Hooray. It is still slippery, but, if one is careful, it is possible to find places to walk and not wind up falling.
For tonight there is apparently a chance of some light scattered snow showers, but I have not seen any yet. For the second half of the period the N.W.S. says we will not have any precipitation. The NEXRAD composite regional radar does not show any echoes in our area. So we have no precipitation. The Weather Underground model forecast maps also indicate that we are to be storm free for the next couple of days at least.
My Weather Stick is expressionless again as a result of the 61% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments indicate rising barometric pressure. Only the remote weather station is calling for cloudy conditions. The other two see fair skies in our future. High temperatures were in the upper thirties and low forties here at CW5246. The wind continues to blow and the temperature is now near the freezing mark or jus t below.
Once again, Marry Christmas to all and to all a good night.
High Temperature (°F): 37.9
Current Temperature (°F): 31.8
Relative Humidity 61%
Dew Point (°F): 19.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.78
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 7.8
Wind-Chill (°F): 21.6
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:30°F/33.4°F//33°F/33.4°F//36°F/37.7°F//35°F/33.2°F
Relative Humidity: 81%/73%//66%/61%//54%/44%//56%/52%
The N.W.S. did a good job of forecasting the temperature again today. They had them all within five degrees. They did equally well with the relative humidity getting all four points within 10% of the actual recorded data.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 31°F/28°F/26°F/24°F.
Relative Humidity: 81%/63%/89%/77%
Maybe This Is The January Thaw A Little Early!
N.O.A.A. predicted rain through 01:00 hours followed by some snow. It did rain until around 03:00 hours, but then it stopped altogether. There are places in my dooryard that one can see the ground, but where the snow has not been organized there is no ground showing. It is also possible to see the path that the water takes from my outdoor wood boiler to the house, but that is all right and expected. A little after 01:00 hours we had our highest gust of wind for the month at 60.1 mph, and my anemometer is still standing. This must have been a wild night, but I slept right through it.
The N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation today, but the cloud cover is forecast to increase (59%/70%/81%/57%), and then fall by the end of the day. The NEXRAD composite regional radar shows the storm of last night gone from all by easternmost Maine. All we have right now are a few cumulus clouds moving through the area around Wilton, Maine. Even the Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that most of the storm is gone, but we may see some clouds left over this afternoon.
My Weather Stick is really frowning this morning with the 79% relative humidity. Of course that is down from 81% before the wind started to blow out of the Northwest at 14.3 mph. The La Cross Weather Station currently predicts unsettled weather, rising barometric pressure and a low temperature of 32.9°F. The Min/Max Thermometer also forecasts unsettled conditions, rising barometric pressure and a low temperature of 30.4°F. Finally the remote weather station has not gotten the message and forecasts foul weather with falling barometric pressure and a low temperature of 40.6°F. I do not quite believe that last instrument. Conditions may have changed too rapidly for it to keep up with. We will need to see what it says later. I think the sky will gradually clear, and we may actually see some sunshine today. I do not think it will be particularly warm, although it will be warmer than it has been for most of this month. Anything above freezing will be an improvement over the low to mid twenties we have seen since the start of December. For the children this is the day of anticipation. May they get the significance of tomorrow along with their gifts. Have a Merry Christmas!
Low Temperature (°F): 32
Current Temperature (°F): 34.3
Relative Humidity: 79%
Dew Point (°F): 28.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.64
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 14.3
Wind-Chill (°F): 28.3
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (Inches): 0.90
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:39°F/38.8°F//39°F/43.8°F//36°F/46.0°F//34°F/36.3°F
Relative Humidity: 92%/92%//89%/92%//89%/93%//82%/92%
The N.W.S. did a good job of forecasting the temperature overnight. The only point they missed was at 01:00 hours, and that was because the temperature remained elevated. They did get the relative humidity at all four points within 10% of the actual readings. Overall a very good job.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 30°F/33°F/36°F/35°F.
Relative Humidity: 81%/66%/54%/56%
December 23, 2007
Why The Confusion, Is This Not Spring?
N.O.A.A. forecast icy conditions for this morning with rain this afternoon. What we had was fog this morning with some light scattered showers this afternoon and evening. All day we wound up with about a quarter of an inch of rain or liquid precipitation as recorded by my digital rain gauge. This was not a pretty day at all, and we have had some wind. There is some promise of stronger winds overnight, but that remains to be seen. I think this spring, since I now have a satellite for television reception and internet that I will replace my old antenna with my anemometer, and move my station to the other side of the house where it will receive less solar heating and other problems. I will need to bury the cable from the rain gauge in order to get it to the thermo-hygro receiver. I should then be able to have the entire unit hard-wired to the computer. I will continue to keep the batteries on board in the event of power failures, which do occur here in rural Maine.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts rain through around 01:00 hours. Between then and 04:00 hours it is expected to change to snow, but these should be light scattered snow showers as evidenced by the forecast cloud cover (92%/89%/89%/82%). The NEXRAD composite regional radar indicates that we still have a number of bands of precipitation (mostly mixed) yet to pass through this area of Wilton, Maine. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still predict that this system will be with us until at least noon tomorrow, and possibly as late as 15:00 hours. There should still be plenty of snow on the ground here for Santa Claus to make his annual trek on Christmas Eve.
My Weather Stick is really frowning tonight with the relative humidity above 90%. This is one time when the Weather Stick is in concert with the weather. My electronic instruments agree in some areas, but not in all. They all predict that the barometric pressure will continue to fall as it has all day. The La Cross Weather Station forecasts a storm and had a high temperature (so far) of 43.7°F. My Min/Max Thermometer forecasts foul weather and recorded a high temperature of 40.7°F. Finally the remote weather station says cloudy conditions will prevail and it recorded a high temperature of 38.5°F. I think we will see gusty winds with some rain overnight. I do not think we will see any snow unless the temperature does a rapid fall below freezing, and it is continuing to rise. Now, since many of you will not read my report tomorrow or Tuesday I wish each of you a Merry and Blessed Christmas. May the New Year be filled with good things and prosperity for all of us. Amen and Amen.
High Temperature (°F): 43.7
Current Temperature (°F): 44.0
Relative Humidity: 92%
Dew Point (°F): 41.9
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.82
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 9.6
Wind-Chill (°F): 37.6
Precipitation (Type): Rain/Fog
Amount (Inches): 0.26
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:30°F/33.0°F//33°F/33.9°F//35°F/36.1°F//37°F/35.2°F
Relative Humidity: 81%/87%//85%/87%//89%/90%//89%/90%
The N.W.S. did an exceptional job forecasting both the temperature and relative humidity today. The temperature was with 53° and the relative humidity was within 10% of the actual recorded data. A job well done deserves mentioning.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 39°F/38°F/36°F/34°F.
Relative Humidity: 92%/89%/89%/82%
Another Overcast Start To The Day!
The roads look wet, so be careful out there. N.O.A.A. predicted some form of ice for the last half of the overnight. It does appear that they have that part right. The temperature is now above freezing, so be careful of the black ice on the roads if you must travel.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts icy precipitation for the first half of the day and rain for the second half. The NEXRAD composite regional radar shows two sets of echoes, one moving toward us from the south and the other from the east. The do appear to be icy precipitation with rain behind them. This may well be a very messy weather day. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still call for this to be a rain event starting later this afternoon.
My Weather Stick continues to frown, and with 86% relative humidity I am frowning also. All three of the electronic instruments forecast falling barometric pressure. Two of them call for foul weather, while the remote weather station still has not gotten the word, and is calling for fair skies. The cloud cover right now is 100%, and it is forecast to remain there all day. This is not going to be a pretty day at all. The low temperatures recorded by the three electronic instruments were 24.6°F, 30.4°F and 23.5°F in the usual order. These were higher than our high temperatures for the last couple of weeks. Wow!
Low Temperature (°F): 24.6
Current Temperature (°F): 32.9
Relative Humidity: 87%
Dew Point (°F): 29.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.40
Wind Direction: South
Wind Speed (mph): 6.2
Wind-Chill (°F): 25.8
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:25°F/24.6°F//24°F/26.2°F//23°F/26.7°F//23°F/31.8°F
Relative Humidity: 74%/82%//88%/85%//88%/86%//84%/86%
The N.W.S. did do significantly better overnight than they did yesterday. They only missed the 04:00 hour temperature. They actually had all four relative humidity forecasts within 10% of the actual recorded data. Much better job done overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 30°F/33°F/35°F/37°F.
Relative Humidity: 81%/85%/89%/89%
A Dull, Dark, Gloomy Day.
N.O.A.A. predicted that we would have high cloud cover today, but no precipitation, and they did get that right. Early this evening we did have a light flurry that was not predicted, but with the clouds and high relative humidity it should not have been a surprise. The clouds have thickened and lowered all day, making this first day of winter look like winter. The temperature has been warming up all day, although, once again not as quickly as N.O.A.A. expected it to.
The N.W.S. forecasts some icy precipitation overnight and temperatures that will remain in the twenties. Their estimate of the cloud cover certainly indicates that we may see some precipitation before the night is over (76%/88%/100%/100%). With the temperature forecast to be in the mid-twenties and the wind coming from the south southeast, I would expect any precipitation to fall as either sleet or freezing rain. Personally I would prefer the sleet since it is already frozen before it hits the ground. The freezing rain will coat everything with ice, making travel very difficult. The NEXRAD composite regional radar does see some echoes in far western Pennsylvania, so it will be quite a while before they get here. The Weather Underground model forecast maps also indicate that it will be late tomorrow afternoon before we see any "real" precipitation. They are still calling for this to be a rain event, but with the temperatures where they are I am not so sure.
My Weather Stick continues to frown at the 85% relative humidity. Two of my electronic instruments forecast unsettled conditions, while the remote weather station forecasts fair skies. All three of them call for the barometric pressure to fall. For tonight I expect to see any precipitation as light and very scattered. I suspect that we will see gradual degradation of the conditions until the system begins to move through, and then we may see precipitation (unknown variety) for 12 to 18 hours. It has taken quite a while to get this storm in here, and it will take quite a while to get rid of it.
High Temperature (°F): 27.1
Current Temperature (°F): 27.1
Relative Humidity: 85%
Dew Point (°F): 23.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.49
Wind Direction: South Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 4.6
Wind-Chill (°F): 23.3
Precipitation (Type): Flurries
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:12°F/-2.3°F//24°F/9.3°F//29°F/20.8°F//30°F/23.5°F
Relative Humidity: 84%/80%//62%/81%//53%/79%//55%/80%
The N.W.S. did not do any better today than they did overnight with the temperature. Once again Mother Nature did not change the temperature to fit the forecast at any of the forecast points. They did get one of the forecast relative humidity points correct at 07:00 hours. This was a terrible outing in the world of prognostication.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 25°F/24°F/23°F/23°F.
Relative Humidity: 74%/88%/88%/81%
December 22, 2007
Now It Is Winter!!
According to the Calendar Winter starts today. Well, if you have looked outside recently in the State of Maine you would find that the winter weather has preceded the calendar. We have been in meteorological winter for about a month. Just think, only five more months to go. OUCH! With the probable exception of the cloud cover N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct last night. It still looks like it is going to snow as I look to the west. The eastern view does not look much better. I did not see a sunrise this morning because of the cloud cover. According to one of the prognosticators we have already gained one minute back toward the summer solstice. Like we can tell one minute of change. We ill not know about that until sometime in January.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation but a cloud cover that will be variable (76%/65%/69%/81%). There is still no precipitation appearing on the NEXRAD composite regional radar or the local (Portland/Gray radar). The next storm system on the Weather Underground model forecast map does not arrive until about 15:00 hours tomorrow, and then it is expected to be a rain event until the end when we may have some ice (sleet or freezing rain) and snow to end it all. Driving will not be nice if that is the case.
My Weather Stick is frowning again as a result of the 80% relative humidity. No real shock there. All three of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies (they must be high on amperes). They also had interesting low temperatures -2.9°F on the La Crosse Weather Station, 0.4°F on the Min/Max Thermometer and 8.6°F on the remote weather station. No matter what that is very cold. Despite what the N.W.S. forecasts, I think we could have a chance of a snow shower this mooring by the look of the sky and the visibility. I cannot see the hills as I look west from my office. I am glad we have not had the wind to go along with the snow, with the resultant drifts that we have seen before. That would not be nice.
Low Temperature (°F): -2.9
Current Temperature (°F): -2.0
Relative Humidity: 80%
Dew Point (°F): -6.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.62
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): -2.0
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:12°F/18.3°F//15°F/9.6°F//12°F/3.0°F//9°F/1.5°F
Relative Humidity: 70%/75%//84%/79%//87%/79%//96%/80%
The N.W.S. did not do as well overnight as they did yesterday. They totally missed the temperature forecast at all four points. They did better with the relative humidity, missing only the 04:00 hours point. This was not one of their better outings.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 129°F/24°F/29°F/30°F.
Relative Humidity: 84%/62%/53%/55%
At Least We Had No Snow Today.
Today N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation as the predominant weather. They also predicted that it would not get any warmer than 20°F. They got the former right and the latter wrong. That does not mean that it was warm out, it was not, although actively working at snow blowing the dooryard did keep me warm. It should be noted that around noon cirrus clouds started to move in, and by evening the sky was mostly cloudy.
For the overnight the N.W.S. continues to forecast no precipitation, and the cloud cover is supposed to remain static (38%/37%/35%/32%). The cloud cover that I saw at sunset was certainly much heavier than what was predicted by the N.W.S. There is no precipitation appearing on the NEXRAD composite regional radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps also remain clear of storms for Wilton, Maine until Sunday. They are still calling for that to be a rain event with the warm air being pumped in from the south. We have been having winter during the fall, I wonder if we will now have spring since winter is here. No, I do not think so.
My Weather Stick is only frowning a little this evening, responding to the 70% relative humidity. All three of my electronic weather instruments concur. They say we will have fair skies, and continued rising barometric pressure. Like a balloon, maybe if it gets much higher the atmosphere will pop. Sorry, that is my feeble attempt at humor. I have not seen pressure like this in a very long time. We did have high temperatures of 26.0°F, 23.1°F and 21.2°F in the usual order of the instruments. I think we will continue to have "fair" weather for the time being, but once this system moves out we may be in for some more interesting weather.
High Temperature (°F): 26.0
Current Temperature (°F): 21.0
Relative Humidity: 70%
Dew Point (°F): 12.7
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.55
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 21.0
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:8°F/3.3°F//12°F/12.9°F//13°F/25.5°F//12°F/22.2°F
Relative Humidity: 100%/83%//75%/84%//53%/65%//54%/67%
The N.W.S. did not do as well today as they have been. They only correctly identified one of the temperature points (10:00 hours), and one of the relative humidity points (also 10:00 hours). This was definitely not one of their better outings.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 19°F/15°F/12°F/9°F.
Relative Humidity: 70%/84%/87%/96%
December 21, 2007
The Storm Is Gone, The Cold Is Back!
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicted the chance of light scattered snow showers for the first half of the period with no precipitation for the second half. We did not see any snow showers here in Wilton, Maine, since the sky was mostly fair when I checked it around 23:00 hours. Since I compiled the data the temperature has continued to fall lending credence to the old saw "It is always coldest before the dawn."
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation, but moderate cloud cover (62%/57%/52%/44%). The NEXRAD composite regional radar is clear, and the Weather Underground maps also show us as clear today. We may have an interesting time on Sunday since the Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate a 12 to 18 hour rain event. That should make the first full day of winter a real challenge. At least it is not supposed to start until around mid-afternoon.
My Weather Stick is still frowning, and I still need to document the changes, correlating them with the relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments now call for fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The La Crosse Weather Station recorded a low temperature of 3.0°F. The Min/Max recorded low was 4.9°F and the remote weather station only got down to 14.7°F. I think we will have a bright day, but it will remain quite cold. The same will probably be the case for tonight. Tomorrow will probably be a repeat of today. Sunday still remains a question mark, with the chance of some rain late, if all the prognostications are correct. We shall see.
Low Temperature (°F): 2.8
Current Temperature (°F): 3.5
Relative Humidity: 85%
Dew Point (°F): -0.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.52
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 3.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:18°F/18.3°F//16°F/12.9°F//15°F/8.4°F//14°F/8.7°F
Relative Humidity: 92%/82%//92%/83%//88%/84%//84%/84%
The N.W.S. only missed two of the forecast points. Those were the last two temperature points. Apparently the clouds moved out faster than they expected allowing for more radiational cooling.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 8°F/12°F/13°F/12°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/75%/53%/54%
December 20, 2007
We Did Not Get Much Snow After Noon!
N.O.A.A. did have the predominant weather correct. We did have some snow through about 16:00 hours. It did get lighter as the day wore on, and there was very little accumulation in Wilton, Maine after noon. It has once again started to get colder (now 12.0°F) as the cloud cover has dissipated.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered snow showers for the first half of the period with no precipitation for the second half. The NEXRAD regional radar does show the storm having moved out, and it is gone. Tomorrow and Saturday on the Weather Underground model forecast maps look clear. Watch out for late Sunday into Monday though. I say again, can anyone see a pattern here?
My Weather Stick is frowning again at the 84% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments now call for rising barometric pressure with fair skies. The high temperatures recorded today were 24.6°F, 26.6°F and 23.2°F. The critters seem to be quite happy staying in the barn for the moment. My guess is that we will have a nice day tomorrow and maybe another one on Saturday. I will not go any farther than that.
High Temperature (°F): 24.6
Current Temperature (°F): 12.3
Relative Humidity: 84%
Dew Point (°F): 8.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.39
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 12.3
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:18°F/19.9°F//20°F/22.8°F//22°F/24.6°F//21°F/21.9°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/85%//91%/84%//78%/81%//77%/80%
The N.W.S. only missed one of the forecast points. That was at 07:00 hours for the relative humidity. Once again this was quite good considering some of their recent attempts.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 18°F/16°F/15°F/14°F.
Relative Humidity: 92%/92%/88%/84%
After Computer Issues Here Comes The Report.

20:19 hours 12/19/2007

08:13 hours 12/20/2007

12:25 hours 12/20/2007
N.O.A.A. called for snow all night long, and they have that right. It was very fine and granular, so the amount was only about 4 inches by 12:25 hours. So, while it has been storming all this time the additional amount was not that great. Right now (14:45) it seems to have slowed down significantly. It is still not possible to see the mountains west of us, so we may still have some of this storm ahead of us.
The N.W.S. has forecast more stormy weather through the balance of the afternoon. The NEXRAD radar shows the storm winding down and now coming at us from the north. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that this entire mess will be out of here by midnight tonight, but guess what we have something else headed toward us for Sunday night. Has everyone got the idea that this is winter?
My Weather Stick is frowning again as a result of the 81% relative humidity. (This data was taken earlier this morning). All three of the electronic instruments forecast falling barometric pressure. They do not quite agree on the type of weather we are going to have. The La Crosse Weather Station is calling for unsettled weather. The Min/Max Thermometer forecasts foul weather. The remote weather station is, like the La Crosse Station, calling for unsettled weather. The recorded low temperatures were, in order, 15.6°F, 14.4°F and 18.9°F. The rest of the data was taken at about 08:00 this morning. My wife's computer had issues, and I needed to work on it (software only) to get it to print though our network. It is now doing so, and I can finish this report up. Of course, the next report is almost due, and I need to do chores and snowblow the dooryard. As Rosanne Roseanna Danna used to say "It's always something."
Low Temperature (°F): 15.6
Current Temperature (°F): 24.4
Relative Humidity: 81%
Dew Point (°F): 19.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.22
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 24.4
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 5.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:19°F/16.3°F//18°F/15.6°F//18°F/16.5°F//18°F/18.3°F
Relative Humidity: 80%/78%//88%/81%//83%/83%//92%/84%
The N.W.S. did get it together overnight. Their forecast temperature and relative humidity readings were within the set limits for the recorded readings. That is the way to go.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 18°F/20°F/22°F/21°F.
Relative Humidity: 96%/91%/78%/77%
December 19, 2007
Here We Go Again--It Is Snowing
N.O.A.A. predicted light scattered showers all day today. We finally had one start at just about 15:45 here in Wilton, Maine. I took Ike out in the field where the pictures were taken with him before, and one would have thought he was a jackrabbit. He jumped, ran and tunneled in some 2 feet of snow on the ground. When we got back inside he was covered with little snowballs making the kitchen floor a bit wet. Right now he is asleep, and that is good. This is the first time I have been on snowshoes in several years. Orthopaedic surgeries have kept me off them for the last couple of years, but it felt good to be out and about on them again. Maybe I can get to go skijoring with Ike later in the winter when he gets a bit bigger and stronger. He is fun to work with, and he is so happy doing these things.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts snow all night. Like I said at the start, "Here we go again." There are some snow squalls beginning to show up on the NEXRAD radar, and the Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate storms on the way. The cloud cover is expected to remain at 100% overnight along with the snow. I have heard possible amounts of snow ranging from a couple of inches to over a foot, so I do not know what to believe. The flurries are beginning to make on the roads, so be careful out there.
My Weather Stick is frowning just a little at the 73% relative humidity. My La Crosse has not gotten the news yet that the barometer has started to fall, and it is snowing out. The other two instruments forecast falling barometric pressure with unsettled conditions. They all had high temperatures this afternoon in the usual order 20.1°F, 23.0°F and 19.8°F. On my land we did break 20°F, but not by much. I had to go out this afternoon and my truck thermometer registered a temperature of 21°F in Farmington, Maine. We are going to get some snow, and we will have every last flake of it. I will report on how much we get tomorrow when I can see the snow gauge.
High Temperature (°F): 20.1
Current Temperature (°F): 17.2
Relative Humidity: 73%
Dew Point (°F): 10.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.29
Wind Direction: North Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 3.3
Wind-Chill (°F): 17.2
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratocumulus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:-3°F/12.9°F//11°F/17.4°F/23°F/18.6°F//22°F/17.7°F
Relative Humidity: 100%/72%//80%/67%//59%/67%//60%/71%
The N.W.S. missed the first two forecast temperatures this morning, but they got the last two. The only relative humidity forecast that was within 10% or the actual reading was at 13:00 hours. The weather was so unsettled today it is a wonder they had anything right. Maybe they can get it together for the overnight.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 19°F/18°F/18°F/18°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/88%/92%/92%
All The Prognosticators Were Wrong--Even Me!
N.O.A.A. along with all the T.V. weather personalities called for temperatures to fall dramatically into the sub-zero range. Well, that just did not happen. When I did the report last night it was partly cloudy, and it looked like things would remain clear enough for radiational cooling. The clouds, apparently, moved in much more quickly holding the temperature above 10°F in Wilton, Maine all night. Right now we have overcast skies, and it is not very bright. It looks like it is going to snow.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts mostly cloudy skies (94%/89%/84%/92%) with a chance of scattered light snow showers. The NEXRAD composite regional radar does not show any echoes from storms in the area. There are some in New York, but I am not sure they are moving in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast map indicates that we are in for some stormy weather this afternoon and into this evening. This, according to the reports, is supposed to be a mainly (pardon the pun) Southern Maine Event with snow totals in the one foot range. Our area is only supposed to get a few inches. Remember the chance of a foot of flurries? This may be one of those events.
My Weather Stick is frowning just a little at the 72% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments are forecasting fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The barometric pressure has indeed risen since last night, but I do not expect that to hold for very long. The clouds belie changes in the offing. As noted above the low temperatures did not approach the forecast temperatures with the La Crosse Weather station recording 12.2°F, the Min/Max Thermometer recording 14.4°F and the remote weather station recording 17.1°F. I think we will see some snow flurries as this storm approaches with some heavier snow overnight. How much we get will depend on, as the prognosticators have said, where the secondary low forms. The closer it is to the coast the more snow we will have, and the farther from the coast the less snow we will have. I just do not know, but I will report what we get when it is over. Hindsight is always 20/20.
Low Temperature (°F): 12.2
Current Temperature (°F): 12.9
Relative Humidity: 72%
Dew Point (°F): 5.5
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.34
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 12.9
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:10°F/12.7°F//5°F/12.7°F//2°F/12.5°F//-1°F/12.3°F
Relative Humidity: 63%/60%//83%/66%//87%/69%//100%/71%
As great a job as the N.W.S. did yesterday they did a poor job overnight. They had the 19:00 hour temperature and relative humidity correct, and missed the rest. Something must have happened to the speed of the system moving in to have created that large a discrepancy in their forecast. Maybe they will do better today.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: -3°F/11°F/23°F/22°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/80%/59%/60%
December 18, 2007
Maybe The Coldest Night Of The Season
N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation with temperatures rising into the twenties. They got it right. We had plenty of sun, but even in the twenties it did not feel warm outside. There does continue to be some blowing and drifting snow where I had cleared it yesterday, but it is not causing any problems.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts a start with not precipitation followed by light scattered snow showers through the last three fourths of the period. I do not know where these showers are supposed to come from because there is nothing on the NEXRAD composite regional radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we will see some sort of storm tomorrow afternoon, into Thursday morning, but it does not look as big as the one we had on Sunday. It should be more of an inconvenience than a problem. That said, can we see a foot of flurries. Who knows?
My Weather Stick is smiling just a little at the 66% relative humidity. The La Crosse Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer are calling for fair skies overnight with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station also is calling for rising barometric pressure, but a mix of clouds and fair skies is predicted. The high temperatures for the three instruments were 25.5°F, 23.9°F and 23.0°F. It was colder in the barn than outside today. Based on what I noted outside there are some clouds moving in late this evening, and I think they will continue to do so. They will probably increase tomorrow with the threat of precipitation later in the day. We will see how accurate the N.W.S. will be with this one. Today's low temperatures have been adjusted.
High Temperature (°F): 25.5
Current Temperature (°F): 12.9
Relative Humidity: 66%
Dew Point (°F): 3.6
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.29
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 12.9
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:7°F/5.5°F//14°F/12.7°F//20°F/25.1°F//18°F/21.0°F
Relative Humidity: 60%/65%//53%/57%//43%/42%//49%/47%
I will make this short and sweet. The N.W.S. had all four forecast data correct for both the temperature and relative humidity. KUDOS!
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 10°F/5°F/2°F/-1°F.
Relative Humidity: 63%/83%/87%/100%
Clear And Cold Overnight!-Colder This Morning!
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation and very little cloud cover. Well, they were right, and it did get cold here in Wilton, Maine. I understand there were some negative numbers around, but we did not quite get there. It did not have to get any colder for me. The storm that ended yesterday morning was not quite as big as the N.W.S. predicted it would be, but it was big enough. We seem to be in a pattern of every 2-3 days adding to our snowfall total.
For today the N.W.S. is calling for no additional precipitation, and relatively low cloud cover (15%/34%/53%/44%). Although, the cloud cover is expected to increase through the day. The NEXRAD regional composite radar does not have any echoes, hence no precipitation for our area. The Weather Underground model forecast maps still indicate a burst of energy for Maine tomorrow afternoon, and possibly into Thursday morning.
My Weather Stick is expressionless this morning as a result of the 64% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. The La Crosse and Min/Max Thermometer forecast fair skies with the remote weather station calling for a mix of sun and clouds today. The low temperatures recorded today were 5.3°F,5.0°F and 10.2°F in the same order as above. That last was in the barn. I think we will see another cold day with temperatures remaining below 20°F, some wind and plenty of sunshine. That sunshine will not warm us up much at all. So, be advised.
Low Temperature (°F): 5.7
Current Temperature (°F): 7.5
Relative Humidity: 64%
Dew Point (°F): -2.2
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.12
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.7
Wind-Chill (°F): -2.6
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:13°F/13.6°F//8°F/11.1°F//5°F/9.1°F//3°F/8.4°F
Relative Humidity: 58%/61%//66%/61%//72%/62%//75%/63%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature were within 5°F of the recorded temperature for all four periods if you round the last one using the usual statistical rules. The only relative humidity point they missed was at 04:00 hours this morning. This was not a bad showing for their efforts. Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 7°F/14°F/20°F/18°F.
Relative Humidity: 60%/53%/43%/49%
A Cold Blustery Day--Lots Of Wind!
I moved quite a bit of snow, and N.O.A.A. had the predominant weather correct. The one thing they missed was the high temperature which did not get close to 20°F. The wind was a constant companion also making it feel much colder than it really was. The wind certainly helped to organize the snow into its own drifts and low spots.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation with rapidly decreasing cloud cover (79%/12%/10%/14%) until around 04:00 hours tomorrow morning. How one can tell the difference between 10% and 14% I am not sure, but there must be a way. The NEXRAD composite regional radar and Weather Underground maps do not see any storms in our immediate future, and that is good. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are hinting at a minor storm for Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning, but it is a bit far out to make a prediction on how big a storm it will be.
My Weather Stick is expressionless this evening as a result of the 61% relative humidity. There is no big surprise there. The usual two electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure while the remote weather station sees clouds, but the pressure there is also supposed to rise. High temperatures were 18.3°F,18.7°F and19.9°F in the usual order. It is warmer in the barn as the critters generate their own heat. I think we will see a clear cold night, particularly since that is the way it has started out, but the wind is going to have fangs. If you must go out use layers and cover any exposed skin because frostbite is not fun.
High Temperature (°F): 18.3
Current Temperature (°F): 12.0
Relative Humidity: 61%
Dew Point (°F): 1.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.88
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 9.1
Wind-Chill (°F): -4.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:11°F/13.6°F//16°F/15.0°F//20°F/13.8°F//18°F/13.8°F
Relative Humidity: 100%/65%//80%/57%//67%/53%//70%/55%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature were within 5°F of the recorded temperature with the exception of the 13:00 hour point. That one was just over 6°F away from the actual recorded temperature. The N.W.S. did not foresee any of the relative humidity points correctly. They could not even come within 10% of the actual recorded humidity.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 13°F/8°F/5°F/3°F.
Relative Humidity: 58%/66%/72%/75%
December 17, 2007
The Storm Is At An End.
Apparently neither N.O.A.A. nor the Weather Underground had this storm completely correct. It must have picked up speed as it got into Maine because we did not receive the total amount of snow from it that was expected. A total of 11 inches was noted here, although that probably is not totally accurate because of the blowing and drifting. We also did have sleet for a while during the evening, and that probably had an effect on the total accumulation. We have now had 20 inches of snow, and it is not even winter yet. I keep saying that.
For today the N.W.S. is calling for light scattered snow showers, but right now the sky seems to be clearing, and the clouds are breaking up. The cloud cover is expected to decrease through the day (79%/68%/57%/36%). According to the NEXRAD composite regional radar the storm is now out of all but far eastern Maine. Even the Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that the clearing is taking effect. Route 133 does not look like it is in the best shape, despite the efforts of the road crews.
My Weather Stick does not seem to have caught up with the actual relative humidity, and it is frowning just a little. I would have expected it to be expressionless or smiling just a little with 65% relative humidity. The La Crosse and Min/Max Thermometer are forecasting fair weather with rising barometric pressure, while the remote weather station still calls for foul weather with falling barometric pressure. With the sky visibly clearing and the wind beginning to decrease I think we will have some more cold weather (temperatures not making it above 20°F) and a very slight chance of a snow shower, but that will depend on your location. The NEXRAD radar does not show anything to our west at this point.
Low Temperature (°F): 13.1
Current Temperature (°F): 13.8
Relative Humidity: 65%
Dew Point (°F): 4.1
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.20
Wind Direction: Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 4.9
Wind-Chill (°F): 8.4
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 3.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:13°F/14.3°F//13°F/17.9°F//12°F/18.6°F//11°F/13.2°F
Relative Humidity: 96%/83%//96%/86%//96%/84%//96%/68%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature were within 5°F of the recorded temperature with the exception of the 01:00 hour point. That one was just over 6°F away from the actual recorded temperature. The N.W.S. did not see the relative humidity changing overnight, and as a result only one of the recorded points was correct, and that was at 22:00 hours. Overall, this was not one of the greatest forecasting attempts by the N.W.S.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 11°F/16°F/20°F/18°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/80%/67%/70%
December 16, 2007
This is Becoming A Monster Storm!

We started at 4" and we are at 9" at 11:15 hours.
N.O.A.A. predicted snow all day today, and they have that right here in Wilton, Maine. The photo above was taken at 11:00 hours and shows that we have gotten 5 inches by then. I looked a while ago, and we are now up to 8 inches of new snow, and it is still snowing. The cloud cover has remained at 100%, but the temperature has been rising over the last couple of hours and is now at 14.1°F. This is in keeping with the east wind that has been blowing since around noon, and the prognosticators said it would drag some warmer air into the region.

This was the view from my back door at 11:15 hours.
At 11:15 hours the view above showed it was snowing, but not very hard.

This was the view from upstairs 5 minutes later. Remember the tree, it is almost invisible through the snow.
The photo above and below this comment shows how quickly the snowfall rate changed. The visibility dropped from around 100 yards to less than the distance between two telephone poles. That was an impressive change. The snowfall rate has not really changed since I took these photos.

Same tree with a bit less magnification. Still can barely see it.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts ice to start but with the temperature at 14.1°F I do not think it will be freezing rain. Sleet is a better possibility. Around midnight a change back to snow is expected, and that would not surprise me. The cloud cover forecast indicates that things may slow down a bit overnight (97%/92%/86%/86%), but those numbers do not indicate a substantial change. The NEXRAD composite regional radar currently indicates that we have had a pause in the precipitation. I checked outside, and I do not detect that pause. It is still snowing. There is plenty of precipitation behind that pause to give us quite a bit more snow before this winds down tomorrow. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that things will snow down early tomorrow morning, but the storm will not end (according to them) until tomorrow afternoon around 15:00 hours.
My Weather Stick is currently frowning and that is in line with the 82% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast falling barometric pressure. The La Crosse Weather Station still has the storm warning in place. The Min/Max and remote weather station both see foul weather in our future overnight. The High Temperatures as recorded on these instruments in order were 14.1°F, 13.7°F and 13.3°F in the barn. The critters have enjoyed staying inside, and now I cannot open the side door to let them out because of the snow. I do not think they mind. As I noted earlier in these reports I think we are going to have a real old fashioned winter with a great deal of snow and some very cold temperatures. We can expect several more inches of snow overnight. My snow gauge is in a place that does not get a great deal of wind, so the snow amounts should be fairly accurate no matter how the wind blows it around elsewhere.
High Temperature (°F): 14.3
Current Temperature (°F): 12.7
Relative Humidity: 82%
Dew Point (°F): 8.2
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.33
Wind Direction: East
Wind Speed (mph): 7.3
Wind-Chill (°F): 0.3
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 6.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:9°F/7.5°F//11°F/5.0°F//13°F/6.0°F//16°F/10.5°F
Relative Humidity: 66%/75%//66%/76%//80%/79%//88%/81%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature were within 5°F of the recorded temperature for only the 07:00 hour forecast point. The rest were more than 5°F away from the actual recorded temperature. The relative humidity on the other hand was within 10% of the actual recorded relative humidity on my La Crosse Weather Station. Once again they get demerits for the temperature forecasting and Kudos for the relative humidity.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 13°F/13°F/12°F/11°F.
Relative Humidity: 96%/96%/96%/96%
It Is Snowing, Would You Believe?
I was up around 04:00 and it had started to snow. It looked like we had about an inch of snow on the ground at that point. N.O.A.A. had predicted snow starting sometime after midnight, and they got that one right. At about 08:00, when Ike asked to go outside, we had added another inch to that, so now we have 2 inches of new snow. This is very fine snow that is falling. There does not seem to be a great deal of wind associated with the storm at this time since the snow is falling straight down.
The N.W.S. is still forecasting snow for most of the day for Wilton Maine, with the ice/snow line getting very close to us later this afternoon. If that line does reach us it will dramatically affect the total amount of snow we receive. The cloud cover forecast is for 100% all day. The NEXRAD composite regional radar shows a large area that is not being affected by this storm. It almost seems to be going north of Southern New York and Eastern Pennsylvania. It is still an impressive looking storm as it tracks in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show the same hole, and their track shows us having this storm until about 15:00 hours tomorrow afternoon. I am not so sure of that, but we will get what we will get.
The atmosphere is drier than I expected it to be, and as a result my Weather Stick is frowning just a little again. There is not a great deal of agreement among my electronic instruments. My La Crosse Weather Station forecasts a storm warning with falling barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer indicates foul weather with falling barometric pressure and the remote weather station forecasts mixed conditions with a falling barometer. We are currently having a snow storm, so I would have to go with the La Crosse instrument today. The low temperatures were lower than N.O.A.A. predicted with 4.6°F, 4.0°F and 10.0°F in the same order as above. It is definitely not too cold to snow today, as the flakes keep piling up. How much snow will we get? I will not hazard a guess, but currently the visibility is only about a hundred yards through the falling snow. That is impressive to say the least.
Low Temperature (°F): 4.6
Current Temperature (°F): 4.6
Relative Humidity: 76%
Dew Point (°F): -1.3
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.28
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 4.6
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 2.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:21°F/27.1°F//16°F/25.8°F//12°F/15.9°F//9°F/9.3°F
Relative Humidity: 77%/82%//77%/64%//73%/58%//69%/56%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature were within 5°F of the recorded temperatures at the last two forecast times overnight. They are still in the pattern of missing the first two and getting the last two. I think the cloud cover remained heavier than they expected, holding more heat in than they predicted. I do not know what happened with the relative humidity, but they only forecast the first period correctly. It seems that they are back to their old ways with the relative humidity.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 9°F/11°F/13°F/16°F.
Relative Humidity: 66%/66%/80%/88%
Twenty Degrees Would Be A Heat Wave!
N.O.A.A. forecast a day without precipitation, and they were right. They also forecast cold weather, well, it was colder than even they forecast. We did not crack twenty degrees let alone freezing. Hmmm, I guess this is what they mean by global warming. The sun did shine for part of the day for all the good it did, we certainly did not get much benefit from all that sunshine.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecast no precipitation for the first half of the period with light snow moving in after that. The cloud cover forecast certainly supports that forecast (53%/71%/89%/94%). The NEXRAD composite regional radar is quite impressive with the depth and strength of the storm moving in our direction. Even the Weather Underground model forecast maps show a very impressive storm moving in. If we get this entire storm we will have a significant amount of snow added to our totals.
My Weather Stick is currently smiling just a little. That is in response to the 59% relative humidity. All three of my electronic weather instruments currently forecast rising barometric pressure with fair skies. I suspect that they are all on overload, because it just feels like snow outside. The La Crosse Weather Station recorded a high temperature of 18.1°F, the Min/Max Thermometer went off line, and the remote weather station recorded a high of 20.8°F in the barn. I think we will have snow, but it will not start until around 03:00 hours because of the low relative humidity. This is winding up to be a cocker, so expect to deal with lots of light snow, because of the cold temperatures we can expect.
High Temperature (°F): 18.1
Current Temperature (°F): 7.3
Relative Humidity: 59%
Dew Point (°F): -4.0
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.46
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 7.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:11°F/3.0°F//13°F/7.1°F//17°F/16.3°F//15°F/13.1°F
Relative Humidity: 52%/59%//48%/57%//38%/43%//42%/48%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature were much higher than the actual recorded temperature for 19:00 and 22:00 hours. They got the last two forecast points correct. They did have all four of the relative humidity forecasts within 10% of the recorded data. It did stay cold today, much colder than the N.W.S. expected it to. They get Kudos for the relative humidity and demerits for the temperature forecast. All in all not a bad prognostication.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 11°F/13°F/17°F/15°F.
Relative Humidity: 52%/48%/38%/42%
December 15, 2007
Yup, It Is Cold, But Not Yet Below Zero.
N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation overnight, but there was about a half inch of new snow on top of our vehicles this morning when I took Ike out for his morning constitutional. It was however quite cold, and he wasted no time in making himself ready to go back in the house. The wind, and there was wind, was not enough to change the apparent temperature (used to be wind chill or heat index), but it did not have to change 3°F on my account.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation with a cloud cover that supports that (24%/31%/37%/54%), but is increasing in advance of tomorrow's event. Currently the NEXRAD composite regional radar does not show any storms, with the exception of some lake effect snow near the Great Lakes. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show no storms moving toward us during the day today. Tomorrow though seems to hold something very different in store for us. It appears at the moment that we will be shoveling out from under a significant amount of snow tomorrow and Monday. It may be necessary to blow this snow at least twice if not three times in order to stay ahead of it.
My Weather Stick is expressionless again as a result of the 60% relative humidity. I would bet that it is smiling now since the relative humidity has dropped to 55% in the last 2 hours. All three of my electronic instruments are calling for fair weather today with rising barometric pressure. In fact, the pressure is now up to 30.50 inches of Hg from 30.45 inches 2 hours ago. The low temperatures this morning were 2.1°F on the La Crosse Weather Station, 2.2°F on the Min/Max Thermometer and 11.7 in the barn with the critters. My sense is that we will remain cold today, not even breaking 20°F. The pressure will begin to fall soon, and we will have a whopper of a storm tomorrow based on all the data I have available to me.
Low Temperature (°F): 2.1
Current Temperature (°F): 3.3
Relative Humidity: 60%
Dew Point (°F): -7.4
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.45
Wind Direction: North
Wind Speed (mph): 3.1
Wind-Chill (°F): 3.3
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 0.50
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:21°F/27.1°F//16°F/25.8°F//12°F/15.9°F//9°F/9.3°F
Relative Humidity: 77%/82%//77%/64%//73%/58%//69%/56%
The N.W.S forecasts for the temperature was within 5°F of the recorded temperatures at the last two forecast times overnight. Is there a pattern developing? I think the cloud cover remained heavier than they expected, holding more heat in than they predicted. I do not know what happened with the relative humidity, but they only forecast the first period correctly. It seems that they are back to their old ways with the relative humidity. Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 11°F/13°F/17°F/15°F.
Relative Humidity: 52%/48%/38%/42%
December 14, 2007
This Seems To Be Starting As A Real Winter!!!

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