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Weather in Wilton, Maine
Jeff Le DouxJeffrey Le Doux is a weather enthusiast who lives in Wilton.

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January 2008
January 31, 2008
All Things Considered A Very Nice Day!

N.O.A.A. predicted a day without precipitation and relatively low cloud cover. As predicted we had no precipitation and until around 16:00 hours the sky was clear. At that point the clouds did begin to move in with some high thin cirrus clouds making the sky partly cloudy. The relative humidity was quite low as well making it feel a bit colder than it really was.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation again. The clouds are being predicted to increase slowly (13%/26%/39%/42%). All this in preparation for another storm system. This one may be a bit more difficult to deal with. Right now there is nothing showing up on the NEXRAD regional composite radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show this system (and it is a bog one) moving into Wilton, Maine tomorrow afternoon as snow, and that snow turning to sleet and freezing rain for the evening commute. This is not expected to be a pretty storm.
With 40% relative humidity my Weather Stick is smiling broadly. It is the first time in a long while I have seen that broad a smile there. All three of my electronic instruments forecast fair skies and rising barometric pressure overnight. Our high temperatures were 30.9°F, 28.6°F and 32.4°F. The only place it got above freezing was in the barn. There just is not much more to say about this. We will have a period of dark followed by some light before we get into this next storm system.
High Temperature (°F): 30.9
Current Temperature (°F): 25.5
Relative Humidity (%): 40%
Dew Point (°F): 4.5
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.55
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 1.3
Wind-Chill (°F): 25.5
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:20°F/17.2°F//24°F/21.7°F//28°F/29.4°F//26°F/28.7°F
Relative Humidity: 59%/58%//45%/49%//37%/37%//42%/38%

The N.W.S. forecast the temperatures correctly for all four forecast points today. They did equally well with the relative humidity. With all eight points forecast correctly they did an excellent job today.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 22°F/18°F/14°F/12°F/.
Relative Humidity: 45%/56%/64%/66%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:48 PM
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The Arctic Air Has Returned!

N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation overnight with relatively low cloud cover. It appears that they were right on both counts. When Ike and I stepped out this morning the temperature was in the high teens, and the footing was more than just a little treacherous. Everything that had melted or had rain remaining on it had frozen. We did find areas of bare ground that we could walk on safely, but there were still areas where the ground was covered with ice. Needless to say we did not waste a lit of time on our first excursion outside today.
The N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation for today in Wilton, Maine, and very little cloud cover (18%/13%/8%/18%). That should make for a bright sunny day. It will probably not get above freezing according to their forecast. The NEXRAD regional composite radar does not show any echoes in our area. The only thing I could see was the usual lake effect snow in Western New York State. The Weather Underground maps are back, and the forecast no precipitation for today. Starting tomorrow afternoon and into Saturday morning they are predicting a bit of a mess.
My Weather Stick is expressionless at 53% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast fair weather with rising barometric pressure. The roads did dry out overnight, so there should be no problems with travel this morning. The low temperatures around my property were 16.8°F, 17.6°F and 22.1°F. I must agree with my instrumentation and the N.W.S that there will not be any precipitation today, and that the temperatures will probably not get above the freezing mark. We do appear to have some red in the sky this morning as the sun is rising, and that may portend some foul weather in the next 24 hours, but we will have to wait to see on that.
Low Temperature (°F): 16.8
Current Temperature (°F): 18.5
Relative Humidity (%): 53%
Dew Point (°F): 5.3
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.27
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 7.1
Wind-Chill (°F): 7.5
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:31°F/28.2°F//24°F/23.5°F//19°F/21.3°F//15°F/19.9°F
Relative Humidity: 61%/64%//65%/53%//64%/55%//73%/57%

The N.W.S. forecast the temperatures correctly for all four forecast points overnight. There were not quite as lucky with the relative humidity forecasts. They missed the 22:00 and 07:00 hour forecasts by more than 10%. They only missed two of the 8 forecast points, so that is not too bad a performance.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 24°F/28°F/26°F.
Relative Humidity: 59%/45%/37%/42%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:15 AM
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January 30, 2008
The Clouds Have Broken And The Sun Came Out!

For today N.O.A.A. had it just about right. We had rain throughout the day, and at just about 16:30 hours the clouds broke and we could see a little bit of blue sky and sunshine. When I went to get my grain we had quite a downpour, and I left my raincoat at home. Oh well, I dried. At least Ike enjoyed the ride. The best thing about this is the temperature. It stayed above freezing until the storm was over.
The N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation overnight. The cloud cover is supposed to increase just a little bit (24%/29%/34%/34%) throughout the overnight hours. The NEXRAD regional composite radar is only showing the usual lake effect snow well west of us. Those snows never affect us, and are a local phenomenon. The Weather Underground maps do not seem to be working this evening, but from what I saw this morning we should have a nice night (cold but nice) and a pretty good day tomorrow. We will not talk about Friday which may be very like today, soggy.
My Weather Stick is slowly rising, and right now it is expressionless despite the 53 % relative humidity. There is no agreement among my electronic instruments. The La Crosse Weather Station says it will be fair with a rising barometer. The Min/Max is calling for unsettled weather with rising barometric pressure also. The remote weather station calls for foul weather with falling barometric pressure. I think we will see the clouds clear away and the wind slowly fall to calm. I do not think we will have any more precipitation out of this system. The temperature will fall significantly as well. By morning the roads should be dry. High temperatures were recorded as follows 41.1°F/40.0°F/39.6°F.
High Temperature (°F): 41.1
Current Temperature (°F): 23.1
Relative Humidity (%): 53%
Dew Point (°F): 8.5
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.92
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 10.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 7.4
Precipitation (Type): Rain
Amount (Inches): 0.18
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:36°F/32.3°F//37°F/35.4°F//39°F/40.4°F//34°F/38.4°F
Relative Humidity: 85%/87%//89%/89%//92%/90%//72%/87%

The N.W.S. forecast the temperatures correctly for all four forecast points today. They only missed the 16:00 hour forecast of the relative humidity. This was a very good job of prognostication by the N.W.S.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 31°F/24°F/19°F/15°F.
Relative Humidity: 61%/65%/64%/73%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:19 PM
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The Mess Has Arrived!

I stepped outside this morning expecting to be greeted by a deluge of either rain or sleet. What Ike and I found instead was a mix of rain and snow. The road was wet, but there did not seem to be any ice forming. The snow on the driveway had softened enough so it was possible to walk without landing on my imagination. Looking to my west right now I see a
considerable amount of fairly dense fog, and that is no surprise, but it was not forecast by N.O.A.A. With the recorded temperature above freezing overnight we did not have the projected freezing rain or sleet that was predicted. I did not stay up to observe it, but I do think the cloud cover forecast was correct.
For today the N.W.S. has a rather complex forecast for our area of Wilton, Maine. They suggest that we will start off with some form of icing, either sleet or freezing rain. As the temperature rises we can expect that to change to rain and then decrease to light scattered showers for this afternoon. The cloud cover can be expected to decline a little until around 16:00 hours when it may fall precipitously (100%/96%/91%/54%). There appears to be a good supply of inclement weather on the NEXRAD regional composite radar moving in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we will be dealing with this system until around midnight tonight in some form or another. It will be interesting to see which of the prognosticators is correct.
My Weather Stick is responding to the 86% relative humidity by frowning. All three of the electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. In fact the barometric pressure is already quite low. The recorded low temperatures this morning are all very close at 32.1°F, 33.3°F and 33.3°F. Apparently they are all on the same page for a change. I think we will deal with this system at least for the daylight hours, and maybe into this evening. Take it slow out there because there may still be patches of ice on some of the roadways as you travel on your regular commute.
Low Temperature (°F): 32.1
Current Temperature (°F): 32.1
Relative Humidity (%): 86%
Dew Point (°F): 28.4
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.64
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 32.1
Precipitation (Type): Rain/Snow
Amount (Inches): 0.02
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:32°F/35.4°F//32°F/34.1°F//31°F/32.9°F//28°F/32.3°F
Relative Humidity: 51%/67%//61%/69%//72%/76%//92%/82%

The N.W.S. forecast the temperatures correctly for all four forecast points overnight. They only missed the 19:00 hour forecast of the relative humidity. This was approaching a great job, very good anyway.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 36°F/37°F/39°F/34°F.
Relative Humidity: 85%/89%/92%/72%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:29 AM
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January 29, 2008
It Appears That A Mess Is On Its Way!!

We did have a little bit of sunshine today, but not much. If we had more we would have been close to 50°F this afternoon. As it was we not only broke the freezing mark we were into the low to mid forties on the north side of the house as well as in the middle of the field on the west side of the house. The clouds varied from cirrus to cumulus to nimbostratus. The Nimbostratus were the last ones I saw before darkness set in. We did not have any precipitation, but it certainly looked like we might at several times duri9ng the day.
The N.W.S. forecasts a brief period of sleet or freezing rain early this evening. That was expected to be followed by a period of no precipitation and the second half of the night is supposed to yield more sleet or freezing rain. It will be an ice event at any rate. The NEXRAD regional composite radar still shows an event to our south and west, but it now appears to be moving in our direction. It also seems to be moving very slowly, and the longer it takes to get here, the longer it will take to leave. According to the Weather Underground model forecast maps this event should last into tomorrow night around midnight. The predicted cloud cover is supposed to be 100% all night long, and I think I believe it. It does appear to be as dark as the inside of a pocket out there tonight.
My Weather Stick is still smirking at the 70% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments are forecasting foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The high temperatures recorded this afternoon were 44.6°F, 41.6°F and 31.3°F. The barn is still lagging behind the outdoors on the way up as well as on the way down. I think we will see some inclement weather by morning, and it will probably get worse until the middle of the afternoon or early evening. Driving will probably be dangerous at best. I much prefer snow to icy roads, and I need to get grain sometime tomorrow.
High Temperature (°F): 44.6
Current Temperature (°F): 33.9
Relative Humidity (%): 70%
Dew Point (°F): 25.1
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.78
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: East Southeast
Wind Speed (mph): 3.8
Wind-Chill (°F): 33.9
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:18°F/14.1°F//27°F/30.0°F//36°F/43.8°F//29°F/39.0°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/68%//55%/56%//45%/54%//46%/59%

The N.W.S. forecast the temperatures correctly at the first two points this morning, and then missed the 13:00 and 16:00
hour points this afternoon. They were within +/-10% of the relative humidity readings for the first three points today. The
only one they missed was at 16:00 hours. This was not great, but not bad either.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 32°F/32°F/31°F/28°F.
Relative Humidity: 51%/61%/72%/92%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:25 PM
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It Looks Like It Will Be Interesting Today.

For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicted that we would not have any precipitation, and they were correct. When I first stepped out with Ike this morning there were just a few clouds to our west, but now those clouds have thickened and lowered. So, instead of cirrus clouds and partly cloudy skies we now have nimbostratus clouds and an overcast sky. The temperature is on the rise this morning, and we may even break the freezing mark again.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation, but they are calling for some significant cloud cover (61%/61%/55%/78%), and that increasing over the day. There is a storm system to our south and west, but it seems to be moving due west. Depending on the track of that storm we may or may not get any precipitation from it. That is what is showing up on the NEXRAD regional composite radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that clouds will overspread the region today, and we will have some inclement weather tomorrow. If the temperatures continue as they are this will be either an ice event or rain event for our area. With the ground as cold as it is, and the snowpack as it is, this could be a very nasty storm to try to travel in. Ice is not conducive to safe driving. It might be better to stay home for a while tomorrow before venturing out on the skating rink we sometime call roads. That is just my opinion, and depends on the track of the storm.
My Weather Stick is smirking, just a little, in response to the 69% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments are in agreement. They say we are going to have some stormy weather with falling barometric pressure. They recorded low temperatures of 10.5,°F, 13.9°F and in the barn it was 20.7°F. We did not get to the single numbers overnight, so it was not as bad going outside this morning. I am sitting here watching the clouds change character almost from minute to minute. We can now see cumulus clouds, and it is mostly cloudy. This is just more proof that in Northern New England if you do not like the weather wait a few minutes and it will change. You will either hate or love the change. I think we are going to see unsettled weather through the day in preparation for some stormy weather overnight into tomorrow.
Low Temperature (°F): 10.5
Current Temperature (°F): 12.5
Relative Humidity (%): 69%
Dew Point (°F): 4.2
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.85
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 12.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:27°F/25.7°F//22°F/26.9°F//19°F/19.2°F//16°F/14.1°F
Relative Humidity: 46%/42%//62%/44%//80%/50%//84%/65%

The N.W.S. forecast the temperatures correctly at all four points overnight. They only got the 19:00 hour point correct for the relative humidity. The rest were off by more than 10%. That is not one of their better showings.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 18°F/27°F/36°F/29°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/55%/45%/46%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:45 AM
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January 28, 2008
Finally! The Temperature Broke The Freezing Mark!

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation today. The clear sky that I photographed this morning spread all the way to the east by noon. There were no clouds in the sky this evening. Further, the temperature has finally broken the freezing mark, and by quite a bit at over 38 degrees. That will certainly help get some of the ice and snow off the driveways and walkways. Already the temperature is below 28 degrees at 22:30 hours. That will make walking a bit treacherous on my driveway.
For the overnight we can expect no precipitation and very little cloud cover (1%/1%/0%/16%). That should allow the temperature to fall back into the single numbers as a result of the radiational cooling. The NEXRAD regional composite radar shows the storm has moved out of Eastern Maine. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are telling me to beware of the weather on Wednesday. It is not supposed to be very pleasant.
My Weather Stick is smiling for real. The 48% relative humidity is probably helping that. All three of my electronic instruments currently are calling for falling barometric pressure. Two of them forecast foul weather (I do not believe that) and the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions. I do not believe that either. We had high temperatures of 38.3°F, 32.4°F and 28.4°F. The temperature in the barn still has not caught up with the outdoor temperature. I think we will see clear skies, and cold temperatures overnight. Winter is almost half over.
High Temperature (°F): 38.3
Current Temperature (°F): 24.6
Relative Humidity (%): 48%
Dew Point (°F): 7.6
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.94
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: North Northwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.5
Wind-Chill (°F): 18.2
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:09°F/11.4°F//19°F/23.3°F//28°F/36.1°F//29°F/37.0°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/66%//54%/44%//48%/30%//46%/34%

The N.W.S. did not forecast the temperature today as well as they did last night. They missed the 13:00 and 16:00 hour points. Their effectiveness with the relative humidity is not much better than it was this morning. They missed the same points there as they did with the temperature. The offshore storm is gone, so that cannot be the reason.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 27°F/22°F/19°F/16°F.
Relative Humidity: 46%/62%/80%/84%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:42 PM
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Right Back Into The Single Numbers!!

At least these were not the single numbers below zero overnight. Ike and I did not spend very much time outside this morning because, in addition to being cold, there was a stiff breeze blowing making it feel much colder than it really was. The sky was very clear this morning and the stars predominated the morning sky. Although it is on the wane, the moon was very bright also. It does look like it is going to be a pretty day. At this point I would not hold out much hope that it will get above the freezing mark again today. It does appear that N.O.A.A. had the precipitation prediction correct, but their cloud cover forecast was very high when compared with reality.
For today the N.W.S. predicts that we will start off with fair skies, but may see some light scattered snow showers at midday followed by a period with no precipitation later this afternoon. The NEXRAD regional composite radar shows that far Eastern Maine is currently being pounded by the ocean storm that has been out there for the last couple of days. It does appear to be starting to move off, so the sky along the coast should begin to clear as we go through the day. The predicted cloud cover (58%/49%/41%/41%) does seem about right since there is cloud cover to our east, but none to our west, as you can see below.
101_5509.jpg
No Clouds To Our West!
My Weather Stick is still expressionless as a result of the 69% relative humidity. Two of my electronic instruments forecast foul weather, while the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions for today. All three of them see the barometric pressure falling today. Here again, the ocean storm seems to be having an effect on what the instruments are forecasting. The low temperatures overnight were 6.4°F, 6.1°F and 15.8°F. There must not have been a lot of wind blowing through the barn for that temperature to have remained as high as it did. I think the cloud cover will continue to move off to the east, and that we will not see any of those snow showers that are predicted by the N.W.S. It may not be warm but it will not be particularly unpleasant.
Low Temperature (°F): 6.1
Current Temperature (°F): 8.9
Relative Humidity (%): 69%
Dew Point (°F): 0.8
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.04
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: North Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 6.2
Wind-Chill (°F): -0.9
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:19°F/17.4°F//16°F/15.4°F//14°F/11.8°F//12°F/08.2°F
Relative Humidity: 85%/66%//92%/67%//89%/66%//83%/68%

The N.W.S. did do well with the temperature overnight, since they had all four forecast points within five degrees of the recorded temperatures at this location. However, they did not get any of the relative humidity readings forecast correctly. This must have been once more as a result of the storm sitting offshore.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 9°F/19F/28°F/29°F.
Relative Humidity: 76%/64%/48%/46%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:47 AM
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January 27, 2008
One More Day Below Freezing!!

N.O.A.A. forecast light scattered snow showers for the day today, and we could see showers from time to time, and even experienced some right here in Wilton, Maine. I needed to drive to Auburn and most of the way down this afternoon I was in the middle of a snow shower. There were plenty of clouds around, and the temperature did not get above 26°F outside my truck. It was even colder coming home.
The N.W.S. does not forecast any precipitation for the overnight. They do, however, forecast significant cloud cover (94%/71%/70%/64%). I looked outside to see if there really was that much cloud cover, and I could see none. In fact the stars are brighter tonight than I have seen them in a while. The NEXRAD composite regional radar does see the ocean storm stretching from just off Portland all the way down to New York City. It looks like Cape Cod is being pounded by this one. We do not seem to be getting any of it. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show about the same thing with the storm hanging around until sometime Wednesday. There may be an occasional snow shower, but nothing of note from this one.
My Weather Stick is still expressionless with the relative humidity at 66%. Two of the electronic instruments call for fair skies and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station steadfastly holds on to unsettled conditions with rising barometric pressure. The high temperatures this afternoon were 26.7°F, 28.1°F and 23.0°F (in the barn). I think the storm has moved a little farther out to sea, and that is why we are not seeing the cloud cover over Wilton that may be seen closer to the coast.
High Temperature (°F): 26.7
Current Temperature (°F): 17.4
Relative Humidity (%): 66%
Dew Point (°F): 7.9
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.22
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: East
Wind Speed (mph): 3.5
Wind-Chill (°F): 17.4
Precipitation (Type): Snow Showers
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:05°F/10.5°F//15°F/17.7°F//25°F/26.4°F//26°F/24.4°F
Relative Humidity: 95%/74%//77%/72%//52%/59%//52%/59%

The N.W.S. did do well with the temperature throughout today since they got them all within limits. The only relative humidity forecast they missed was at 07:00 hours this morning. They did a much better job on their prognostications than they have been.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 19°F/16°F/14°F/12°F.
Relative Humidity: 85%/92%/89%/83%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 09:09 PM
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Yet Another Night Well Below Freezing!

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation overnight and cold temperatures. The temperature did start to rise after 01:00 hours, probably due to the influx of some clouds. By 09:00 hours the sky was overcast, and we were having one of the light scattered snow showers that they predict for today. 6 degrees is still cold in anyone's book. That little snow shower did not add anything to our total snowfall for the season. That total for Wilton, Maine is around 83 inches for the season to date.
For today the N.W.S. , as has already been noted, forecasts light scattered snow showers with a cloud cover to support it (94%/90%/86%/81%). The NEXRAD regional composite radar does show a significant storm well off the coast of Long Island, N.Y., and it is moving Northeast. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we will be under the influence of this storm until around mid-week. We will not get a lot of snow out of it, but there may well be some snow showers that will erupt from time to time.
My Weather Stick is expressionless again due to the 73% relative humidity. Two of my electronic instruments forecast fair skies (ha-ha) and rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts unsettled weather with steady barometric pressure. It is nice to be able to pick the forecast that fits what I see outside. Today it is the remote weather station that appears to be correct. So we can expect unsettled weather today with a chance for some snow showers from time to time. We did have low temperatures overnight of 6.0°F, 7.7°F and 15.3°F. That was cold, but not as cold as it
has been.
Low Temperature (°F): 6
Current Temperature (°F): 16.7
Relative Humidity (%): 73%
Dew Point (°F): 9.5
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.29
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: East Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 3.1
Wind-Chill (°F): 16.7
Precipitation (Type): Flurries
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:16°F/11.1°F//12°F/5.5°F//08°F/07.3°F//06°F/10.0°F
Relative Humidity: 67%/59%//88%/68%//91%/71%//96%/72%

The N.W.S. did do well with the temperature at the beginning and end of the overnight period, but they missed the 22:00 and 01:00 hour points. They did not do as well with the relative humidity, getting only the 19:00 hour forecast correct. I suspect the ocean storm may have had some influence on that.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 5°F/15F/25°F/26°F.
Relative Humidity: 95%/77%/52%/52%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:38 AM
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January 26, 2008
And We Still Have Not Gotten Above Freezing!

There are places, according to the TV weather prognosticators that have gotten above freezing today but Wilton, Maine was not one of them. N.O.A.A. forecast that we would not have any precipitation, very little cloud cover and temperatures remaining in the mid to upper twenties. They had this one right. It was basically a pretty day with lots of sun, but the temperature still did not go above freezing. On one of my electronic instruments it did get a little over thirty, but still did not break 32°F.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts a continuation of no precipitation until 04:00 hours when we stand a chance for some light scattered snow showers. This in response to the ocean storm that is east of us. The cloud cover forecast (39%/41%/44%/47%) would support both ends of that forecast. There is still some snow in southern New York and Pennsylvania, but these are snow showers not associated with the ocean storm off the coast of New Jersey. The Weather Underground maps are back on line and do not show anything of significance until Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.
My Weather Stick Was Smiling around 05:15 and the relative humidity then was 50%, so that makes sense. The rest of the data reported below is from 22:30 hours. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Two of them forecast fair skies while the remote weather station predicts unsettled conditions. I am not sure that we will see any snow showers overnight, but we could if all the elements come together. We did have high temperatures today of 25.1°F, 30.2°F and 27.1°F. We have already equaled our low temperature from this morning, and I suspect that we will see some single numbers below zero overnight. Bundle up, it is going to be a cold one tonight. I had heard that we were supposed to have a moderating trend in the temperature over the weekend.
High Temperature (°F): 25.1
Current Temperature (°F): 6.6
Relative Humidity (%): 69%
Dew Point (°F): -1.6
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.28
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 6.6
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:09°F/08.5°F//16°F/18.1°F//23°F/25.5°F//24°F/25.1°F
Relative Humidity: 69%/70%//51%/67%//38%/53%//38%/46%

The N.W.S. did do well with the temperature. They got them all correct or within limits. They had the relative humidity correct within limits (10%) at 07:00 hours and at 16:00 hours. They did miss the middle of the day. Oh well, tomorrow is another day and another chance to get it right.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 16°F/12°F/8°F/6°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/88%/91%/96%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:18 PM
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Another Night Well Below Freezing!

N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation overnight, but they did not account for some local snow showers like the one we had around 23:00 last night. That lasted about 5 minutes and was gone. The overnight low did not occur until 08:00 hours this morning, and now we are looking at filtered sun through the cirrus clouds that are overspreading the area around Wilton, Maine.
For today the N.W.S. is again forecasting no precipitation. The forecast cloud cover (53%/49%/45%/33%) does support that as it decreases throughout the day. The NEXRAD regional composite radar shows some snow in Southern New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania, but it does not appear to be moving in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate a major offshore storm, but that too does not appear to be moving in our direction. It is supposed to remain off shore with only some clouds for our area.
My Weather Stick is smiling at the 71% relative humidity, but just a little. Two of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts unsettled conditions with rising barometric pressure. The low temperatures recorded this morning were 6.6°F, 8.8*°F and15.4°F. The sky currently has a milky appearance due to the cirrus clouds that moved in. The temperature is on the rise and is already 16.7°F and seems to be headed for the upper twenties. As long as the cloud cover continues to decrease we may actually get there. If we do it will be a pleasant day to get outside and enjoy the activities that winter can provide. I may even take Ike out in the field for some training. He does seem to enjoy that so much. There does not seem to be much activity on the storm track until around mid-week. After that it is anybody's guess.
Low Temperature (°F): 6.6
Current Temperature (°F): 7.3
Relative Humidity (%): 71%
Dew Point (°F): -0.1
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.19
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 7.3
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:14°F/18.1*°F//12°F/17.7*°F//10°F/17.4°F//09°F/12.3°F
Relative Humidity: 53%/58*%//68%/69*%//69%/70%//67%/65%

The only forecast temperature that the N.W.S. missed overnight was at 22:00 hours. I should note that there was a power failure around 18:50 hours, and data was lost from there to 00:28 hours, therefore I have placed asterisks on those two recorded temperatures and relative humidities. All four of the relative humidity forecasts were within limits overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 09°F/16F/23°F/24°F.
Relative Humidity: 69%/51%/38%/38%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:22 AM
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Another Night Well Below Freezing!

N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation overnight, but they did not account for some local snow showers like the one we had around 23:00 last night. That lasted about 5 minutes and was gone. The overnight low did not occur until 08:00 hours this morning, and now we are looking at filtered sun through the cirrus clouds that are overspreading the area around Wilton, Maine.
For today the N.W.S. is again forecasting no precipitation. The forecast cloud cover (53%/49%/45%/33%) does support that as it decreases throughout the day. The NEXRAD regional composite radar shows some snow in Southern New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania, but it does not appear to be moving in our direction. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate a major offshore storm, but that too does not appear to be moving in our direction. It is supposed to remain off shore with only some clouds for our area.
My Weather Stick is smiling at the 71% relative humidity, but just a little. Two of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station forecasts unsettled conditions with rising barometric pressure. The low temperatures recorded this morning were 6.6°F, 8.8*°F and15.4°F. The sky currently has a milky appearance due to the cirrus clouds that moved in. The temperature is on the rise and is already 16.7°F and seems to be headed for the upper twenties. As long as the cloud cover continues to decrease we may actually get there. If we do it will be a pleasant day to get outside and enjoy the activities that winter can provide. I may even take Ike out in the field for some training. He does seem to enjoy that so much. There does not seem to be much activity on the storm track until around mid-week. After that it is anybody's guess.
Low Temperature (°F): 6.6
Current Temperature (°F): 7.3
Relative Humidity (%): 71%
Dew Point (°F): -0.1
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.19
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 7.3
Precipitation (Type): Dry
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:14°F/18.1*°F//12°F/17.7*°F//10°F/17.4°F//09°F/12.3°F
Relative Humidity: 53%/58*%//68%/69*%//69%/70%//67%/65%

The only forecast temperature that the N.W.S. missed overnight was at 22:00 hours. I should note that there was a power failure around 18:50 hours, and data was lost from there to 00:28 hours, therefore I have placed asterisks on those two recorded temperatures and relative humidities. All four of the relative humidity forecasts were within limits overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 09°F/16F/23°F/24°F.
Relative Humidity: 69%/51%/38%/38%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:21 AM
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We Still Cannot Get Above Freezing!

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation for the daylight hours today. They were correct in that prediction. We did have a day with some cloudy periods and clear periods. It did stay cold however with the temperature not getting above 25°F. It was much more pleasant to watch the weather from inside the warm house than to go outside and experience it.
For the overnight N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation for the entire period. The cloud cover does support that, although there is a prediction of slightly higher cloud cover between 22:00 and 01:00 hours (54%/58%/62%/36%). We did have an errant snow shower at about 23:00 hours. It only lasted for a few minutes and was gone. It did not show up on the NEXRAD composite regional radar or the Weather Underground model forecast maps, so unless you were outside in it, I guess it did not happen.
My weather Stick is smiling at the 51% relative humidity. (I took all this data just after 16:00 hours). My electronic instruments seem to be a bit confused. The La Crosse Weather Station sees fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer calls for unsettled weather with falling barometric pressure and the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions with falling barometric pressure. Maybe by morning they will begin to agree again. The recorded high temperatures on the instruments were 24.6°F, 20.7°F and 20.7°F. With the exception of the 23:00 burst of snow I think the weather will remain calm through the rest of the night, but it will be cold again.
Low Temperature (°F):
High Temperature (°F): 24.6
Current Temperature (°F): 19.2
Relative Humidity (%): 51%
Dew Point (°F): 3.9
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.02
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 2.6
Wind-Chill (°F): 19.2
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:02°F/-2.3°F//09°F/10.5°F//16°F/24.0°F//17°F/19.9°F
Relative Humidity: 62%/72%//47%/61%//40%/41%//42%/50%

The N.W.S. did do a little better than they did overnight with the temperature. The only point they missed was at 13:00 hours. Likewise they only missed one of the relative humidity forecasts. That was at 10:00 hours. As I noted they did better than they did overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 14°F/12°F/10°F/9°F.
Relative Humidity: 53%/68%/69%/67%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:24 AM
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January 25, 2008
Was It Frost Or Snow?

When I took Ike out for his morning constitutional there was the lightest coating of white precipitation on my truck and on the ground. After some investigation, I think it just might have been a very light dusting of snow. According to N.O.A.A. we could have had a light scattered snow shower between 19:00 and 22:00 hours. Based on the recorded temperatures there might have been enough clouds to support a little snow early on. The rest of the night the temperature plummeted to below zero levels again. It is still -3.2°F at 07:45 hours. That is cold in anybody's book. At least it is going to be a pretty day, albeit cold.
The N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation for Wilton, Maine. They also forecast a slight increase in the cloud cover during the day (6%/16%/26%/41%). There is nothing on the NEXRAD composite regional radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps this morning are "undefined". They do not seem to be working. I will check them out again later.
My Weather Stick is expressionless due to the 72% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments predict rising barometric pressure. Two of them forecast fair skies while the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions. With the barometric pressure rising I do not think we will see that level of cloudiness. It will be cold though with this air mass coming in from the arctic. Overnight low temperatures were -4.9°F, -2.0°F and 9.0°F. Even the relative humidity is forecast by N.O.A.A. to be going down. The ocean storm may be having an effect on the cloud cover and relative humidity predictions.
Low Temperature (°F): -4.9
Current Temperature (°F): -2.3
Relative Humidity (%): 72%
Dew Point (°F): -4.2
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.12
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): -2.3
Precipitation (Type): Flurries
Amount (Inches): Trace
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Fair
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:16°F/08.9°F//12°F/01.9°F//09°F/03.0°F//07°F/-3.6°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/74%//60%/77%//47%/76%//49%/73%

The N.W.S. did not do very well overnight. They missed all four of the recorded temperature readings, and only had the 19:00 hour relative humidity forecast correct. I am not sure what happened, but it was not something good. Maybe the offshore storm confused them. I wonder if they will do better today.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 02°F/09°F/16°F/17°F.
Relative Humidity: 62%/47%/40%/42%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:02 AM
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January 24, 2008
It Is Cold And Getting Colder!

For today N.O.A.A. forecast scattered light snow showers, and we did have a shower around 14:00 hours. It did not last long and there was only a trace of new show on the ground. After that the sun came out and it was a decent afternoon. After that snow shower the temperature got noticeably colder. It must have signaled the passage of the cold front. It is definitely cold now, and a lot colder than it was when I took the data from my weather station just after 16:00 hours.
The N.W.S. is only predicting scattered snow showers between 19:00 and 22:00 hours. The cloud cover is expected to dissipate, and in fact I do not think showers can be supported by the projected cloud cover (19%/37%/24%/17%). There is no precipitation showing up in our area on the NEXRAD regional composite radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps also appear to be clear for the next couple of days.
My Weather Stick is expressionless in response to the 76% relative humidity. Two of the electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. The remote weather station still projects cloudy conditions with steady barometric pressure. The high temperatures were not very high 21.9°F, 25.2°F and 21.7°F. I think we will be cold overnight, and probably tomorrow. It will probably be a pretty night, but very cold. I do not think we will see 30°F until Sunday.
High Temperature (°F): 21.9
Current Temperature (°F): 6.6
Relative Humidity (%): 76%
Dew Point (°F): 0.6
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.04
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 6.6
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): Trace
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:08°F/11.4°F//14°F/16.3°F//19°F/21.7°F//20°F/19.5°F
Relative Humidity: 76%/62%//58%/65%//47%/65%//43%//69%

For today the N.W.S. forecast the temperature correctly at all four points. They did miss three of the four relative humidity forecasts by more than 10%. The only one that was within those limits was at 10:00 hours.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 16°F/12°F/09°F/07°F.
Relative Humidity: 76%/60%/47%/49%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:48 PM
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It Is As Cold This Morning As It Was Yesterday!

Overnight we did not have any precipitation as N.O.A.A. predicted. Wilton was spared any additional snow for that period. We did not get quite as cold overnight, but the temperature reading at 04:00 hours was almost the same as it was yesterday morning. It did get about 9 degrees colder during the night on the twenty-third.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered snow showers through mid-afternoon and then no precipitation. Looking at the NEXRAD regional composite radar I am not sure where that snow is supposed to come from. Other than the usual lake effect snow I do not see any echoes in the area that would produce that precipitation. There is nothing showing up on the Weather Underground model forecast maps either. The cold frontal boundary does show up, and it is moving our way, but it does not look like there is any precipitation associated with it. I guess we will just have to wait and see what unfolds for us.
My Weather Stick is smiling just a little in response to the 64% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Two of them forecast fair skies while the remote weather station sees cloudy skies. I still think that one is just a little slow to react to the change in barometric pressure. Currently the skies are overcast with stratus clouds. With that in mind, and the cold front moving our way there is a possibility of some light scattered snow showers during the day today, but that is just a slight possibility in my opinion.
Low Temperature (°F): 11.1
Current Temperature (°F): 11.3
Relative Humidity (%): 64%
Dew Point (°F): 1.3
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.01
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: East Northeast
Wind Speed (mph): 2.9
Wind-Chill (°F): 11.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:21°F/20.4°F//16°F/14.1°F//13°F/14.5°F//10°F/11.8°F
Relative Humidity: 56%/55%//70%/61%//70%/60%//76%/62%

For the overnight the N.W.S. forecast the temperature correctly at all four points. They did miss the 04:00 hour relative humidity forecast by more than 10%. Still, that was not a bad job of prognostication. Pretty well done!
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 08°F/14°F/19°F/20°F.
Relative Humidity: 76%/58%/47%/43%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 06:44 AM
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January 23, 2008
This Was A Very Pleasant Day!!

N.O.A.A. predicted no precipitation for the first half of the day and that was right. They also predicted light scattered snow showers for the second half of the day. I had to be out an about and looking at the hills surrounding Wilton, Maine I was able to see some showers falling from the clouds, just as we do during the summer when there are showers around on a summer afternoon. Those showers are rain these are snow. The only difference is the temperature. There were some big puffy cumulus clouds around just like we have during the summer as well.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered snow showers for the first half of the period with those showers dissipating and no precipitation for the second half. That was just the opposite of the cloud cover forecast (70%/76%/82%/88%). There was nothing on the NEXRAD regional composite radar, and the Weather Underground model forecast maps still indicate a stretch of nice weather for the rest of the week. It may be cold, but there should not be any precipitation according to those forecast maps.
My Weather Stick is smiling due to 55% relative humidity. That makes it feel colder outside because our perspiration evaporates off the skin more rapidly. So, dry cold, like dry heat, makes it feel colder than it is. We do have a variety of forecasts by the electronic instruments. The La Crosse Weather Station is calling for unsettled weather with rising barometric pressure. The Min/Max Thermometer is calling for the same. The remote weather station forecasts foul weather with rising barometric pressure. That is different. They recorded high temperatures today of 32.5°F. 30.2°F and 28.8°F. When I looked out earlier I saw some clouds, but no more showers, so that is what I will predict. No precipitation tonight, but temperatures will be cold.
High Temperature (°F): 32.5
Current Temperature (°F): 24.9
Relative Humidity (%): 55%
Dew Point (°F): 11.0
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.88
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 2.4
Wind-Chill (°F): 24.9
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:19°F/13.4°F//24°F/22.8°F//28°F/29.1°F//26°F/27.8
Relative Humidity: 67%/80%//52%/54%//42%/46%//46%/48%

For today the N.W.S missed the 07:00 forecast for the relative humidity and the 07:00 hour forecast for the temperature. They had all the rest of the forecasts correct. Not great, but not a bad job.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 21°F/16°F/13°F/10°F.
Relative Humidity: 56%/70%/70%/76%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:45 PM
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I Missed Another One-An Inch Of Flurries!

N.O.A..A. forecast light snow for the overnight, and when I did last night's report it was mostly cloudy, but the clouds appeared to be breaking up. I was surprised when I stepped outside with Ike to find a fresh coating of snow measuring about an inch on top of the old dirty snow. It looked nice anyway. It did get much colder than N.O.A.A. predicted, but it has started to warm up.
For today the N.W.S. sees no precipitation through noon, but clouds moving in (33%/48%/64%/72%) with the possibility of light scattered snow showers for the rest of the day. The only precipitation I saw on the NEXRAD regional composite radar was a snow shower moving into the Canadian Maritimes at 06:20. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show us storm free for the next couple of days, and maybe through the weekend.
My Weather Stick is frowning again at the 81% relative humidity. My La Cross Weather Station currently sees unsettled conditions with a mix of sun and clouds and rising barometric pressure. The other two electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. As I look outside I see some cumulus clouds, and the sky is red as the sun is coming up. That usually indicates some foul weather in our near future. Our low temperatures at this location were 2.8°F, 11.7°F* and 12.7°F. I marked the Min/Max Thermometer reading with an asterisk because it went off line, and when I got it back the temperature was 11.7°F which was close to the reading I had for the La Crosse Weather Station at 06:00 hours. I think we may actually break into the upper twenties today which will be a nice change from what we have had the past few days. I will be surprised if we have any snow this afternoon, but it is possible.
Low Temperature (°F): 2.8
Current Temperature (°F): 13.1
Relative Humidity (%): 81%
Dew Point (°F): 8.3
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.82
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 5.3
Wind-Chill (°F): 6.2
Precipitation (Type): Flurries
Amount (Inches): 1.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:23°F/19.5°F//14°F/09.5°F//16°F/04.2°F//17°F/11.1°F.
Relative Humidity: 71%/72%//76%/75%//77%/78%//73%/82%

For the overnight the N.W.S missed the 01:00 and 04:00 recorded temperature. They did get the relative humidity correct within the set limits.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 19°F/24°F/28°F/26°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/52%/42%/46%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:09 AM
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January 22, 2008
Did Anyone See The Snow In Wilton, Maine?

I did not, and I was outside for a while helping a neighbor split some wood. I did not see it this afternoon either. It looks like I missed that one and so did N.O.A.A. We had just a little bit of sun and no snow. When I miss them I do so big time. For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts decreasing cloud cover (96%/68%/67%/45%) but a chance for light scattered snow showers. I would believe the cloud cover, but not the snow showers. There is nothing but lake effect snow showing up on the radar and the Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate no problems through Saturday. Just to note the model forecast maps continued to show the chance for snow in our area continued to decrease as the day went on. The storm continued to move out to sea and off the coast of Maine as the day wore on.
My Weather Stick is straight again with no expression as a result of 57% relative humidity. My Weather Station indicates foul weather and falling barometric pressure as do my other two electronic instruments. They recorded high temperatures of 25,8°F, 25.0°F and 21.0°F this afternoon. I think we will have another cold night, but there will not be any snow. Already the temperature is down to 8.2°F. Did you see the moon rise tonight, talk about a blood red moon. Wow.
High Temperature (°F): 25.8
Current Temperature (°F): 24.6
Relative Humidity (%): 59%
Dew Point (°F): 6.7
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.87
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: South Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.7
Wind-Chill (°F): 15.5
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Nimbostratus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:03°F/-1.4°F//13°F/12.7°F//22°F/24.9°F//23°F/25.7°F.
Relative Humidity: 83%/70%//63%/65%//54%/51%//57%/57%

For the today the only reading that was missed was the 07:00 relative humidity. They had the rest correct. Nice job folks.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 23°F/14°F/16°F/17°F.
Relative Humidity: 71%/76%/77%/73%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:07 PM
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It Looks Like A Little More Snow

The N.O.A.A. prediction was for no precipitation overnight, but the sky was expected to cloud over. Well, that is exactly what happened. Temperatures have yet to moderate, despite the prediction. It does look like a storm system is moving into the area of Wilton, Maine.
For today the N.W.S. predicts snow all day, but it has not started yet. The cloud cover is expected to be quite high (96%/94%/95%/100%) which would support snow today. Most of the prognosticators are calling for just a couple of inches for our area, and I suspect that may be right.
My Weather Stick is expressionless with 70% relative humidity, but I suspect it has just not caught up with the relative humidity. Two of the electronic instruments see the barometric pressure falling while the remote weather station sees it as steady. The La Crosse Weather Station forecasts unsettled conditions, the Min/Max Thermometer says foul weather and the remote weather station sees unsettled conditions. I think we will see snow before the end of the day. Oh, the low temperatures were -5.2°F. -1.8°F and 5.9°F.
Low Temperature (°F): -5.2
Current Temperature (°F): -2.3
Relative Humidity (%): 70%
Dew Point (°F): -9.5
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.39
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): -2.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Cirrocumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:11°F/09.3°F//08°F/03.0°F//04°F/-3.6°F//06°F/-4.3°F.
Relative Humidity: 49%/49%//59%/57%//68%/64%//69%/69%

For the overnight the N.W.S. missed the last two forecast temperatures, but they had all four of the relative humidity forecasts correct. It got a good bit colder than they expected, probably because the clouds did not move in as quickly as they thought they would.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 03°F/13°F/22°F/23°F.
Relative Humidity: 83%/63%/54%/57%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:55 AM
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A Very Cold Day!!

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation during the day today, and better cold. They were right on both accounts. Not only that, there were virtually no clouds all day. That made it a pretty day, but one that was best observed from inside a warm house, rather than being outside in it. Properly dressed it was possible to go out and do the usual chores and Outdoor Wood Boiler stoking, but not much else.
The N.W.S. still forecasts no precipitation for the overnight, but they do see the cloud cover increasing (15%/17%/62%/79%) in advance of a system scheduled to arrive tomorrow morning. There just is not much more that I can add to this. There is nothing on the NEXRAD regional composite radar yet. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show a bit of snow coming tomorrow morning and lasting until sometime tomorrow evening.
My Weather Stick (as you can see) is responding to the70% relative humidity by smiling. (When I took the picture the relative humidity was 70%.) All three electronic instruments forecast fair weather with rising barometric pressure. The high temperatures were 16.3°F. 14.9°F and 18.9°F. Those were not very warm temperatures. I think that we will see clouds by morning and a little bit of snow before the end of the day tomorrow.
High Temperature (°F): 16.3
Current Temperature (°F): 0.3
Relative Humidity (%): 60%
Dew Point (°F): -10.3
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.53
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 0.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:-1°F/-2.3°F//07°F/05.0°F//14°F/15.0°F//15°F/15.2°F.
Relative Humidity: 61%/52%//47%/48%//40%/39%//40%/38%

For the today the N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts and relative humidity forecasts within the set limits. Once again they have done an excellent job of informing us what we could expect today. We may not have wanted it, but it is what we have gotten. Kudos to the N.W.S. for this set of forecasts.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 11°F/08°F/04°F/06°F.
Relative Humidity: 49%/59%/68%/69%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 07:53 AM
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January 21, 2008
I Guess I Got That One Right

N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation overnight, and I for one am glad they were right. I certainly would not like to be outside blowing snow off the driveways in this kind of cold weather. It did get down into the single numbers below zero overnight, and it does not have to get any colder on my account. My Wood Boiler did keep the house warm (or reasonably so) overnight. You can still tell that it is cold out because the kitchen is below 60°F. I guess we will be doing some cooking and baking today to warm things up today.
For today the N.W.S. is still forecasting no precipitation, but they do not see the temperature getting out of the teens. The forecast relative humidity should keep my Weather Stick smiling all day. Right now I am not seeing any cloud cover despite the forecast from the N.W.S. with 14%/17%/19%/27% clouds for today. I think any clouds that show up will have their moisture sucked right into the atmosphere as relative humidity.
My Weather Stick is smiling, not as strongly as it frowns, but it is smiling at the 52% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments are forecasting fair weather with rising barometric pressure. The recorded low temperatures were -2.3°F, -2.3°F and -4.8°F (in the barn). The NEXRAD regional composite radar only sees some lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario. The Weather Underground model forecast maps see no storms today, but we may have something on the horizon for Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday noontime. That will merit some further discussion as it gets closer. I think we will have a pretty day, but not one where people will want to get outside for any more time than is absolutely necessary. How about the Patriots, now 18-0 on the season.
Low Temperature (°F): -3.2
Current Temperature (°F): -2.3
Relative Humidity (%): 52%
Dew Point (°F):- 15.8
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.41
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 14.0
Wind-Chill (°F): -4.9
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:06°F/04.6°F//04°F/06.4°F//03°F/06.4°F//02°F/01.9°F.
Relative Humidity: 47%/50%//51%/55%//51%/49%//53%/48%

For the overnight the N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts and relative humidity forecasts within the set limits. Once again they have done an excellent job of informing us what we could expect today. We may not have wanted it, but it is what we have gotten. Kudos to the N.W.S. for this set of forecasts.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: -01°F/07°F/14°F/15°F.
Relative Humidity: 61%/47%/40%/40%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:22 AM
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'Tis Cold And Getting Colder!!

N.O.A.A. forecast light scattered snow showers all day today, but we did not see any here in Wilton, Maine. There has been cold air filtering in all day and our high for the day was only 7°F higher than our low this morning. At least we have not had any more snow. It does seem that this afternoon and evening are good for watching the playoff football games. I am not thrilled with the idea of getting outside which is why I put a healthy load of wood in my Outdoor Wood Boiler yesterday afternoon. I may have to put some in tomorrow morning, depending on how much heat the house calls for tonight.
The N.W.S. does not foresee any precipitation for the overnight. They expect the cloud cover to remain steady (15%/16%/18%/16%). They also expect the relative humidity to stay in the 50% range. That should make my Weather Stick smile all night long.
Speaking of my Weather Stick, it is smiling at the 52% relative humidity. I guess this morning it just had not caught up with the changes in the relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast rising barometric pressure. Two of them call for fair weather while the remote weather station says it is going to be unsettled. I do not quite believe that latter one. The high temperatures today (if you can call them that) were 17.2°F, 19.3°F and 28.6°F. I am not sure I believe the temperature in the barn, but that is what was recorded. I think we may well be into the single numbers below zero overnight with clear skies and low relative humidity. Wrap up in a warm afghan and enjoy the games.
High Temperature (°F): 17.2
Current Temperature (°F): 4.6
Relative Humidity (%): 52%
Dew Point (°F): -9.2
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.09
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 8.2
Wind-Chill (°F): -11.3
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:12°F/13.2°F//14°F/13.6°F//17°F/16.5°F//17°F/12.7°F.
Relative Humidity: 52%/58%//43%/47%//37%/37%//35%/39%

For the today the N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts and relative humidity forecasts within the set limits. Once again they have done an excellent job of informing us what we could expect today. We may not have wanted it, but it is what we have gotten. Kudos to the N.W.S. for this set of forecasts.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 06°F/04°F/03°F/02°F.
Relative Humidity: 47%/51%/51%/53%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:18 AM
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January 20, 2008
What A Clear Morning!

For the overnight we may have had some light snow showers, but they did not add anything to the total amount of snow on the ground. Based on the temperature the clouds did not move out until after 04:00 hours this morning. It was after that the temperature fell to the very low teens. The sky this morning is clear and the temperature has not rebounded despite the sunshine. The wind is not making it feel any warmer at all despite the mixing of the air.
For today the N.W.S. is still forecasting light scattered snow showers for Wilton, Maine. With no clouds I do not see that happening. The N.W.S. has forecast 58%, 44%, 30% and 36% cloud cover, but I just do not see that. The NEXRAD composite regional radar is devoid of echoes with the exception of some lake effect snow in New York and a little bit of the same stuff off the coast at Portland Maine. The Weather Underground model forecast maps do not show any storms for at least another day and maybe two.
My Weather Stick is smiling a little at the 51% relative humidity. Finally! All three of my electronic instruments see the barometer rising. Two of them see unsettled conditions while the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions today. The recorded low temperatures were 10.9°F, 11.3°F and 19.2°F, the latter in the barn. This spring I hope to move my station so the anemometer is above the roof of the house and the thermo/hygro unit is next to the Min/Max Thermometer, and there will be no solar heating. I do not think we will see any snow showers here, and I say again that is a good thing. Right now we do not need more snow. It is time for a little rest.
Low Temperature (°F): 10.9
Current Temperature (°F): 12.9
Relative Humidity (%): 51%
Dew Point (°F): -1.8
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.92
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 2.4
Wind-Chill (°F): 12.9
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:26°F/24.6°F//24°F/24.4°F//20°F/23.7°F//15°F/19.2°F.
Relative Humidity: 65%/58%//67%/62%//70%/59%//64%/64%

For the overnight the N.W.S. had all four temperature forecasts within the set limits. The only relative humidity forecast they missed was at 01:00 hours this morning, and that was only 1% outside the +/-10% limit for that parameter. That was not a bad result.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 12°F/14°F/17°F/17°F.
Relative Humidity: 52%/43%/37%/35%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:16 AM
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The Clouds Rolled In, But Will They Stay?

Today N.O.A.A. called for light scattered snow showers all day. That was in response to the storm moving north, but it was too far out to sea to cause us any problem. The only thing we saw today were some cirrus clouds. With what we had yesterday we did not need another storm right on the heels of the last one. Before the next storm gets here I need to get some snow boards down by my snow gauge to give us a real starting point for the next storm. It did warm up to just above freezing today, and that made it very nice to be outside. In preparation for the arctic express we are supposed to have over the next couple of days I loaded my Outdoor Wood Boiler so I would not have to when the temperature is in the single numbers.
For the overnight the N.W.S. is continuing to call for light scattered snow showers for the entire period. The cloud cover at 64%, 74%, 69% and 64% would support that forecast. I am not so sure that those showers will get here. We are having one small flurry at 23:30 hours. I guess we will find out tomorrow morning if we have any significant activity by the amount of new snow on the ground because it will not be sleet or rain at these temperatures.
My Weather Stick is smiling just a little in response to the 70% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments forecast falling barometric pressure overnight. Two of them are calling for unsettled conditions while the remote weather station sees foul weather in our future. The high temperatures recorded today were 33.6°F, 31.3°F and 32.2°F. Once again the temperature in the barn lags behind the outside temperature. I really do not think we will see any significant snow out of these showers that we may or may not have overnight. We will find out in the morning. (°F):
High Temperature (°F): 33.6
Current Temperature (°F): 22.6
Relative Humidity (%): 66%
Dew Point (°F): 12.9
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.83
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Southwest
Wind Speed (mph): 6.6
Wind-Chill (°F): 16.6
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Slightly Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:19°F/12.5°F//24°F/23.9°F//28°F/33.2°F//28°F/29.8°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/67%//60%/63%//45%/47%//41%/50%

For today the N.W.S. correctly forecast the temperature at 10:00, 13:00 and 16:00 hours, but they missed the07:00 hour point. They had all four relative humidity readings correctly forecast within 10%. This was a pretty good job of divination on their part.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 26°F/24°F/20°F/15°F.
Relative Humidity: 65%/67%/70%/64%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:12 AM
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January 19, 2008
The Dawn Was Clear!

While N.O.A.A. predicted scattered light snow showers for the first half of the overnight there were not enough clouds to produce even flurries over Wilton, Maine. They did have the prediction correct for the second half of the period since there was no precipitation to be had. When I took Ike out early this morning there was not a cloud in the sky, but there are currently some high thin cirrus clouds to our west. Oh, by the way, it was cold, so we did not waste any time getting back in the house. Before I came in I did add some wood to my Outdoor Wood Boiler.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts scattered light snow showers all day. They also predict that the cloud cover will continue to increase as the day wears on (64%/73%/82%/84%). If that is indeed the case we could have some of those light flurries later today. As clear as it is to our west I have my doubts about that. There is nothing showing up on the NEXRAD composite regional radar, with the exception of some lake effect snow east of Lakes Ontario and Erie. The only storm showing up on the Weather Underground model forecast maps is to far east of us to be a problem.
My Weather Stick sees the 72% relative humidity and is expressionless. All three of my electronic instruments see the barometric pressure rising. Two of them forecast fair weather and the remote weather station forecasts cloudy conditions. The recorded low temperatures were 10.5°F,14.4°F and 22.6°F. I think that latter forecast is probably the result of the slow response time to the rising barometric pressure by that instrument. I think we are going to have a reasonably clear day with some wind making it feel much colder than it actually is. I also think that we will not get out of the twenties today.
Low Temperature (°F): 10.5
Current Temperature (°F): 16.8
Relative Humidity (%): 72%
Dew Point (°F): 9.3
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.96
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 16.8
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:32°F/31.8°F//27°F/27.5°F//24°F/24.6°F//21°F/21.9°F.
Relative Humidity: 56%/50%//60%/55%//60%/56%//65%/60%

Overnight the N.W.S. correctly forecast the temperature and relative humidity at all four points. Another great job done by our N.W.S.. When they do it right I say so, and when they do it wrong I say that too.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 19°F/24°F/28°F/28°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/60%/45%/41%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:51 AM
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January 18, 2008
Another 8" Added To The Total For January!

We had 4" on the ground when I took Ike out for his first romp this morning. When it stopped snowing around 13:00 hours we had another 4" on the ground. As the temperature rose that compacted quickly to a net of 4". When I did the snowblowing a little later that show was getting hard to move with the amount of water in it as a result of the temperatures over 40°F. At least it was reasonably comfortable working outside. The prognosticators said we would get about 8" of new snow, and I guess they were right. N.O.A.A. did say the storm would end around noon and the sun would shine. Once it stopped snowing the sky became totally clear, but there were some cumulus clouds moving through later in the afternoon.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts light scattered snow showers for half the night and clear skies for the rest of it, or at least no precipitation. They do predict the cloud cover will increase somewhat overnight (36%/42%/47%/50%). I am not sure that will support light scattered snow showers for Wilton, Maine. The NEXRAD regional composite radar does not show any echoes for our area, but there is some lake effect at the end of Lake Ontario. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show a major storm at sea tomorrow night into Sunday, but it seems that it will be too far off shore to affect us. Let us hope so since I think we have enough to deal with right now. Other than that I did not see any storms in our immediate future.
My Weather Stick is trying to smile, but it just has not caught up with the relative humidity and is expressionless. Maybe it is just astounded that the relative humidity is falling to new low levels. All three of my electronic instruments call for the barometric pressure to rise. Indeed it has already risen from their earlier lows. Two of them are calling for fair skies while the remote weather station is forecasting cloudy conditions. The high temperatures recorded today were 41.5°F, 36.4°F and 37.6°F. It has gotten windy and that is making it feel much colder this evening, but when it is windy it usually does feel colder than it really is. I think we can expect the windy conditions overnight, but no additional snow. All we can do now is wait for the next storm to arrive.
High Temperature (°F): 41.5
Current Temperature (°F): 27.3
Relative Humidity (%): 55%
Dew Point (°F): 13.2
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.86
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West
Wind Speed (mph): 2.9
Wind-Chill (°F): 27.3
Precipitation (Type): Snow (Melt)
Amount (Inches): 4.00 (0.16”)
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cumulus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:20°F/23.1°F//29°F/25.3°F//38°F/39.0°F//38°F/39.0°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/85%//78%/86%//54%/80%//54%/58%

Today the N.W.S. correctly forecast the temperature at all four points. They got half of the relative humidity forecasts correct missing the 07:00 hour and 13:00 hour points. This was all right, but not one of their better showings.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 32°F/27°F/24°F/21°F.
Relative Humidity: 56%/60%/60%/65%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:08 PM
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Another Beautiful Day.

N.O.A.A. had this one correct for the predominant weather, since we only had a few cirrus clouds during the afternoon, and no precipitation. The sky remained nearly clear making their cloud cover forecast correct as well. It was a very good day to do all kinds of things outside, and I did get some done. Not as many as I would like to have, but something is better than nothing.
For the overnight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation, but the cloud cover is expected to increase somewhat (8%/21%/29%/26%). This should not be very heavy cloud cover. There is nothing showing up on the NEXRAD regional composite radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are still calling for a decent day tomorrow.
My Weather Stick is still smiling, but with 42% relative humidity who can blame it. My electronic instruments seem to be a bit confused. All three of them are calling for foul weather with falling barometric pressure. That pressure has fallen a bit, but I still do not see any clouds moving into the area. It still looks pretty good out there. My guess is that the system that is currently moving through has lower pressure than the one we just had move through, and that is confusing the instruments. I still think we will have a decent night, and a good day tomorrow. I cannot go beyond that, but even then I could be wrong. I can say that our temperature did rise above freezing (39.7°F/35.8°F/39.4°F).
High Temperature (°F): 39.7
Current Temperature (°F): 38.3
Relative Humidity (%): 42%
Dew Point (°F): 17.1
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.88
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: West Southwest
Wind Speed: 6.7
Wind-Chill (°F): 31.0
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Mostly Fair
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Up
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:5°F/8.9°F//21°F/25.8°F//32°F/37.7°F//30°F/37.9°F
Relative Humidity: 75%/75%//56%/62%//43%/46%//49%/44%

The N.W.S. had all but the 16:00 hour temperature forecast correct. They had all four of the relative humidity forecasts correct.
This was a good job on their part. Congratulations to them.
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 28°F/24°F/20°F/19°F.
Relative Humidity: 55%/65%/77%/74%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:36 AM
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January 17, 2008
Another Winter Storm Approaches!

How many times will we hear that this winter? Well we have another one on the way tonight. It was not supposed to start snowing until sometime tomorrow morning, but by 20:00 hours that is exactly what it was doing. N.O.A.A. had predicted no precipitation during the day today, but the clouds were expected to roll in, and that is exactly what they did. So here we are.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation for the start of the period, light scattered snow showers after midnight and snow by 04:00 hours. Well it is snowing now at 22:00 hours. The NEXRAD composite regional radar shows this storm blowi9ng up over Long Island Sound, but there are some scattered showers in advance of it working their way into Maine. I guess that is what we are seeing.
My Weather Stick is frowning just a little. All three of my electronic instruments forecast falling barometric pressure. Two of them fore cast unsettled weather while the La Cross Weather Station forecasts foul weather. The high temperatures today were 29.1°F, 25.2°F and 23.0°F in the usual order. Get ready, here comes the snow again.
High Temperature (°F): 29.1
Current Temperature (°F): 23.1
Relative Humidity (%): 76%
Dew Point (°F): 16.7
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.21
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 23.1
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (PM): Overcast
Cloud Type: Stratus
Weather Stick: Slightly Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:-3°F/-5.4°F//11°F/09.6°F//25°F/28.5°F//27°F/25.5°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/78%//75%/81%//45%/61%//49%/63%

Overnight the N.W.S. had the temperature correctly forecast at all four points, or at least within limits. They missed all but the 10:00 hour forecast for the relative humidity.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 24°F/21°F/22°F/24°F.
Relative Humidity: 65%/74%/74%/81%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 10:42 PM
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The Days Grow Longer, The Cold Grows Stronger!

That little piece of doggerel certainly seems to be very close to the mark. Now that our annual January thaw is over the days are becoming noticeably longer, and it certainly has gotten colder. Overnight we were back into the sub-zero range at -5.6°F. The sky was clear last night, but there are some high thin clouds moving into the area.. In fact right now (09:30 hours) the sky is a milky white as more and more cirrus clouds move in. All this in preparation for another onslaught for tomorrow. If you think it is too cold to snow, guess again. It is supposed to be cold today (not getting out of the twenties) and cold again tonight.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation, but the cloud cover is supposed to increase (13%/41%/68%/84%), again in preparation for tomorrow. Checking on the NEXRAD composite regional radar I find that the snow shield is already into southern Pennsylvania. There is a second storm that is not on the radar yet. That second storm is over the great lakes. The Weather Underground model forecast maps are predicting that those two storms will join forces somewhere over Long Island Sound and move up the coast into the Gulf of Maine. That should give us a very real probability for another foot of flurries between Noon and Midnight Friday. Those same maps are showing a possibility for another storm on Monday. We are so lucky to live in Wilton, Maine where Winter is the Major Season, eclipsed only by Mud Season. We pay for this weather so get out and enjoy it, it really can be fun.
My Weather Stick continues to frown at the 79% relative humidity, but I would not expect anything else. All three of my electronic instruments currently forecast fair skies and rising barometric pressure. They recorded lows of -5.6°F,-1.8°F and 7.3°F (that last in the barn). Who says the animals do not produce heat. For today clouds should be on the increase, and already are. I have not heard when this next storm is expected to start, but based on the last one, and the Weather
Underground maps predictions, I would expect it to start around daybreak tomorrow and continue through the day. Cleanup should start on Saturday.
Low Temperature (°F): -5.6
Current Temperature (°F): -0.7
Relative Humidity (%): 79%
Dew Point (°F): -5.7
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.40
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): -0.7
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:14°F/14.1°F//08°F/07.1°F//04°F/01.5°F//00.0°F/-1.6°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/69%//76%/79%//83%/79%//91%/78%

Overnight the N.W.S. had the temperature correctly forecast at all four points, or at least within limits. They only missed the 04:00 hour forecast for the relative humidity. They are once again proving themselves to be reasonably accurate at predicting the future. A great improvement over the other night.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: -3°F/11°F/25°F/27°F.
Relative Humidity: 100%/75%/45%/49%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:00 AM
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January 16, 2008
And You Thought It Was Cold Last Night

Today N.O.A.A. forecast no precipitation with decreasing cloud cover, and they had that right. When the sun set this afternoon there were not enough clouds to give us a "pretty" sunset, but the sky did have a red glow. Further, it was already starting to get cold.
For the overnight the N.W.S predicts that we will have no precipitation, no clouds and no temperature. I thin that is what a temperature of zero means. At any rate if there was any heat imparted by the sun today it has already radiated back out into space. It is going to get, no let me rephrase that, it is cold and getting colder. By tomorrow morning we should be totally cloudless, not that we are not already. I just cannot tell the difference between 8% cloud cover and 0% cloud cover. I guess with 8% there is some dust in the atmosphere. There are no storms on the NEXRAD regional composite radar. The Weather Underground model forecast maps indicate that we will not see any precipitation until around noon on Friday, and that should last for about 12 hours. Maybe another foot of flurries.
My Weather Stick is frowning at 78% relative humidity, and I do not blame it. I would frown too if I were outside, but I would be afraid that my face would crack. All three of my electronic instruments forecast fair skies with rising barometric pressure. They recorded high temperatures today of 31.8°F, 24.7°F and 26.76°F. My guess is that there will be some frost on the doors and windows in the morning, and it will be cold. If your car is not totally winterized by now you may have a problem starting it in the morning. This may actually be a three dog night.
High Temperature (°F): 31.8
Current Temperature (°F): 6.9
Relative Humidity (%): 78%
Dew Point (°F): 1.5
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.34
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind-Chill (°F): 6.9
Precipitation (Type): Melt
Amount (Inches): 0.02
Cloud Cover (PM): Clear
Cloud Type: None
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for today.
Temperature:10°F/06.6°F//18°F/17.4°F//25°F/31.6°F//25°F/27.6°F.
Relative Humidity: 87%/82%//63%/83%//52%/54%//49%/56%

The N.W.S. did much better today than overnight. They were just a little off with the 13:00 hour forecast for the temperature. They did miss the 10:00 and 16:00 hour forecasts for the relative humidity. Still this is a much better attempt than they had overnight last night. I wonder if they can keep it going?
Forecast data for the overnight.
Temperature: 14°F/08°F/04°F/00°F.
Relative Humidity: 67%/76%/83%/91%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 11:00 PM
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This Is Definitely A Return To Winter Cold!

The weather this morning in a word was cold. Ike and I wasted no time getting back in the house after the usual morning constitutional. I did need to fill the Outdoor Wood Boiler though. It was so cold overnight that almost all the wood was burned and the temperature was down to 147°F from 180°F. It did not take long though for the temperature to recover. Even though the oil burner has run a few times this winter we have used less than 1/4 of a tank of oil in two years. It is certainly something to consider.
For today the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation and disappearing cloud cover (28%/20%/11%/06%). It should be a pretty day, but quite a bit coder than it has been. There is nothing on either the radar or the Weather Underground model forecast maps for today or tomorrow. The clear weather will be cold however.
My Weather Stick continues to frown at the 82% relative humidity. It certainly does not make it feel any warmer. All three of my electronic instruments see the barometric pressure rising. The La Crosse Weather Station and Min/Max Thermometer see fair skies while the remote weather station sees unsettled weather. They recorded low temperatures overnight of 04.4°F, 07.4°F and 16.0°F. In anybody's book that would be cold, but it may not be as cold as we are going to get before this winter is over. That is the way it looks from here in Wilton, Maine today.
Low Temperature (°F): 4.4
Current Temperature (°F): 5.0
Relative Humidity (%): 83%
Dew Point (°F): 0.6
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 30.01
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 5.0
Precipitation (Type): None
Amount (Inches): 0.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:23°F/14.9°F//20°F/12.5°F//18°F/08.2°F//16°F/05.7°F.
Relative Humidity: 57%/73%//67%/76%//70%/81%//70%/81%

This is the worst outing I have seen by the N.W.S. in quite a while. They missed all the temperature and relative humidity points overnight.
Forecast data for today.
Temperature: 10°F/18°F/25°F/25°F.
Relative Humidity: 87%/63%/52%/49%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 01:12 PM
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January 15, 2008
Now, Here Comes The Cold!!

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Last Night At 17:30
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This Morning At 07:30
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Ahh, The Results Of The Snowstorm
As usual we can expect some very cold arctic air to filter in over the next couple of days. N.O.A.A. had forecast light scattered snow showers all day, but here in Wilton, Maine we did not see any at this location. What we did see were some clouds of the high thin cirrus variety. There was some sunshine, and we did get just above freezing during the day.
For tonight the N.W.S. forecasts no precipitation, but moderate cloud cover (43%/58%/58%/39%). That will not allow quite as much radiational cooling as I would expect after a storm. As the clouds clear out it will get colder I am sure. The storm is completely gone from the NEXRAD regional composite radar. The same is true of the Weather Underground model forecast maps. There we can still see a system moving in for Friday.
My Weather Stick is straight in response to the 63% relative humidity. All three of the electronic instruments see the barometric pressure falling and stormy conditions overnight. We have had high temperatures of 32.9°F, 33.3°F and 27.7°F during the afternoon. I do not think we will see any more snow until sometime Friday, and from what the Weather Underground maps are showing it should be a doozy. Oh well, here we go again.
High Temperature (°F): 32.9
Current Temperature (°F): 24.6
Relative Humidity (%): 63%
Dew Point (°F): 13.7
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.68
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 24.6
Precipitation (Type): Melt
Amount (Inches): 0.02
Cloud Cover (PM): Partly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Cirrus
Weather Stick: Straight
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:18°F/17.2°F//22°F/23.9°F//27°F/32.1°F//26°F/26.4°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/82%//71%/74%//60%/56%//60%/61%

The N.W.S. had all four of the temperature forecasts and relative humidity forecasts correct today. I can say no more than Great Job to the people at the N.W.S.
Forecast data for today
Temperature: 23°F/20°F/18°F/16°F.
Relative Humidity: 57%/67%/70%/70%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 06:17 PM
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And This One Is Finally Over!

N.O.A.A. called for light scattered snow showers for all but the first period starting at 19:00 hours last night when it was still snowing. We probably had about a half inch more snow during that time. Since this was very fluffy snow it settled quite quickly, or was blown around quite a bit. Last night my snow gauge showed 10" of snow and this morning only 9". The road still does not look like it is in the best shape for travel. Therefore, do be careful if you need to travel in the area of Wilton, Maine.
For today the N.W.S. predicts light scattered snow showers all day and the cloud cover forecast is 97%, 92%, 87% and 91% which would support some more precipitation today. The NEXRAD composite regional radar shows the last remnants of this storm moving into the Canadian Maritime provinces. The Weather Underground model forecast maps show the clouds lingering here until sometime this afternoon.
My Weather Stick continues to frown at the 83% relative humidity. All three of my electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. That indicates that the entire system has not yet moved out of our area. We did have low temperatures of 15.2°F, 18.0°F and 23.2°F recorded by those electronic instruments. They are all in very different places, and I would expect them to show some differences. I would expect the last one to be the most different since it is inside the barn. I personally do not think that there will be any further snow today, but that expectation does not extend to Friday when they are predicting another one just like this last one. It seems we are back in a pattern like we were in December and the first part of January.
Low Temperature (°F): 15.8
Current Temperature (°F): 17.2
Relative Humidity (%): 83%
Dew Point (°F): 12.8
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.71
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 17.2
Precipitation (Type): Snow
Amount (Inches): 9.00
Cloud Cover (AM): Mostly Cloudy
Cloud Type: Altostratus
Weather Stick: Down
Comparative data for the overnight.
Temperature:22°F/20.4°F//20°F/19.5°F//19°F/19.2°F//18°F/17.4°F.
Relative Humidity: 84%/83%//84%/82%//84%/81%//80%/82%

The N.W.S. had all four of the temperature forecasts and relative humidity forecasts correct overnight. I can say no more than Great Job to the people at the N.W.S.
Forecast data for today
Temperature: 18°F/22°F/27°F/26°F.
Relative Humidity: 80%/71%/60%/60%

Posted by Jeffrey Le Doux at 08:27 AM
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Snow, Snow, Beautiful Snow!

Well, N.O.A.A. had this one right for sure. This would have been posted much earlier, but because of the snow the satellite dish could not pick up the signal. I do hope that when and if they move the dish that problem will be resolved. It did snow all day and into this evening. In fact at 22:00 hours it was still snowing. We had, by 15:30 hours, 10" of new snow. That now gives us 15" on the ground. There has been some wind, but it does not seem to have been a major factor in drifting the snow here, as it has been in other areas.
For the overnight we were expected to start with snow, and that snow was to taper to light scattered snow showers. The NEXRAD composite regional radar at 04:00 showed the storm gone from all but far eastern Maine. There are a few residual echoes west of us, but they do not appear to be headed in our direction. The Weather Underground does not show the storm completely gone from our area until around noon today, so I would guess that we will see some cloudy weather until then.
My Weather Stick was frowning at around 20:00 hours, when I checked it and took down my readings from the La Crosse Weather Station. The relative humidity at that time was 82%, so it had a right to frown. All three of my electronic instruments forecast foul weather with falling barometric pressure. The recorded high temperatures for today were 23.5°F, 26.1°F and 30.4°F. Last night it appeared that we were going to have continued snow for a while, and then it might taper to light scattered snow showers. I will photograph the snow gauge and try for a panorama of the side yard for this morning's report.
High Temperature (°F): 23.5
Current Temperature (°F): 19.5
Relative Humidity (%): 82%
Dew Point (°F): 14.9
Barometric Pressure (in Hg): 29.79
Heat Index (°F): N/A
Wind Direction: Calm
Wind Speed (mph): 0.0
Wind-Chill (°F): 19.5
Precipitat